Houston Dynamo vs St. Louis City Head to Head | MLS

Match Report

Full Time

0 – 1

Match Events

Houston Dynamo

St. Louis City

Lucas Halter 🟨

82'

90+7'

⚽ Lukas MacNaughton (Alexandru Măţan)

Match Statistics

41%

Ball Possession

59%

Total Shots

Shots on Goal

Corner Kicks

Fouls

Yellow Cards

Red Cards

Offsides

Goalkeeper Saves

Starting Lineups

Houston Dynamo (4-1-4-1)

J. Bond

Felipe Andrade

Lucas Halter

A. Resch

F. Negri

Artur

L. Ennali

M. Bogusz

A. Bouzat

Guilherme

L. Foster

St. Louis City (3-4-3)

B. Lundt

L. MacNaughton

T. Baumgartl

F. Fall

C. Wallem

D. Polvara

C. Durkin

T. Totland

Jeong Sang-Bin

Rafael Navarro

T. Ostrák

Player Ratings

Houston Dynamo

GuilhermeM7.2

F. NegriD7.0

A. ReschD6.9

St. Louis City

B. LundtG8.1

L. MacNaughtonD7.8

F. FallD7.2

Before Kickoff

Match Prediction

No clear statistical edge

The matchup is mixed. Houston Dynamo edge defence, St. Louis City edge attack, recent form and head-to-head are closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.

Statistical Edge

No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong

How They Compare

Recent Form

Closely matched

HomeAway

Attack

St. Louis City stronger

HomeAway

Defence

Houston Dynamo slightly stronger

HomeAway

Head-to-Head

Closely matched

HomeAway

Match Analysis

Houston Dynamo have secured just one win from their last five home outings, while St. Louis City boast two victories in their last five away fixtures. The hosts have scored in three of their last five matches at home but have managed only a single clean sheet from that same sample. St. Louis City rate stronger on attack, while Houston Dynamo hold a slight advantage in defence, while form and head-to-head are closely matched. St. Louis City won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 23 August 2026, having won 2 of the last 5 encounters to Houston Dynamo's 2, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.4 goals per meeting. Over the 4-day comparison window, Houston Dynamo's implied win probability has fallen by 1.3 percentage points, while St. Louis City's implied win probability has risen by 1.0 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.

Pre-Match Context

Notable Numbers

Houston Dynamo unbeaten run

3/5

One-goal H2H results

Market View

How the betting market has changed its view of this match

Market direction

Slight shift away from Houston Dynamo

Houston Dynamo's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Houston Dynamo win as less likely than it did 4 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion.

Movement strength: Slight

Match odds movement

Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest

Houston Dynamo win

Latest market chance 36.9%

Slight drift

Market chance decreased

38.2% → 36.9%

−1.3 pts

Draw

Latest market chance 26.8%

Steady

Market view unchanged

26.7% → 26.8%

+0.1 pts

St. Louis City win

Latest market chance 36.2%

Slight shortening

Market chance increased

35.2% → 36.2%

+1.0 pts

Movement over time

Change vs first comparable snapshot

4 snapshots

Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.

Houston Dynamo

Draw

St. Louis City

9 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 4 days before kickoff

Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.

Team Comparison

Houston Dynamo

St. Louis City

Season Profile

This season

10th

League Position

9th

Games Played

1.55

Points/Game

1.55

1.30

Goals/Game

1.76

1.27

Conceded/Game

1.45

12.8

Shots/Game

13.3

4.1

Shots on Target

4.9

Home vs Away Context

Houston Dynamo at home (17 matches) vs St. Louis City away (17 matches)

1.71

Points/Game

1.35

1.12

Goals/Game

1.35

0.88

Conceded/Game

1.47

47%

Win Rate

35%

Recent Form

Last 5 home / away matches

Houston Dynamo

Home form

1W 3D 1L in last 5 at home

1.2

Goals scored
per match

1.4

Goals conceded
per match

3/5

Scored in
last 5

1/5

Clean
sheets

St. Louis City

Away form

2W 1D 2L in last 5 away

2.0

Goals scored
per match

1.8

Goals conceded
per match

4/5

Scored in
last 5

1/5

Clean
sheets

Head-to-Head History

Last 5 meetings

Houston Dynamo Wins

Draws

St. Louis City Wins

Avg Goals

2.4

2026-08-232026

St. Louis City2 – 1Houston Dynamo

2025-08-312025

St. Louis City2 – 3Houston Dynamo

2025-06-292025

Houston Dynamo1 – 0St. Louis City

2024-10-062024

St. Louis City3 – 0Houston Dynamo

2024-05-052024

Houston Dynamo0 – 0St. Louis City

Goals & Scoring Trends

Last 10 matches, any venue

Houston Dynamo

St. Louis City

Recent Scoring Profile

1.30

Goals scored / game

2.20

1.60

Goals conceded / game

1.70

6/10

3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)

8/10

6/10

Both Teams Scored

6/10

3/10

Failed to Score

3/10

Market Goal Expectation

2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)

79.1%

3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)

57.1%

4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)

36.6%

BTTSBoth teams score

61.8%

Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 6 bookmakers.

3+ Goals (Over 2.5)

First comparable 57.1%→Latest 57.1%±0.0 pts

Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot

6 common bookmakers · first comparable 4 days before kickoff

Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.

Both Teams To Score

First comparable 61.3%→Latest 61.5%+0.2 pts

Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot

5 common bookmakers · first comparable 4 days before kickoff

Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.

6 of Houston Dynamo's 10 matches and 6 of St. Louis City's 10 matches are from last season.

Match Poll

Who do you think wins?

Houston Dynamo vs St. Louis City Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis