Inter Miami vs DC United Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Nu Stadium
Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 00:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.44
Draw
5.35
Away Win
6.08
Match Report
Full Time
4 – 0
Match Events ?
Inter Miami
DC United
Luis Suárez (Germán Berterame) ⚽
3'
Luis Suárez (Germán Berterame) ⚽
39'
Lionel Messi (Luis Suárez) ⚽
47'
Lionel Messi (Rodrigo De Paul) ⚽
60'
Match Statistics ?
62%
Ball Possession
38%
17
Total Shots
15
9
Shots on Goal
2
4
Corner Kicks
2
17
Fouls
6
0
Yellow Cards
0
0
Red Cards
0
0
Offsides
1
2
Goalkeeper Saves
5
Starting Lineups
Inter Miami (4-3-3)
D. St. Clair
G. Luján
Casemiro
Micael
Reguilón
R. De Paul
D. Ayala
M. Galarza
L. Messi
L. Suárez
G. Berterame
DC United (4-4-2)
S. Johnson
K. Nono
L. Bartlett
K. Rowles
K. Kurokawa
Hosei Kijima
Nikola Markovic
A. Dozzell
Peglow
T. Baribo
J. Hopkins
Player Ratings ?
Inter Miami
L. SuárezF9.9
L. MessiF9.2
G. BerterameF7.9
DC United
J. HopkinsF6.8
PeglowM6.6
S. JohnsonG6.5
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Inter Miami edge attack and head-to-head, DC United edge recent form, defence is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
DC United stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Inter Miami stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Inter Miami stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
DC United have drawn four times and lost once in their last five away outings, while Inter Miami have secured a single win alongside three draws in their corresponding home fixtures. Inter Miami have scored in all five of their recent home matches but have failed to keep even a single clean sheet during that same period. The visitors face a Miami side with two confirmed absences and four players under doubt, whereas DC United have no confirmed out-counts but carry one doubtful selection. DC United rate stronger on form, while Inter Miami rate stronger on attack and head-to-head, while defence is closely matched. Inter Miami won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 7 March 2026, having won 4 of the last 5 encounters to DC United's 0, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.0 goals per meeting. Over the 2-day comparison window, Inter Miami's implied win probability has fallen by 2.1 percentage points, while DC United's implied win probability has risen by 1.6 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
6
Inter Miami unbeaten run
3/5
One-goal H2H results
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift away from Inter Miami
Inter Miami's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Inter Miami win as less likely than it did 2 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Inter Miami win
Latest market chance 66.4%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
68.5% → 66.4%
−2.1 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 17.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
17.4% → 17.9%
+0.5 pts
DC United win
Latest market chance 15.7%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
14.1% → 15.7%
+1.6 pts
9 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 2 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Inter MiamiDC United
Season Profile
This season
6th
League Position
25th
27
Games Played
26
1.70
Points/Game
1.15
2.37
Goals/Game
1.31
1.85
Conceded/Game
1.62
14.9
Shots/Game
12.8
6.0
Shots on Target
4.2
Home vs Away Context
Inter Miami at home (17 matches) vs DC United away (17 matches)
1.59
Points/Game
0.76
2.71
Goals/Game
1.12
1.82
Conceded/Game
1.88
35%
Win Rate
12%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Inter Miami
Home form
L
W
D
D
D
1W 3D 1L in last 5 at home
2.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
DC United
Away form
D
D
D
L
D
Winless in last 5 away
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Inter Miami Wins
4
Draws
1
DC United Wins
0
Avg Goals
3.0
DC United1 – 2Inter Miami
Inter Miami3 – 2DC United
DC United1 – 1Inter Miami
Inter Miami1 – 0DC United
DC United1 – 3Inter Miami
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Inter Miamivs
DC United
Recent Scoring Profile
2.10
Goals scored / game
1.20
2.00
Goals conceded / game
1.60
9/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
10/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
0/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 74.1%→Latest 74.3%+0.2 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 64.7%→Latest 66.5%+1.8 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?