Inter Miami vs Charlotte Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis

Archived Result — stats and prediction shown as they stood before kickoff
Nu Stadium
Sat 07 Nov 2026 · 21:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.39
Draw
5.63
Away Win
6.55
Match Report
Full Time
3 – 3
Match Events ?
Inter Miami
Charlotte
Telasco Segovia 🟨
9'
Ian Fray ⚽
14'
Luis Suárez (Germán Berterame) ⚽
33'
Rodrigo De Paul (Telasco Segovia) ⚽
42'
50'
⚽ Liel Abada (Tyger Smalls)
55'
⚽ Liel Abada (Pep Biel)
88'
🟨 David Schnegg
90'
⚽ Rodolfo Aloko
Match Statistics ?
60%
Ball Possession
40%
15
Total Shots
11
5
Shots on Goal
5
6
Corner Kicks
2
14
Fouls
6
1
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
4
Offsides
1
2
Goalkeeper Saves
2
Starting Lineups
Inter Miami (4-3-3)
D. St. Clair
I. Fray
Casemiro
Micael
Reguilón
R. De Paul
D. Ayala
T. Segovia
L. Messi
L. Suárez
G. Berterame
Charlotte (4-2-3-1)
K. Kahlina
N. Byrne
M. Agyemang
H. Kessler
H. Toffolo
D. Diani
A. Westwood
L. Abada
Pep Biel
L. de la Torre
I. Toklomati Giorno
Player Ratings ?
Inter Miami
L. SuárezF8.2
R. De PaulM8.1
G. BerterameF7.4
Charlotte
L. AbadaM8.4
R. AlokoF8.2
Tyger SmallsF6.8
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Inter Miami edge defence, recent form, attack and head-to-head are closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Closely matched
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Inter Miami stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Closely matched
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Inter Miami have secured two wins from three draws without a loss in their last five home outings, while Charlotte manage just one victory alongside two draws and two defeats across their last five away fixtures. The hosts have found the net in every one of Inter Miami's last five home matches, though they have kept two clean sheets within that same recent spell. Inter Miami rate stronger on defence, while form, attack and head-to-head are closely matched. The most recent meeting, on 14 March 2026, ended level, with 2 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 1.8 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 3-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
?
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 3 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Inter Miami win
Latest market chance 67.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
67.4% → 67.8%
+0.4 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 17.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
17.3% → 17.1%
−0.2 pts
Charlotte win
Latest market chance 15.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
15.3% → 15.1%
−0.2 pts
Movement over time
Change vs first comparable snapshot
4 snapshots
+1+0.50−0.5Nov 4Nov 5Nov 6Nov 7
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Inter Miami
Draw
Charlotte
9 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 3 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Inter Miami
Charlotte
Season Profile
This season
3rd
League Position
7th
33
Games Played
33
1.79
Points/Game
1.61
2.33
Goals/Game
1.91
1.70
Conceded/Game
1.45
14.9
Shots/Game
11.5
6.0
Shots on Target
4.9
Home vs Away Context
Inter Miami at home (17 matches) vs Charlotte away (17 matches)
1.59
Points/Game
1.18
2.71
Goals/Game
1.71
1.82
Conceded/Game
2.06
35%
Win Rate
29%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Inter Miami
Home form
D
D
W
W
D
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
2.4
Goals scored
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Charlotte
Away form
D
W
L
D
L
1W 2D 2L in last 5 away
2.0
Goals scored
per match
2.4
Goals conceded
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Inter Miami Wins
2
Draws
2
Charlotte Wins
1
Avg Goals
1.8
2026-03-142026
Charlotte0 – 0Inter Miami
2025-09-142025
Charlotte3 – 0Inter Miami
2025-03-092025
Inter Miami1 – 0Charlotte
2024-09-292024
Inter Miami1 – 1Charlotte
2024-07-042024
Charlotte1 – 2Inter Miami
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Inter Miami
vs
Charlotte
Recent Scoring Profile
1.90
Goals scored / game
2.30
1.30
Goals conceded / game
1.60
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
9/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
1/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
89.1%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
76.5%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
59.0%
BTTSBoth teams score
68.4%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 6 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 76.8%→Latest 76.5%−0.3 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
7 common bookmakers · first comparable 3 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 67.7%→Latest 68.4%+0.7 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
6 common bookmakers · first comparable 3 days before kickoff
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
6 of Inter Miami's 10 matches and 6 of Charlotte's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
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