Nashville SC vs New York Red Bulls Head to Head | MLS

Match Report

Full Time

3 – 2

Match Events

Nashville SC

New York Red Bulls

19'

• Cade Cowell

25'

🟨 Sekou Kone

34'

⚽ Julian Hall (Adri Mehmeti)

40'

⚽ Rafael Mosquera (Cade Cowell)

Tim Parker ⚽ (OG)

45'

45+2'

🟨 Jorge Ruvalcaba

Julian Bazan ⚽ (OG)

78'

Sam Surridge (Cristian Espinoza) ⚽

90+1'

Match Statistics

61%

Ball Possession

39%

Total Shots

Shots on Goal

Corner Kicks

Fouls

Yellow Cards

Red Cards

Offsides

Goalkeeper Saves

Starting Lineups

Nashville SC (4-3-3)

B. Schwake

A. Najar

J. Palacios

M. Woledzi

R. Baker-Whiting

P. Yazbek

M. Corcoran

E. Saad

C. Espinoza

H. Mukhtar

S. Surridge

New York Red Bulls (4-3-3)

E. Horvath

J. Marshall-Rutty

T. Parker

J. Bazán

D. Padelford

A. Mehmeti

S. Kone

J. Ruvalcaba

C. Cowell

J. Hall

C. Harper

Player Ratings

Nashville SC

C. EspinozaF7.7

S. SurridgeF7.5

M. WoledziD7.1

New York Red Bulls

J. HallF7.8

R. MosqueraF7.3

C. CowellF7.3

Before Kickoff

Match Prediction

Data favours

Nashville SC

Nashville SC rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Nashville SC a slight edge.

Leads 4 of 4 major categories

Statistical Edge

No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong

How They Compare

Recent Form

Nashville SC stronger

HomeAway

Attack

Nashville SC stronger

HomeAway

Defence

Nashville SC stronger

HomeAway

Head-to-Head

Nashville SC stronger

HomeAway

Match Analysis

New York Red Bulls have recorded two wins from their last five away outings, whereas Nashville SC boast an unbeaten record with four victories in that same span at home. Nashville SC have found the net in four of their last five matches at home and have also kept a clean sheet in each of those five fixtures. Both squads carry one player unavailable for selection, with Nashville SC additionally listing one as doubtful ahead of kickoff. Nashville SC rate stronger on form, attack, defence and head-to-head. Nashville SC won the most recent meeting 1-0 on 20 August 2026, having won 2 of the last 5 encounters to New York Red Bulls's 1, with 2 ending level; the fixture has averaged 1.2 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 2-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison gives Nashville SC a slight edge.

Pre-Match Context

Notable Numbers

Nashville SC unbeaten run

Nashville SC points from last 5 matches

Market View

How the betting market has changed its view of this match

Market direction

Little change in the market

The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 2 days before kickoff.

Movement strength: Steady

Match odds movement

Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest

Nashville SC win

Latest market chance 62.9%

Steady

Market view unchanged

62.5% → 62.9%

+0.4 pts

Draw

Latest market chance 19.5%

Steady

Market view unchanged

20.2% → 19.5%

−0.7 pts

New York Red Bulls win

Latest market chance 17.6%

Steady

Market view unchanged

17.3% → 17.6%

+0.3 pts

Movement over time

Change vs first comparable snapshot

3 snapshots

Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.

Nashville SC

Draw

New York Red Bulls

8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 2 days before kickoff

Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.

Team Comparison

Nashville SC

New York Red Bulls

Season Profile

This season

1st

League Position

23rd

Games Played

2.22

Points/Game

1.22

2.06

Goals/Game

1.34

0.72

Conceded/Game

1.84

12.9

Shots/Game

14.3

5.1

Shots on Target

5.1

Home vs Away Context

Nashville SC at home (17 matches) vs New York Red Bulls away (17 matches)

2.76

Points/Game

1.06

2.82

Goals/Game

1.24

0.82

Conceded/Game

1.94

88%

Win Rate

29%

Recent Form

Last 5 home / away matches

Nashville SC

Home form

Unbeaten in last 5 at home

2.6

Goals scored
per match

0.0

Goals conceded
per match

4/5

Scored in
last 5

5/5

Clean
sheets

New York Red Bulls

Away form

Lost 3 of last 5 away

1.0

Goals scored
per match

1.4

Goals conceded
per match

4/5

Scored in
last 5

2/5

Clean
sheets

Head-to-Head History

Last 5 meetings

Nashville SC Wins

Draws

New York Red Bulls Wins

Avg Goals

1.2

2026-08-202026

New York Red Bulls0 – 1Nashville SC

2025-05-152025

Nashville SC2 – 1New York Red Bulls

2025-03-022025

New York Red Bulls2 – 0Nashville SC

2024-06-162024

New York Red Bulls0 – 0Nashville SC

2024-02-242024

Nashville SC0 – 0New York Red Bulls

Goals & Scoring Trends

Last 10 matches, any venue

Nashville SC

New York Red Bulls

Recent Scoring Profile

1.90

Goals scored / game

1.10

0.60

Goals conceded / game

1.30

5/10

3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)

4/10

Both Teams Scored

3/10

2/10

Failed to Score

4/10

Market Goal Expectation

2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)

84.7%

3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)

67.8%

4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)

48.0%

BTTSBoth teams score

62.5%

Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 6 bookmakers.

3+ Goals (Over 2.5)

First comparable 64.9%→Latest 67.8%+2.9 pts

Notable move towards 3+ goals

6 common bookmakers · first comparable 2 days before kickoff

The market is pricing a higher chance of 3+ goals than either team's recent rate.

Both Teams To Score

First comparable 60.3%→Latest 62.5%+2.2 pts

Notable move towards both teams scoring

5 common bookmakers · first comparable 2 days before kickoff

The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.

5 of Nashville SC's 10 matches and 5 of New York Red Bulls's 10 matches are from last season.

Match Poll

Who do you think wins?

Nashville SC vs New York Red Bulls Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis