Los Angeles FC vs Austin Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Banc of California Stadium
Thu 15 Oct 2026 · 03:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.44
Draw
5.13
Away Win
6.63
Match Report
Full Time
3 – 1
Match Events ?
Los Angeles FC
Austin
Denis Bouanga (Son Heung-min) ⚽
52'
66'
⚽ Brandon Vazquez (Myrto Uzuni)
Denis Bouanga (Son Heung-min) ⚽
67'
Son Heung-min (Jacob Shaffelburg) ⚽
72'
Match Statistics ?
40%
Ball Possession
60%
28
Total Shots
14
11
Shots on Goal
4
7
Corner Kicks
5
8
Fouls
8
0
Yellow Cards
0
0
Red Cards
0
0
Offsides
2
3
Goalkeeper Saves
8
Starting Lineups
Los Angeles FC (4-2-3-1)
H. Lloris
Sergi Palencia
R. Porteous
A. Long
Y. Cheberko
M. Delgado
Igor Jesus
L. Walta
Son Heung-Min
A. Sieb
D. Bouanga
Austin (3-4-3)
B. Stuver
B. Hines-Ike
O. Svatok
Guilherme Biro
J. Rosales
Ervin Torres
B. Šabović
J. Gallagher
C. Ramirez
B. Vázquez
F. Torres
Player Ratings ?
Los Angeles FC
Son Heung-MinM9.6
D. BouangaF9.0
Sergi PalenciaD7.3
Austin
B. VázquezF8.1
B. StuverG7.1
J. RosalesM6.8
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Los Angeles FC edge defence, Austin edge recent form and head-to-head, attack is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Austin stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Los Angeles FC stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Austin stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Los Angeles FC have won two and drawn two of their last five home matches, while Austin have secured three wins from five away outings before this clash. The hosts have found the net in four of their last five home games but have also kept two clean sheets during that same period. Los Angeles FC face three confirmed absences, whereas Austin will be without one player and carry one doubt ahead of kickoff. Austin rate stronger on form and head-to-head, while Los Angeles FC rate stronger on defence, while attack is closely matched. The most recent meeting, on 22 March 2026, ended level, with 3 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 1.2 goals per meeting. Over the 6-day comparison window, Los Angeles FC's implied win probability has fallen by 1.2 percentage points, while Austin's implied win probability has risen by 1.0 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift away from Los Angeles FC
Los Angeles FC's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Los Angeles FC win as less likely than it did 6 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Los Angeles FC win
Latest market chance 65.3%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
66.5% → 65.3%
−1.2 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 20.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
19.9% → 20.1%
+0.2 pts
Austin win
Latest market chance 14.6%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
13.6% → 14.6%
+1.0 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Los Angeles FC
Draw
Austin
7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Los Angeles FCAustin
Season Profile
This season
11th
League Position
24th
29
Games Played
28
1.45
Points/Game
1.11
1.52
Goals/Game
1.29
1.07
Conceded/Game
1.82
15.0
Shots/Game
11.1
4.9
Shots on Target
4.2
Home vs Away Context
Los Angeles FC at home (17 matches) vs Austin away (17 matches)
1.82
Points/Game
0.94
1.88
Goals/Game
1.18
1.06
Conceded/Game
2.35
53%
Win Rate
24%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Los Angeles FC
Home form
W
L
D
W
D
2W 2D 1L in last 5 at home
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Austin
Away form
L
W
W
W
D
Won 3 of last 5 away
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Los Angeles FC Wins
0
Draws
3
Austin Wins
2
Avg Goals
1.2
Austin0 – 0Los Angeles FC
Austin1 – 0Los Angeles FC
Los Angeles FC0 – 1Austin
Los Angeles FC1 – 1Austin
Austin1 – 1Los Angeles FC
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Los Angeles FCvs
Austin
Recent Scoring Profile
0.90
Goals scored / game
1.40
1.20
Goals conceded / game
1.50
3/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
9/10
4/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 6 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 61.2%→Latest 62.4%+1.2 pts
Slight move towards 3+ goals
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 54.7%→Latest 56.2%+1.5 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
1 of Los Angeles FC's 10 matches and 1 of Austin's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?