Orlando City SC vs Columbus Crew Head to Head | MLS

Match Report

Full Time

3 – 2

Match Events

Orlando City SC

Columbus Crew

Harvey Graham Sarajian (Antoine Griezmann) ⚽

Vinicius Nogueira 🟨

⚽ Taha Habroune (Santiago Rodriguez)

Antoine Griezmann ⚽

16'

21'

🟨 Taha Habroune

Robin Jansson 🟨

23'

36'

🟨 Brais Méndez

David Brekalo 🟨

41'

53'

⚽ Brais Méndez (Taha Habroune)

Marco Pašalić 🟨

59'

Iván Angulo (Martin Ojeda) ⚽

89'

Match Statistics

47%

Ball Possession

53%

Total Shots

Shots on Goal

Corner Kicks

Fouls

Yellow Cards

Red Cards

Offsides

Goalkeeper Saves

Starting Lineups

Orlando City SC (4-4-2)

M. Crépeau

I. Angulo

D. Brekalo

R. Jansson

Vinícius Nogueira

Marco Pasalic

E. Atuesta

W. Cartagena

Harvey Sarajian

M. Ojeda

A. Griezmann

Columbus Crew (4-4-2)

P. Schulte

M. Farsi

S. Moreira

S. Zawadzki

M. Amundsen

A. Zaroury

D. Chambost

T. Habroune

S. Rodríguez

Brais Méndez

Josef Martínez

Player Ratings

Orlando City SC

A. GriezmannF9.0

M. CrépeauG8.2

I. AnguloD7.8

Columbus Crew

T. HabrouneM8.9

Brais MéndezF8.2

S. RodríguezM7.7

Before Kickoff

Match Prediction

No clear statistical edge

The matchup is mixed. Orlando City SC edge recent form and attack, defence and head-to-head are closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.

Statistical Edge

No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong

How They Compare

Recent Form

Orlando City SC stronger

HomeAway

Attack

Orlando City SC stronger

HomeAway

Defence

Closely matched

HomeAway

Head-to-Head

Closely matched

HomeAway

Match Analysis

Orlando City SC have secured three victories from their last five home outings, while Columbus Crew have recorded just a single win in their corresponding away sample. The hosts have found the net in each of their last five matches at home but have kept only two clean sheets during that identical period. Orlando City SC carry one confirmed absence and one doubtful player, whereas Columbus Crew have just one certain absentee with no doubts registered. Orlando City SC rate stronger on form and attack, while defence and head-to-head are closely matched. The most recent meeting, on 13 April 2026, ended level, with 2 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 3.4 goals per meeting. Over the 2-day comparison window, Orlando City SC's implied win probability has risen by 1.9 percentage points, while Columbus Crew's implied win probability has fallen by 1.5 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.

Market View

How the betting market has changed its view of this match

Market direction

Notable shift towards Orlando City SC

Orlando City SC's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Orlando City SC win as more likely than it did 2 days ago.

Movement strength: Notable

Match odds movement

Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest

Orlando City SC win

Latest market chance 47.5%

Notable shortening

Market chance increased

45.6% → 47.5%

+1.9 pts

Draw

Latest market chance 23.9%

Steady

Market view unchanged

24.3% → 23.9%

−0.4 pts

Columbus Crew win

Latest market chance 28.6%

Notable drift

Market chance decreased

30.1% → 28.6%

−1.5 pts

9 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 2 days before kickoff

Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.

Team Comparison

Orlando City SC

Columbus Crew

Season Profile

This season

16th

League Position

26th

Games Played

1.26

Points/Game

1.07

1.78

Goals/Game

1.44

2.37

Conceded/Game

1.59

12.4

Shots/Game

12.6

5.1

Shots on Target

4.6

Home vs Away Context

Orlando City SC at home (17 matches) vs Columbus Crew away (18 matches)

1.94

Points/Game

1.17

1.94

Goals/Game

1.78

1.29

Conceded/Game

1.83

59%

Win Rate

33%

Recent Form

Last 5 home / away matches

Orlando City SC

Home form

Won 3 straight at home

1.6

Goals scored
per match

0.8

Goals conceded
per match

5/5

Scored in
last 5

2/5

Clean
sheets

Columbus Crew

Away form

Lost 3 of last 5 away

1.6

Goals scored
per match

2.0

Goals conceded
per match

5/5

Scored in
last 5

1/5

Clean
sheets

Head-to-Head History

Last 5 meetings

Orlando City SC Wins

Draws

Columbus Crew Wins

Avg Goals

3.4

2026-04-132026

Columbus Crew1 – 1Orlando City SC

2025-10-052025

Orlando City SC1 – 1Columbus Crew

2025-07-262025

Columbus Crew1 – 3Orlando City SC

2024-09-222024

Columbus Crew4 – 3Orlando City SC

2024-05-262024

Orlando City SC0 – 2Columbus Crew

Goals & Scoring Trends

Last 10 matches, any venue

Orlando City SC

Columbus Crew

Recent Scoring Profile

2.00

Goals scored / game

1.50

2.00

Goals conceded / game

1.70

8/10

3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)

8/10

Both Teams Scored

7/10

0/10

Failed to Score

1/10

Market Goal Expectation

2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)

85.3%

3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)

67.1%

4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)

46.9%

BTTSBoth teams score

67.3%

Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.

3+ Goals (Over 2.5)

First comparable 66.6%→Latest 67.1%+0.5 pts

Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot

7 common bookmakers · first comparable 2 days before kickoff

The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.

Both Teams To Score

First comparable 67.3%→Latest 67.3%±0.0 pts

Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot

6 common bookmakers · first comparable 2 days before kickoff

Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.

Match Poll

Who do you think wins?

Orlando City SC vs Columbus Crew Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis