Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Geodis Park
Thu 29 Oct 2026 · 00:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.83
Draw
4.04
Away Win
3.89
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 0
Match Events ?
Nashville SC
Philadelphia Union
Edvard Sandvik Tagseth 🟨
22'
40'
🟨 Jovan Lukic
90+2'
🟨 Danley Jean Jacques
Match Statistics ?
63%
Ball Possession
37%
9
Total Shots
6
1
Shots on Goal
2
2
Corner Kicks
8
8
Fouls
15
1
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
6
Offsides
0
2
Goalkeeper Saves
1
Starting Lineups
Nashville SC (4-4-2)
B. Schwake
R. Baker-Whiting
J. Palacios
M. Woledzi
D. Lovitz
C. Espinoza
P. Yazbek
E. Tagseth
A. Muyl
W. Madrigal
A. Qasem
Philadelphia Union (4-4-2)
A. Blake
N. Harriel
Neil Pierre
J. Sery Larsen
K. Wagner
Q. Sullivan
D. Jean-Jacques
J. Lukić
I. Vassilev
M. Jakupovic
E. Alladoh
Player Ratings ?
Nashville SC
J. PalaciosD7.6
B. AcostaM7.2
M. WoledziD7.2
Philadelphia Union
J. Sery LarsenD6.9
J. LukićM6.8
F. WestfieldD6.8
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Nashville SC edge defence and head-to-head, Philadelphia Union edge recent form and attack, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Philadelphia Union slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Philadelphia Union slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Nashville SC stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Nashville SC stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Philadelphia Union have recorded four wins and a draw in their last five away fixtures, while Nashville SC remain unbeaten at home with five victories from the same number of outings. Nashville SC have scored in all five of their home matches and kept four clean sheets during that identical sample period. Both sides carry availability concerns, with Nashville SC having one confirmed absence and one doubtful player, whereas Philadelphia Union face a single certain absence alongside two players listed as doubtful. Philadelphia Union hold a slight advantage in form and attack, while Nashville SC rate stronger on defence and head-to-head. The most recent meeting, on 3 May 2026, ended level, with 1 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 2.2 goals per meeting. Over the 3-day comparison window, Nashville SC's implied win probability has risen by 1.8 percentage points, while Philadelphia Union's implied win probability has fallen by 1.6 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
8
Philadelphia Union unbeaten run
15
Nashville SC points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift towards Nashville SC
Nashville SC's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Nashville SC win as more likely than it did 3 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Nashville SC win
Latest market chance 50.9%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
49.1% → 50.9%
+1.8 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 24.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
24.3% → 24.2%
−0.1 pts
Philadelphia Union win
Latest market chance 25.0%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
26.6% → 25.0%
−1.6 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Nashville SC
Draw
Philadelphia Union
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 3 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Nashville SCPhiladelphia Union
Season Profile
This season
1st
League Position
12th
31
Games Played
31
2.26
Points/Game
1.48
2.13
Goals/Game
2.00
0.74
Conceded/Game
1.61
12.9
Shots/Game
16.6
5.1
Shots on Target
5.5
Home vs Away Context
Nashville SC at home (17 matches) vs Philadelphia Union away (17 matches)
2.76
Points/Game
1.24
2.82
Goals/Game
2.00
0.82
Conceded/Game
1.94
88%
Win Rate
35%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Nashville SC
Home form
W
W
W
W
W
Won 5 straight at home
3.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
4/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Philadelphia Union
Away form
D
W
W
W
W
Won 4 straight away
3.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Nashville SC Wins
2
Draws
1
Philadelphia Union Wins
2
Avg Goals
2.2
Philadelphia Union0 – 0Nashville SC
Nashville SC1 – 0Philadelphia Union
Philadelphia Union1 – 3Nashville SC
Philadelphia Union3 – 0Nashville SC
Nashville SC1 – 2Philadelphia Union
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Nashville SCvs
Philadelphia Union
Recent Scoring Profile
2.30
Goals scored / game
3.10
0.60
Goals conceded / game
1.20
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
9/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
1/10
Failed to Score
0/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 6 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 61.5%→Latest 61.7%+0.2 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 62.9%→Latest 62.5%−0.4 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
4 of Nashville SC's 10 matches and 4 of Philadelphia Union's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?