Los Angeles FC vs Los Angeles Galaxy Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis

Archived Result — stats and prediction shown as they stood before kickoff
Banc of California Stadium
Mon 26 Oct 2026 · 01:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.57
Draw
4.65
Away Win
5.24
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 2
Match Events ?
Los Angeles FC
Los Angeles Galaxy
34'
⚽ Joseph Paintsil (Robert Taylor)
51'
⚽ Joseph Paintsil
Denis Bouanga ⚽
53'
Ryan Porteous 🟨
55'
Leo Walta ⚽
62'
90+3'
🟨 Pablo Ruiz
Match Statistics ?
57%
Ball Possession
43%
21
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Goal
4
12
Corner Kicks
1
9
Fouls
7
1
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
4
Offsides
2
2
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
Los Angeles FC (4-2-3-1)
H. Lloris
Sergi Palencia
R. Porteous
A. Long
Y. Cheberko
M. Delgado
Igor Jesus
L. Walta
Son Heung-Min
A. Sieb
D. Bouanga
Los Angeles Galaxy (4-2-3-1)
J. Marcinkowski
Harbor Miller
C. Garcés
J. Haak
J. Nelson
P. Ruiz
Sergi Roberto
R. Taylor
E. Thommy
J. Paintsil
Klauss
Player Ratings ?
Los Angeles FC
D. BouangaF8.0
L. WaltaM7.8
Son Heung-MinM7.0
Los Angeles Galaxy
J. PaintsilM8.8
J. MarcinkowskiG7.0
R. TaylorM6.9
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Los Angeles FC edge defence and head-to-head, Los Angeles Galaxy edge recent form, attack is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Los Angeles Galaxy stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Los Angeles FC stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Los Angeles FC stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Los Angeles Galaxy have recorded just one win from their last five away fixtures, while Los Angeles FC boast two victories in their last five home outings. The hosts at home have found the net in four of their last five matches but have kept just one clean sheet during that same period. Los Angeles Galaxy rate stronger on form, while Los Angeles FC rate stronger on defence and head-to-head, while attack is closely matched. Los Angeles FC won the most recent meeting 3-0 on 18 July 2026, having won 2 of the last 5 encounters to Los Angeles Galaxy's 1, with 2 ending level; the fixture has averaged 4.4 goals per meeting. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
?
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 5 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Los Angeles FC win
Latest market chance 61.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
61.2% → 61.6%
+0.4 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 20.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
20.6% → 20.3%
−0.3 pts
Los Angeles Galaxy win
Latest market chance 18.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
18.3% → 18.1%
−0.2 pts
Movement over time
Change vs first comparable snapshot
5 snapshots
+1+0.50−0.5Oct 21Oct 22Oct 23Oct 24Oct 25
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Los Angeles FC
Draw
Los Angeles Galaxy
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Los Angeles FC
Los Angeles Galaxy
Season Profile
This season
11th
League Position
17th
31
Games Played
31
1.48
Points/Game
1.29
1.55
Goals/Game
1.39
1.06
Conceded/Game
1.68
15.0
Shots/Game
13.1
4.9
Shots on Target
5.3
Home vs Away Context
Los Angeles FC at home (17 matches) vs Los Angeles Galaxy away (17 matches)
1.82
Points/Game
1.00
1.88
Goals/Game
1.41
1.06
Conceded/Game
2.12
53%
Win Rate
24%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Los Angeles FC
Home form
L
D
W
D
W
2W 2D 1L in last 5 at home
1.4
Goals scored
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Los Angeles Galaxy
Away form
D
L
L
W
L
Lost 3 of last 5 away
1.6
Goals scored
per match
3.2
Goals conceded
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Los Angeles FC Wins
2
Draws
2
Los Angeles Galaxy Wins
1
Avg Goals
4.4
2026-07-182026
Los Angeles Galaxy0 – 3Los Angeles FC
2025-07-202025
Los Angeles FC3 – 3Los Angeles Galaxy
2025-05-192025
Los Angeles Galaxy2 – 2Los Angeles FC
2024-09-152024
Los Angeles Galaxy4 – 2Los Angeles FC
2024-07-052024
Los Angeles Galaxy1 – 2Los Angeles FC
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Los Angeles FC
vs
Los Angeles Galaxy
Recent Scoring Profile
1.30
Goals scored / game
1.80
1.20
Goals conceded / game
2.20
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
8/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
8/10
2/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
84.3%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
66.4%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
45.8%
BTTSBoth teams score
62.1%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 6 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 67.1%→Latest 66.4%−0.7 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
6 common bookmakers · first comparable 5 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 62.2%→Latest 62.0%−0.2 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
5 common bookmakers · first comparable 5 days before kickoff
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
3 of Los Angeles FC's 10 matches and 3 of Los Angeles Galaxy's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
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