Inter Miami vs FC Cincinnati Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Nu Stadium
Wed 28 Oct 2026 · 23:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.46
Draw
5.08
Away Win
5.67
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 2
Match Events ?
Inter Miami
FC Cincinnati
Lionel Messi 🟨
44'
Luis Suárez (Carlos Henrique Casimiro) ⚽
61'
80'
⚽ Kenji Mboma Dem (Evander)
86'
⚽ Samuel Mawuena Gidi (Tom Barlow)
Riquelme Fillipi (Rodrigo De Paul) ⚽
90'
Telasco Segovia 🟨
90+3'
Luis Suárez 🟨
90+4'
Match Statistics ?
61%
Ball Possession
39%
14
Total Shots
13
4
Shots on Goal
3
4
Corner Kicks
3
9
Fouls
10
3
Yellow Cards
0
0
Red Cards
0
4
Offsides
3
1
Goalkeeper Saves
2
Starting Lineups
Inter Miami (4-3-3)
D. St. Clair
G. Luján
Casemiro
Micael
Reguilón
R. De Paul
D. Ayala
M. Galarza
L. Messi
L. Suárez
G. Berterame
FC Cincinnati (3-5-2)
R. Celentano
S. Gidi
N. Hagglund
T. Hadebe
D. Douděra
G. Valenzuela
Evander
O. Nwobodo
Bryan Josías Ramírez León
K. Denkey
K. Mboma Dem
Player Ratings ?
Inter Miami
L. SuárezF8.2
Riquelme FillipiF8.0
R. De PaulM7.7
FC Cincinnati
K. Mboma DemF8.2
EvanderM7.7
T. BarlowF7.2
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Inter Miami edge recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Inter Miami stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Inter Miami stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Inter Miami stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Inter Miami stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
FC Cincinnati have recorded two wins and a draw from their last five away outings, while Inter Miami remain unbeaten at home with three draws and two victories in the same period. Inter Miami have scored in all five of their recent home matches but have kept just two clean sheets during that identical run. Both squads carry significant injury concerns, with Inter Miami listing two confirmed out and one doubtful player, while FC Cincinnati face two absences alongside two players under doubt. Inter Miami rate stronger on form, attack, defence and head-to-head. Inter Miami won the most recent meeting 5-3 on 14 May 2026, having won 2 of the last 5 encounters to FC Cincinnati's 2, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 4.0 goals per meeting. Over the 2-day comparison window, Inter Miami's implied win probability has risen by 4.6 percentage points, while FC Cincinnati's implied win probability has fallen by 3.3 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Inter Miami
Inter Miami's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Inter Miami win as more likely than it did 2 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Inter Miami win
Latest market chance 64.3%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
59.7% → 64.3%
+4.6 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 18.5%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
19.8% → 18.5%
−1.3 pts
FC Cincinnati win
Latest market chance 17.2%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
20.5% → 17.2%
−3.3 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Inter Miami
Draw
FC Cincinnati
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 2 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Inter MiamiFC Cincinnati
Season Profile
This season
3rd
League Position
15th
31
Games Played
31
1.77
Points/Game
1.35
2.35
Goals/Game
2.06
1.71
Conceded/Game
2.29
14.9
Shots/Game
14.3
6.0
Shots on Target
5.6
Home vs Away Context
Inter Miami at home (17 matches) vs FC Cincinnati away (17 matches)
1.59
Points/Game
0.94
2.71
Goals/Game
1.65
1.82
Conceded/Game
2.53
35%
Win Rate
18%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Inter Miami
Home form
D
D
D
W
W
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
2.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
FC Cincinnati
Away form
L
D
L
W
W
2W 1D 2L in last 5 away
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Inter Miami Wins
2
Draws
1
FC Cincinnati Wins
2
Avg Goals
4.0
FC Cincinnati3 – 5Inter Miami
Inter Miami0 – 0FC Cincinnati
FC Cincinnati3 – 0Inter Miami
Inter Miami2 – 0FC Cincinnati
FC Cincinnati6 – 1Inter Miami
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Inter Miamivs
FC Cincinnati
Recent Scoring Profile
2.40
Goals scored / game
1.50
1.30
Goals conceded / game
2.20
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
1/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 6 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 76.6%→Latest 77.4%+0.8 pts
Slight move towards 3+ goals
The market is pricing a higher chance of 3+ goals than either team's recent rate.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 71.9%→Latest 71.0%−0.9 pts
Slight move away from both teams scoring
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
4 of Inter Miami's 10 matches and 5 of FC Cincinnati's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?