New England Revolution vs Seattle Sounders Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis

Archived Result — stats and prediction shown as they stood before kickoff
Boston Stadium
Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 00:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.94
Draw
4.06
Away Win
3.58
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 3
Match Events ?
New England Revolution
Seattle Sounders
15'
⚽ Hassani Dotson
19'
🟨 Cristian Roldán
William Sands 🟨
24'
56'
🟨 Hassani Dotson
74'
⚽ Dejan Joveljić (Paul Arriola)
81'
⚽ Paul Arriola (Jesús Ferreira)
Match Statistics ?
57%
Ball Possession
43%
13
Total Shots
9
5
Shots on Goal
5
8
Corner Kicks
5
6
Fouls
15
1
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
0
Offsides
3
2
Goalkeeper Saves
5
Starting Lineups
New England Revolution (4-3-3)
M. Turner
M. Polster
E. Kohler
J. Wynder
W. Sands
Carles Gil
B. Raines
J. Yueill
L. Langoni
D. Turgeman
P. Miller
Seattle Sounders (4-2-3-1)
A. Thomas
A. Roldan
Y. Gómez
J. Ragen
N. Tolo
H. Dotson
C. Roldan
J. Morris
A. Rusnák
S. Gomez
D. Joveljić
Player Ratings ?
New England Revolution
B. RainesM6.9
G. YowF6.7
I. FeingoldD6.6
Seattle Sounders
A. ThomasG8.5
H. DotsonM8.2
J. RagenD8.0
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Seattle Sounders edge head-to-head, recent form, attack and defence are closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Closely matched
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Seattle Sounders stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Seattle Sounders have drawn three and lost two of their last five away outings, while New England Revolution have secured two wins from two draws in one defeat at home over the same span. The hosts have scored in three of their last five matches but have kept just one clean sheet during that identical period. New England Revolution face two confirmed absences alongside one doubtful player, whereas Seattle Sounders carry three confirmed and two doubtful concerns for their squad. Seattle Sounders rate stronger on head-to-head, while form, attack and defence are closely matched. Seattle Sounders won the most recent meeting 2-0 on 7 July 2024, having won 1 of the last 5 encounters to New England Revolution's 1, with 3 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.4 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 2-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
8
Seattle Sounders losing run
3
Seattle Sounders points from last 5 matches
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Market View
?
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 2 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
New England Revolution win
Latest market chance 49.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
49.8% → 49.6%
−0.2 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 24.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
24.2% → 24.2%
±0.0 pts
Seattle Sounders win
Latest market chance 26.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.0% → 26.2%
+0.2 pts
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 2 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
New England Revolution
Seattle Sounders
Season Profile
This season
7th
League Position
13th
27
Games Played
27
1.70
Points/Game
1.41
1.67
Goals/Game
1.30
1.33
Conceded/Game
1.30
12.0
Shots/Game
13.6
4.8
Shots on Target
5.0
Home vs Away Context
New England Revolution at home (17 matches) vs Seattle Sounders away (17 matches)
2.06
Points/Game
1.06
1.82
Goals/Game
1.06
1.18
Conceded/Game
1.35
65%
Win Rate
24%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
New England Revolution
Home form
D
W
L
D
W
2W 2D 1L in last 5 at home
1.8
Goals scored
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Seattle Sounders
Away form
L
L
D
D
D
Winless in last 5 away
1.2
Goals scored
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
New England Revolution Wins
1
Draws
3
Seattle Sounders Wins
1
Avg Goals
3.4
2024-07-072024
Seattle Sounders2 – 0New England Revolution
2019-08-102019
Seattle Sounders3 – 3New England Revolution
2018-07-082018
New England Revolution0 – 0Seattle Sounders
2017-04-302017
Seattle Sounders3 – 3New England Revolution
2016-05-292016
New England Revolution2 – 1Seattle Sounders
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
New England Revolution
vs
Seattle Sounders
Recent Scoring Profile
1.70
Goals scored / game
1.50
1.50
Goals conceded / game
1.30
8/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
2/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
82.7%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
62.3%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
42.1%
BTTSBoth teams score
62.8%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 6 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 62.4%→Latest 62.3%−0.1 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
6 common bookmakers · first comparable 2 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 62.5%→Latest 62.8%+0.3 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
6 common bookmakers · first comparable 2 days before kickoff
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
1 of Seattle Sounders's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?
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