Los Angeles FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis

Archived Result — stats and prediction shown as they stood before kickoff
Banc of California Stadium
Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 03:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.45
Draw
3.67
Away Win
2.71
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 1
Match Events ?
Los Angeles FC
Vancouver Whitecaps
6'
🟥 Tristan Blackmon
Mathieu Choinière 🟨
25'
35'
🟨 Jesper Ingemann Sørensen
43'
⚽ Oliver Love Larraz
Denis Bouanga (Sergi Palencia) ⚽
46'
Igor Jesus 🟨
72'
76'
🟨 Édier Ocampo
Ryan Hollingshead 🟨
89'
90+2'
🟨 Mathías Laborda
Match Statistics ?
48%
Ball Possession
52%
12
Total Shots
9
4
Shots on Goal
3
3
Corner Kicks
2
15
Fouls
9
3
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
1
3
Offsides
1
2
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
Los Angeles FC (4-2-3-1)
H. Lloris
Sergi Palencia
R. Porteous
E. Segura
Y. Cheberko
S. Vasquez
M. Choinière
A. Sieb
Son Heung-Min
J. Shaffelburg
D. Bouanga
Vancouver Whitecaps (4-2-3-1)
Y. Takaoka
É. Ocampo
T. Blackmon
R. Priso
T. Johnson
A. Cubas
O. Larraz
E. Sabbi
R. Gauld
Y. Diaby
B. White
Player Ratings ?
Los Angeles FC
D. BouangaF7.6
Y. CheberkoD7.3
M. ChoinièreM7.2
Vancouver Whitecaps
O. LarrazM8.2
A. CubasM7.2
T. JohnsonD7.2
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Vancouver Whitecaps edge recent form, attack and head-to-head, defence is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Vancouver Whitecaps stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Vancouver Whitecaps stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Vancouver Whitecaps slightly stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Los Angeles FC have secured three victories from their last five home outings, while Vancouver Whitecaps have recorded a similar tally of three wins in their recent away fixtures. The hosts have found the net in four of their last five matches at home and have kept two clean sheets during that same span. Los Angeles FC carry no confirmed absences but have two players listed as doubtful, whereas Vancouver Whitecaps face one certain absence alongside two doubtful names. Vancouver Whitecaps rate stronger on form and attack, with a slight advantage in head-to-head, while defence is closely matched. The most recent meeting, on 2 August 2026, ended level, with 2 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 2.6 goals per meeting. Over the 2-day comparison window, Los Angeles FC's implied win probability has risen by 1.5 percentage points, while Vancouver Whitecaps's implied win probability has fallen by 1.8 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
?
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift away from Vancouver Whitecaps
Vancouver Whitecaps's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Vancouver Whitecaps win as less likely than it did 2 days ago. Los Angeles FC remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Los Angeles FC win
Latest market chance 38.8%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
37.3% → 38.8%
+1.5 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
25.9% → 26.2%
+0.3 pts
Vancouver Whitecaps win
Latest market chance 35.0%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
36.8% → 35.0%
−1.8 pts
9 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 2 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Los Angeles FC
Vancouver Whitecaps
Season Profile
This season
11th
League Position
2nd
28
Games Played
27
1.46
Points/Game
1.85
1.54
Goals/Game
2.22
1.07
Conceded/Game
1.07
15.0
Shots/Game
16.5
4.9
Shots on Target
6.0
Home vs Away Context
Los Angeles FC at home (17 matches) vs Vancouver Whitecaps away (17 matches)
1.82
Points/Game
1.71
1.88
Goals/Game
1.76
1.06
Conceded/Game
1.06
53%
Win Rate
47%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Los Angeles FC
Home form
W
W
L
D
W
Won 3 of last 5 at home
2.0
Goals scored
per match
0.6
Goals conceded
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Vancouver Whitecaps
Away form
D
W
W
W
L
Won 3 of last 5 away
1.8
Goals scored
per match
0.6
Goals conceded
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
4/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Los Angeles FC Wins
2
Draws
2
Vancouver Whitecaps Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.6
2026-08-022026
Vancouver Whitecaps1 – 1Los Angeles FC
2025-06-302025
Los Angeles FC0 – 1Vancouver Whitecaps
2025-05-122025
Vancouver Whitecaps2 – 2Los Angeles FC
2024-10-142024
Vancouver Whitecaps1 – 2Los Angeles FC
2024-05-122024
Los Angeles FC3 – 0Vancouver Whitecaps
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Los Angeles FC
vs
Vancouver Whitecaps
Recent Scoring Profile
0.90
Goals scored / game
2.20
1.20
Goals conceded / game
1.20
3/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
8/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
4/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
80.8%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
59.3%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
38.9%
BTTSBoth teams score
62.5%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 6 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 59.4%→Latest 59.3%−0.1 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
7 common bookmakers · first comparable 2 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 62.5%→Latest 62.5%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
6 common bookmakers · first comparable 2 days before kickoff
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
1 of Vancouver Whitecaps's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?
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