New York Red Bulls vs Atlanta United FC Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Sports Illustrated Stadium
Sat 07 Nov 2026 · 21:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.86
Draw
4.31
Away Win
3.63
Match Report
Full Time
3 – 0
Match Events ?
New York Red Bulls
Atlanta United FC
Adri Mehmeti ⚽
31'
Cade Cowell (Sekou Kone) ⚽
54'
68'
🟨 Giuliano Galoppo
Julian Bazan 🟨
75'
Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty ⚽
81'
Match Statistics ?
55%
Ball Possession
45%
14
Total Shots
8
7
Shots on Goal
0
5
Corner Kicks
4
15
Fouls
10
1
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
1
0
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
New York Red Bulls (4-3-3)
E. Horvath
J. Marshall-Rutty
D. Nealis
J. Bazán
D. Padelford
A. Mehmeti
S. Kone
R. Donkor
C. Cowell
J. Hall
J. Ruvalcaba
Atlanta United FC (4-3-1-2)
Jayden Hibbert
T. Jacob
P. Díaz
J. Alonso
E. Báez
G. Galoppo
T. Muyumba
M. Amaro
A. Miranchuk
B. Embolo
M. Almirón
Player Ratings ?
New York Red Bulls
C. CowellF8.2
A. MehmetiM7.9
J. Marshall-RuttyD7.6
Atlanta United FC
J. AlonsoD6.7
E. BáezD6.6
Sergio SantosF6.5
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Atlanta United FC edge defence and head-to-head, recent form and attack are closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Closely matched
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Atlanta United FC slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Atlanta United FC stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Atlanta United FC have secured two wins from their last five away outings, while New York Red Bulls have suffered three defeats in their last five home matches. The hosts have found the net in three of their last five home matches but have only managed one clean sheet during that same period. Atlanta United FC rate stronger on head-to-head, with a slight advantage in defence, while form and attack are closely matched. Atlanta United FC won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 16 August 2026, having won 2 of the last 5 encounters to New York Red Bulls's 1, with 2 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.4 goals per meeting. Over the 3-day comparison window, New York Red Bulls's implied win probability has risen by 1.0 percentage points, while Atlanta United FC's implied win probability has fallen by 0.6 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift towards New York Red Bulls
New York Red Bulls's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a New York Red Bulls win as more likely than it did 3 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
New York Red Bulls win
Latest market chance 50.1%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
49.1% → 50.1%
+1.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 22.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
23.0% → 22.7%
−0.3 pts
Atlanta United FC win
Latest market chance 27.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
27.8% → 27.2%
−0.6 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
New York Red Bulls
Draw
Atlanta United FC
9 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 3 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
New York Red BullsAtlanta United FC
Season Profile
This season
24th
League Position
27th
33
Games Played
33
1.18
Points/Game
1.00
1.36
Goals/Game
1.30
1.88
Conceded/Game
1.73
14.3
Shots/Game
13.2
5.1
Shots on Target
4.1
Home vs Away Context
New York Red Bulls at home (17 matches) vs Atlanta United FC away (17 matches)
1.41
Points/Game
0.94
1.59
Goals/Game
1.00
1.71
Conceded/Game
1.59
41%
Win Rate
24%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
New York Red Bulls
Home form
L
L
W
L
W
Lost 3 of last 5 at home
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Atlanta United FC
Away form
D
D
W
W
L
2W 2D 1L in last 5 away
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
New York Red Bulls Wins
1
Draws
2
Atlanta United FC Wins
2
Avg Goals
2.4
Atlanta United FC2 – 1New York Red Bulls
New York Red Bulls2 – 0Atlanta United FC
Atlanta United FC0 – 0New York Red Bulls
Atlanta United FC2 – 1New York Red Bulls
New York Red Bulls2 – 2Atlanta United FC
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
New York Red Bullsvs
Atlanta United FC
Recent Scoring Profile
1.30
Goals scored / game
1.60
1.60
Goals conceded / game
1.70
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
8/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
3/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 69.4%→Latest 69.5%+0.1 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 68.9%→Latest 68.9%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
6 of New York Red Bulls's 10 matches and 6 of Atlanta United FC's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?