Orlando City SC vs DC United Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Exploria Stadium
Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 00:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.68
Draw
4.51
Away Win
4.45
Match Report
Full Time
4 – 1
Match Events ?
Orlando City SC
DC United
Antoine Griezmann (Martin Ojeda) ⚽
15'
Martin Ojeda (Antoine Griezmann) ⚽
22'
Luis Otávio Costa de Aquino 🟨
38'
45+2'
⚽ (P) Tai Baribo
Antoine Griezmann ⚽
50'
77'
🟨 Kimito Nono
82'
🟨 Jackson Hopkins
89'
🟨 Tai Baribo
Marco Pašalić (Justin Ellis) ⚽
90+5'
Match Statistics ?
59%
Ball Possession
41%
13
Total Shots
15
7
Shots on Goal
3
1
Corner Kicks
8
10
Fouls
19
1
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
2
2
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
Orlando City SC (4-2-3-1)
M. Crépeau
Z. Taifi
D. Brekalo
Iago
I. Angulo
Luis Otávio
W. Cartagena
E. Atuesta
A. Griezmann
M. Ojeda
D. Dike
DC United (4-4-2)
S. Johnson
S. Hefti
S. Nealis
K. Rowles
K. Kurokawa
J. Stroud
K. Nono
A. Dozzell
Peglow
T. Baribo
B. Servania
Player Ratings ?
Orlando City SC
A. GriezmannM9.6
M. OjedaM9.0
Marco PasalicF7.4
DC United
K. KurokawaD6.6
S. HeftiD6.5
B. ServaniaF6.5
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Orlando City SC edge recent form, attack and head-to-head, defence is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Orlando City SC stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Orlando City SC stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Orlando City SC slightly stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Orlando City SC have enjoyed a strong start at home with four wins from their last five outings, while DC United have struggled away from home, managing only three draws and two losses in the same period. The hosts have found the net in every one of their last five matches at this venue but have managed just two clean sheets during that span. Orlando City SC face a slight availability concern with one player out and another doubtful, whereas DC United have three confirmed absences heading into the fixture. Orlando City SC rate stronger on form and attack, with a slight advantage in head-to-head, while defence is closely matched. DC United won the most recent meeting 3-2 on 26 April 2026, having won 1 of the last 5 encounters to Orlando City SC's 3, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 4.4 goals per meeting. Over the 6-day comparison window, Orlando City SC's implied win probability has risen by 1.5 percentage points, while DC United's implied win probability has fallen by 0.5 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3
Orlando City SC losing run
3
DC United points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift towards Orlando City SC
Orlando City SC's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Orlando City SC win as more likely than it did 6 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Orlando City SC win
Latest market chance 56.7%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
55.2% → 56.7%
+1.5 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 21.7%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
22.6% → 21.7%
−0.9 pts
DC United win
Latest market chance 21.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
22.2% → 21.7%
−0.5 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Orlando City SC
Draw
DC United
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Orlando City SCDC United
Season Profile
This season
16th
League Position
25th
29
Games Played
28
1.31
Points/Game
1.18
1.86
Goals/Game
1.29
2.38
Conceded/Game
1.68
12.4
Shots/Game
12.8
5.1
Shots on Target
4.2
Home vs Away Context
Orlando City SC at home (17 matches) vs DC United away (17 matches)
1.94
Points/Game
0.76
1.94
Goals/Game
1.12
1.29
Conceded/Game
1.88
59%
Win Rate
12%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Orlando City SC
Home form
L
W
W
W
W
Won 4 straight at home
2.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
DC United
Away form
D
D
L
D
L
Winless in last 5 away
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Orlando City SC Wins
3
Draws
1
DC United Wins
1
Avg Goals
4.4
DC United3 – 2Orlando City SC
DC United1 – 1Orlando City SC
Orlando City SC4 – 1DC United
Orlando City SC5 – 0DC United
DC United2 – 3Orlando City SC
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Orlando City SCvs
DC United
Recent Scoring Profile
2.30
Goals scored / game
1.00
2.10
Goals conceded / game
1.80
9/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
8/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
0/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 4 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 69.5%→Latest 71.9%+2.4 pts
Notable move towards 3+ goals
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 66.5%→Latest 68.1%+1.6 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
2 of Orlando City SC's 10 matches and 2 of DC United's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?