New England Revolution vs Inter Miami Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Boston Stadium
Mon 02 Nov 2026 · 00:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.97
Draw
3.98
Away Win
2.20
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 2
Match Events ?
New England Revolution
Inter Miami
25'
🟨 Gonzalo Lujan
Dániel Gazdag (Ilay Feingold) ⚽
53'
69'
⚽ Germán Berterame (Lionel Messi)
75'
🟨 Matías Galarza
83'
⚽ Lionel Messi (Telasco Segovia)
85'
🟨 Telasco Segovia
Luca Daniel·Langoni 🟨
90+6'
Match Statistics ?
54%
Ball Possession
46%
13
Total Shots
14
3
Shots on Goal
6
7
Corner Kicks
1
6
Fouls
16
1
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
0
3
Goalkeeper Saves
2
Starting Lineups
New England Revolution (4-2-3-1)
M. Turner
I. Feingold
E. Kohler
J. Wynder
W. Sands
M. Polster
B. Raines
P. Miller
Carles Gil
D. Gazdag
D. Turgeman
Inter Miami (4-3-3)
D. St. Clair
I. Fray
Casemiro
Micael
G. Luján
R. De Paul
Y. Bright
T. Segovia
L. Messi
Riquelme Fillipi
G. Berterame
Player Ratings ?
New England Revolution
D. GazdagM8.1
Carles GilM7.1
I. FeingoldD7.0
Inter Miami
L. MessiF9.0
G. BerterameF8.2
R. De PaulM7.2
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. New England Revolution edge recent form, Inter Miami edge defence and head-to-head, attack is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
New England Revolution stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Inter Miami stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Inter Miami stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
New England Revolution have secured three wins from their last five home outings, while Inter Miami have managed just a solitary victory in their corresponding away sample. The hosts have found the net in four of their last five matches but have only kept one clean sheet during that same period. Both squads carry three players unavailable for selection ahead of this MLS fixture. New England Revolution rate stronger on form, while Inter Miami rate stronger on defence and head-to-head, while attack is closely matched. The most recent meeting, on 26 April 2026, ended level, with 1 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 4.6 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 4-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 4 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
New England Revolution win
Latest market chance 34.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
34.7% → 34.7%
±0.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 23.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
23.6% → 23.5%
−0.1 pts
Inter Miami win
Latest market chance 41.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
41.8% → 41.8%
±0.0 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
New England Revolution
Draw
Inter Miami
7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 4 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
New England RevolutionInter Miami
Season Profile
This season
3rd
League Position
4th
32
Games Played
32
1.81
Points/Game
1.75
1.69
Goals/Game
2.34
1.38
Conceded/Game
1.72
12.0
Shots/Game
14.9
4.8
Shots on Target
6.0
Home vs Away Context
New England Revolution at home (17 matches) vs Inter Miami away (17 matches)
2.06
Points/Game
1.94
1.82
Goals/Game
2.00
1.18
Conceded/Game
1.65
65%
Win Rate
59%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
New England Revolution
Home form
D
W
L
W
W
Won 3 of last 5 at home
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Inter Miami
Away form
D
D
L
W
L
1W 2D 2L in last 5 away
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
New England Revolution Wins
0
Draws
1
Inter Miami Wins
4
Avg Goals
4.6
Inter Miami1 – 1New England Revolution
Inter Miami4 – 1New England Revolution
New England Revolution1 – 2Inter Miami
Inter Miami6 – 2New England Revolution
New England Revolution1 – 4Inter Miami
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
New England Revolutionvs
Inter Miami
Recent Scoring Profile
1.80
Goals scored / game
1.90
1.70
Goals conceded / game
1.40
9/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
2/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 6 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 70.5%→Latest 70.0%−0.5 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 71.2%→Latest 70.7%−0.5 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
5 of New England Revolution's 10 matches and 5 of Inter Miami's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?