Los Angeles FC vs Minnesota United FC Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Banc of California Stadium
Mon 02 Nov 2026 · 01:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.68
Draw
4.44
Away Win
4.43
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 3
Match Events ?
Los Angeles FC
Minnesota United FC
29'
⚽ Joaquín Pereyra
34'
⚽ Cherrion Valerius (Kelvin Yeboah)
Igor Jesus 🟨
45+1'
45+5'
🟨 Joaquín Pereyra
Eddie Segura 🟨
58'
60'
🟨 Jefferson Abel Díaz Beleño
74'
🟨 Morris Duggan
81'
⚽ Joaquín Pereyra (Mauricio González Carabalí)
Tyler Boyd 🟨
84'
Sergio Vasquez ⚽
89'
90+3'
🟨 Nectarios Triantis
Match Statistics ?
60%
Ball Possession
40%
22
Total Shots
6
7
Shots on Goal
3
8
Corner Kicks
1
15
Fouls
17
3
Yellow Cards
4
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
1
0
Goalkeeper Saves
6
Starting Lineups
Los Angeles FC (4-2-3-1)
H. Lloris
Sergi Palencia
R. Porteous
A. Long
E. Segura
M. Choinière
Igor Jesus
A. Sieb
Son Heung-Min
L. Walta
D. Bouanga
Minnesota United FC (4-4-2)
D. Callender
Cherrion Valerius
J. Díaz
M. Duggan
A. Markanich
T. Chancalay
N. Triantis
O. Gene
M. Gonzalez
J. Pereyra
K. Yeboah
Player Ratings ?
Los Angeles FC
S. VasquezM7.5
J. ShaffelburgF6.7
Son Heung-MinM6.6
Minnesota United FC
J. PereyraF8.4
Cherrion ValeriusD7.4
K. YeboahF7.0
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Los Angeles FC edge recent form, defence and head-to-head, attack is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Los Angeles FC slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Los Angeles FC stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Los Angeles FC stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Los Angeles FC enter this MLS clash unbeaten in their last five home outings with two victories and three draws, while Minnesota United have struggled away from home with no wins from five matches and just two draws. The hosts have found the net in all five of their recent home games but have managed only a single clean sheet during that same period. Minnesota United face availability concerns with two players confirmed out and one listed as doubtful ahead of the fixture. Los Angeles FC rate stronger on defence and head-to-head, with a slight advantage in form, while attack is closely matched. Los Angeles FC won the most recent meeting 1-0 on 25 April 2026, having won 4 of the last 5 encounters to Minnesota United FC's 1, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 1.4 goals per meeting. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
5
Minnesota United FC losing run
3/5
One-goal H2H results
2
Minnesota United FC points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift towards Los Angeles FC
Los Angeles FC's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Los Angeles FC win as more likely than it did 3 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Los Angeles FC win
Latest market chance 56.7%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
55.8% → 56.7%
+0.9 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 21.7%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
22.6% → 21.7%
−0.9 pts
Minnesota United FC win
Latest market chance 21.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
21.6% → 21.6%
±0.0 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Los Angeles FC
Draw
Minnesota United FC
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 3 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Los Angeles FCMinnesota United FC
Season Profile
This season
11th
League Position
25th
32
Games Played
32
1.47
Points/Game
1.19
1.56
Goals/Game
1.56
1.09
Conceded/Game
1.75
15.0
Shots/Game
13.9
4.9
Shots on Target
5.0
Home vs Away Context
Los Angeles FC at home (17 matches) vs Minnesota United FC away (17 matches)
1.82
Points/Game
1.29
1.88
Goals/Game
1.82
1.06
Conceded/Game
2.12
53%
Win Rate
35%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Los Angeles FC
Home form
D
W
D
W
D
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Minnesota United FC
Away form
L
L
L
D
D
Winless in last 5 away
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Los Angeles FC Wins
4
Draws
0
Minnesota United FC Wins
1
Avg Goals
1.4
Minnesota United FC0 – 1Los Angeles FC
Minnesota United FC0 – 1Los Angeles FC
Los Angeles FC1 – 0Minnesota United FC
Los Angeles FC2 – 0Minnesota United FC
Minnesota United FC2 – 0Los Angeles FC
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Los Angeles FCvs
Minnesota United FC
Recent Scoring Profile
1.40
Goals scored / game
2.00
1.30
Goals conceded / game
2.40
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
9/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
9/10
2/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 6 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 62.0%→Latest 65.8%+3.8 pts
Strong move towards 3+ goals
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 60.7%→Latest 63.5%+2.8 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
4 of Los Angeles FC's 10 matches and 5 of Minnesota United FC's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?