Los Angeles Galaxy vs San Diego Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Dignity Health Sports Park
Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 03:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.20
Draw
4.04
Away Win
2.87
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 2
Match Events ?
Los Angeles Galaxy
San Diego
Klauss (Sergi Roberto) ⚽
4'
10'
⚽ (P) Anders Dreyer
Erik Thommy (Harbor Miller) ⚽
17'
35'
🟨 Aníbal Godoy
39'
⚽ Gabriel Pirani
Klauss 🟨
45+1'
Marco Reus 🟨
90+3'
Match Statistics ?
31%
Ball Possession
69%
12
Total Shots
14
9
Shots on Goal
5
5
Corner Kicks
3
11
Fouls
10
2
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
4
3
Goalkeeper Saves
7
Starting Lineups
Los Angeles Galaxy (4-2-3-1)
J. Marcinkowski
Harbor Miller
C. Garcés
J. Haak
J. Nelson
P. Ruiz
Sergi Roberto
R. Taylor
M. Reus
E. Thommy
Klauss
San Diego (4-3-3)
P. Sisniega
O. Verhoeven
C. McVey
M. Duah
Kieran Sargeant
A. Alvarado
A. Godoy
Gabriel Pirani
A. Dreyer
C. Bakambu
E. Achouri
Player Ratings ?
Los Angeles Galaxy
KlaussNone7.8
E. ThommyM7.4
Harbor MillerD6.8
San Diego
Gabriel PiraniM8.1
P. SisniegaG7.8
O. VerhoevenD7.2
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Los Angeles Galaxy edge recent form, attack and defence, San Diego edge head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Los Angeles Galaxy stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Los Angeles Galaxy slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Los Angeles Galaxy stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
San Diego stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Los Angeles Galaxy have secured four victories from their last five home outings, while San Diego remain winless in their last five away fixtures with just two draws to show for it. The Galaxy have scored in all five of their recent home matches but have kept only two clean sheets during that same span. Three players are unavailable for Los Angeles Galaxy, while San Diego will be without one individual ahead of the MLS kickoff. Los Angeles Galaxy rate stronger on form and defence, with a slight advantage in attack, while San Diego rate stronger on head-to-head. San Diego won the most recent meeting 3-1 on 30 August 2026, having won 3 of the last 3 encounters to Los Angeles Galaxy's 0, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.0 goals per meeting. Over the 6-day comparison window, Los Angeles Galaxy's implied win probability has fallen by 3.1 percentage points, while San Diego's implied win probability has risen by 3.2 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
5
San Diego losing run
13
Los Angeles Galaxy points from last 5 matches
Advertisement
Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards San Diego
San Diego's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a San Diego win as more likely than it did 6 days ago. Los Angeles Galaxy remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Los Angeles Galaxy win
Latest market chance 44.6%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
47.7% → 44.6%
−3.1 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 23.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
23.9% → 23.8%
−0.1 pts
San Diego win
Latest market chance 31.6%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
28.4% → 31.6%
+3.2 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Los Angeles Galaxy
Draw
San Diego
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Los Angeles GalaxySan Diego
Season Profile
This season
14th
League Position
21st
30
Games Played
29
1.30
Points/Game
1.14
1.37
Goals/Game
1.76
1.67
Conceded/Game
1.86
13.1
Shots/Game
12.6
5.3
Shots on Target
4.6
Home vs Away Context
Los Angeles Galaxy at home (17 matches) vs San Diego away (17 matches)
1.59
Points/Game
0.88
1.53
Goals/Game
1.18
1.24
Conceded/Game
1.94
41%
Win Rate
18%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Los Angeles Galaxy
Home form
W
W
D
W
W
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
San Diego
Away form
L
L
D
D
L
Winless in last 5 away
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Los Angeles Galaxy Wins
0
Draws
0
San Diego Wins
3
Avg Goals
3.0
San Diego3 – 1Los Angeles Galaxy
San Diego2 – 1Los Angeles Galaxy
Los Angeles Galaxy0 – 2San Diego
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Los Angeles Galaxyvs
San Diego
Recent Scoring Profile
1.70
Goals scored / game
1.80
2.00
Goals conceded / game
2.50
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
9/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
1/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 4 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 68.0%→Latest 70.2%+2.2 pts
Notable move towards 3+ goals
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 68.7%→Latest 69.6%+0.9 pts
Slight move towards both teams scoring
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
2 of Los Angeles Galaxy's 10 matches and 2 of San Diego's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?