Los Angeles Galaxy vs Portland Timbers Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Dignity Health Sports Park
Thu 15 Oct 2026 · 03:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.18
Draw
4.01
Away Win
3.06
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 0
Match Events ?
Los Angeles Galaxy
Portland Timbers
Marco Reus (Robert Taylor) ⚽
17'
Pablo Ruiz 🟨
29'
Sergi Roberto 🟨
31'
38'
🟨 Jímer Fory
Justin Haak 🟨
47'
62'
🟨 Kristoffer Velde
Justin Haak (Marco Reus) ⚽
80'
82'
🟨 David Da Costa
Match Statistics ?
46%
Ball Possession
54%
9
Total Shots
12
5
Shots on Goal
3
2
Corner Kicks
5
7
Fouls
11
3
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
2
3
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
Los Angeles Galaxy (4-2-3-1)
J. Marcinkowski
Calegari
J. Haak
C. Garcés
J. Nelson
P. Ruiz
Sergi Roberto
M. Reus
J. Paintsil
R. Taylor
Klauss
Portland Timbers (4-3-3)
J. Pantemis
R. Hernández
J. Waterman
K. Miller
J. Fory
J. Ortiz
J. Caicedo
David Pereira da Costa
A. Lassiter
V. Janssen
K. Velde
Player Ratings ?
Los Angeles Galaxy
M. ReusM8.8
R. TaylorM7.7
J. HaakD7.5
Portland Timbers
J. WatermanD6.9
A. LassiterF6.8
V. JanssenF6.7
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Los Angeles Galaxy edge recent form and attack, Portland Timbers edge head-to-head, defence is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Los Angeles Galaxy stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Los Angeles Galaxy slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Portland Timbers stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Los Angeles Galaxy have secured three wins from their last five home outings, while Portland Timbers have recorded no victories in their last five away fixtures. The Galaxy have scored in four of their last five matches at home and kept two clean sheets during that same period. Three players are unavailable for Los Angeles Galaxy, whereas six are missing from the Portland Timbers' squad. Los Angeles Galaxy rate stronger on form, with a slight advantage in attack, while Portland Timbers rate stronger on head-to-head, while defence is closely matched. The most recent meeting, on 22 March 2026, ended level, with 2 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 4.2 goals per meeting. Over the 6-day comparison window, Los Angeles Galaxy's implied win probability has fallen by 5.4 percentage points, while Portland Timbers's implied win probability has risen by 4.8 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3
Portland Timbers losing run
2
Portland Timbers points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift away from Los Angeles Galaxy
Los Angeles Galaxy's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Los Angeles Galaxy win as less likely than it did 6 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Los Angeles Galaxy win
Latest market chance 44.6%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
50.0% → 44.6%
−5.4 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 24.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
23.5% → 24.1%
+0.6 pts
Portland Timbers win
Latest market chance 31.3%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
26.5% → 31.3%
+4.8 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Los Angeles Galaxy
Draw
Portland Timbers
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Los Angeles GalaxyPortland Timbers
Season Profile
This season
17th
League Position
20th
29
Games Played
28
1.24
Points/Game
1.18
1.34
Goals/Game
1.82
1.72
Conceded/Game
1.93
13.1
Shots/Game
13.6
5.3
Shots on Target
4.8
Home vs Away Context
Los Angeles Galaxy at home (17 matches) vs Portland Timbers away (17 matches)
1.59
Points/Game
0.88
1.53
Goals/Game
1.47
1.24
Conceded/Game
1.94
41%
Win Rate
24%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Los Angeles Galaxy
Home form
D
W
W
D
W
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Portland Timbers
Away form
L
D
L
L
D
Winless in last 5 away
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Los Angeles Galaxy Wins
1
Draws
2
Portland Timbers Wins
2
Avg Goals
4.2
Portland Timbers1 – 1Los Angeles Galaxy
Los Angeles Galaxy2 – 4Portland Timbers
Portland Timbers1 – 1Los Angeles Galaxy
Portland Timbers4 – 2Los Angeles Galaxy
Los Angeles Galaxy3 – 2Portland Timbers
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Los Angeles Galaxyvs
Portland Timbers
Recent Scoring Profile
1.50
Goals scored / game
1.80
2.10
Goals conceded / game
2.10
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
8/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
9/10
2/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 67.3%→Latest 68.5%+1.2 pts
Slight move towards 3+ goals
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 66.9%→Latest 68.8%+1.9 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
1 of Los Angeles Galaxy's 10 matches and 1 of Portland Timbers's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?