New England Revolution vs New York Red Bulls Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis

Archived Result — stats and prediction shown as they stood before kickoff
Boston Stadium
Wed 28 Oct 2026 · 23:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.92
Draw
4.24
Away Win
3.40
Match Report
Full Time
3 – 2
Match Events ?
New England Revolution
New York Red Bulls
Dor Turgeman (Carles Gil) ⚽
9'
12'
🟨 Ronald Donkor
Ilay Feingold 🟨
40'
Dor Turgeman (Luca Daniel·Langoni) ⚽
46'
48'
🟨 Dylan Nealis
51'
⚽ Cade Cowell (Ronald Donkor)
64'
⚽ Julian Hall (Emil Forsberg)
76'
🟨 Julian Hall
Dániel Gazdag ⚽
83'
Judah Siqueira 🟨
90+3'
Match Statistics ?
51%
Ball Possession
49%
9
Total Shots
20
4
Shots on Goal
11
2
Corner Kicks
6
9
Fouls
12
2
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
0
Offsides
1
8
Goalkeeper Saves
1
Starting Lineups
New England Revolution (4-4-1-1)
M. Turner
I. Feingold
E. Kohler
J. Wynder
W. Sands
L. Langoni
B. Raines
J. Yueill
D. Gazdag
Carles Gil
D. Turgeman
New York Red Bulls (4-3-3)
E. Horvath
J. Marshall-Rutty
D. Nealis
T. Parker
D. Padelford
R. Donkor
A. Mehmeti
M. Sofo
C. Cowell
J. Hall
J. Ruvalcaba
Player Ratings ?
New England Revolution
D. TurgemanF9.0
M. TurnerG8.1
D. GazdagM7.7
New York Red Bulls
C. CowellF8.2
J. HallF8.2
C. HarperF6.7
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. New England Revolution edge recent form and attack, New York Red Bulls edge defence and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
New England Revolution stronger
HomeAway
Attack
New England Revolution stronger
HomeAway
Defence
New York Red Bulls stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
New York Red Bulls stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
New England Revolution have secured two wins from their last five home outings, while New York Red Bulls have managed just two victories in their corresponding away fixtures over the same span. The hosts have found the net in three of their last five matches at home but have only kept one clean sheet during that identical period. New England Revolution face two confirmed absences alongside two players listed as doubtful, whereas New York Red Bulls have no definite out-counts but carry one doubtful name on their books. New England Revolution rate stronger on form and attack, while New York Red Bulls rate stronger on defence and head-to-head. New York Red Bulls won the most recent meeting 1-0 on 28 February 2026, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to New England Revolution's 2, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.8 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 2-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
4
New England Revolution unbeaten run
3/5
One-goal H2H results
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Market View
?
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 2 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
New England Revolution win
Latest market chance 48.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
48.9% → 48.3%
−0.6 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 23.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
23.4% → 23.4%
±0.0 pts
New York Red Bulls win
Latest market chance 28.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
27.6% → 28.3%
+0.7 pts
Movement over time
Change vs first comparable snapshot
3 snapshots
+1+0.50−0.5Oct 26Oct 27Oct 28
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
New England Revolution
Draw
New York Red Bulls
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 2 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
New England Revolution
New York Red Bulls
Season Profile
This season
4th
League Position
19th
31
Games Played
31
1.77
Points/Game
1.26
1.65
Goals/Game
1.32
1.35
Conceded/Game
1.81
12.0
Shots/Game
14.3
4.8
Shots on Target
5.1
Home vs Away Context
New England Revolution at home (17 matches) vs New York Red Bulls away (17 matches)
2.06
Points/Game
1.06
1.82
Goals/Game
1.24
1.18
Conceded/Game
1.94
65%
Win Rate
29%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
New England Revolution
Home form
L
D
W
L
W
2W 1D 2L in last 5 at home
1.2
Goals scored
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
VS
New York Red Bulls
Away form
D
L
W
W
L
2W 1D 2L in last 5 away
0.6
Goals scored
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
New England Revolution Wins
2
Draws
0
New York Red Bulls Wins
3
Avg Goals
3.8
2026-02-282026
New York Red Bulls1 – 0New England Revolution
2025-07-172025
New York Red Bulls5 – 3New England Revolution
2025-03-292025
New England Revolution2 – 1New York Red Bulls
2024-06-092024
New England Revolution1 – 0New York Red Bulls
2024-05-122024
New York Red Bulls4 – 2New England Revolution
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
New England Revolution
vs
New York Red Bulls
Recent Scoring Profile
1.80
Goals scored / game
1.00
1.60
Goals conceded / game
1.30
9/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
3/10
2/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
85.0%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
66.8%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
46.5%
BTTSBoth teams score
66.7%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 6 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 66.8%→Latest 66.8%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
6 common bookmakers · first comparable 2 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 66.7%→Latest 66.7%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
6 common bookmakers · first comparable 2 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
4 of New England Revolution's 10 matches and 4 of New York Red Bulls's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?
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