Minnesota United FC vs Sporting Kansas City Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Allianz Field
Thu 29 Oct 2026 · 00:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.41
Draw
5.25
Away Win
6.34
Match Report
Full Time
3 – 1
Match Events ?
Minnesota United FC
Sporting Kansas City
31'
⚽ Taylor Calheira
Kelvin Yeboah 🟨
45+4'
Mauricio González Carabalí 🟨
59'
Anthony Markanich 🟨
61'
Cherrion Valerius 🟨
71'
Anthony Markanich (Joaquín Pereyra) ⚽
72'
Mauricio González Carabalí (Nectarios Triantis) ⚽
76'
Kelvin Yeboah (Tomás Chancalay) ⚽
88'
Match Statistics ?
58%
Ball Possession
42%
18
Total Shots
10
8
Shots on Goal
2
8
Corner Kicks
4
12
Fouls
12
4
Yellow Cards
0
0
Red Cards
0
0
Offsides
2
1
Goalkeeper Saves
5
Starting Lineups
Minnesota United FC (4-4-2)
D. Callender
Cherrion Valerius
J. Díaz
M. Duggan
A. Markanich
B. Hlongwane
N. Triantis
O. Gene
M. Gonzalez
A. Jackson
K. Yeboah
Sporting Kansas City (4-4-2)
S. Cleveland
J. Davis
Jansen Miller
Wyatt Meyer
E. Karić
André Luiz
J. Bartlett
K. Agyabeng
Capita
T. Calheira
S. Afrifa
Player Ratings ?
Minnesota United FC
M. GonzalezM8.2
N. TriantisM7.6
K. YeboahF7.5
Sporting Kansas City
T. CalheiraF7.6
Wyatt MeyerD6.9
S. ClevelandG6.8
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Minnesota United FC edge recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Minnesota United FC stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Minnesota United FC slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Minnesota United FC stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Minnesota United FC stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Sporting Kansas City have struggled on the road with just a solitary win from their last five away outings, while Minnesota United FC remain competitive at home with two draws and a victory in that same span. The hosts have found the net in every one of their last five home matches but have failed to keep a clean sheet during that identical sequence. Minnesota United FC face three confirmed absences ahead of the clash, whereas Sporting Kansas City must manage four certain outcasts alongside two players listed as doubtful. Minnesota United FC rate stronger on form, defence and head-to-head, with a slight advantage in attack. Sporting Kansas City won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 23 July 2026, having won 1 of the last 5 encounters to Minnesota United FC's 3, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.6 goals per meeting. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
5
Minnesota United FC losing run
3
Sporting Kansas City points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 3 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Minnesota United FC win
Latest market chance 66.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
66.8% → 66.6%
−0.2 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 18.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
18.4% → 18.5%
+0.1 pts
Sporting Kansas City win
Latest market chance 14.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
14.7% → 14.9%
+0.2 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Minnesota United FC
Draw
Sporting Kansas City
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 3 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Minnesota United FCSporting Kansas City
Season Profile
This season
25th
League Position
30th
31
Games Played
31
1.13
Points/Game
0.71
1.52
Goals/Game
1.19
1.77
Conceded/Game
2.48
13.9
Shots/Game
11.1
5.0
Shots on Target
4.2
Home vs Away Context
Minnesota United FC at home (17 matches) vs Sporting Kansas City away (17 matches)
1.29
Points/Game
0.71
1.47
Goals/Game
0.94
1.29
Conceded/Game
2.71
29%
Win Rate
24%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Minnesota United FC
Home form
D
L
L
D
W
1W 2D 2L in last 5 at home
2.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Sporting Kansas City
Away form
L
L
W
L
L
Lost 4 of last 5 away
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Minnesota United FC Wins
3
Draws
1
Sporting Kansas City Wins
1
Avg Goals
3.6
Sporting Kansas City2 – 1Minnesota United FC
Minnesota United FC3 – 0Sporting Kansas City
Sporting Kansas City3 – 3Minnesota United FC
Sporting Kansas City0 – 2Minnesota United FC
Minnesota United FC3 – 1Sporting Kansas City
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Minnesota United FCvs
Sporting Kansas City
Recent Scoring Profile
2.00
Goals scored / game
1.70
2.60
Goals conceded / game
2.60
9/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
9/10
9/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
1/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 70.6%→Latest 70.9%+0.3 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 62.6%→Latest 62.6%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
4 of Minnesota United FC's 10 matches and 5 of Sporting Kansas City's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?