Houston Dynamo vs Minnesota United FC Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
BBVA Compass Stadium
Sun 25 Oct 2026 · 01:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.14
Draw
3.65
Away Win
3.23
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 0
Match Events ?
Houston Dynamo
Minnesota United FC
Antônio Carlos 🟨
9'
Agustín Bouzat 🟨
30'
Lawrence Ennali 🟨
34'
B. Olsen 🟨
44'
B. Olsen 🟥
45'
Match Statistics ?
55%
Ball Possession
45%
10
Total Shots
17
1
Shots on Goal
5
4
Corner Kicks
7
11
Fouls
16
3
Yellow Cards
0
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
1
5
Goalkeeper Saves
1
Starting Lineups
Houston Dynamo (4-2-3-1)
J. Bond
L. Ennali
Antônio Carlos
Lucas Halter
F. Negri
H. Herrera
Artur
M. Bogusz
A. Bouzat
Guilherme
L. Foster
Minnesota United FC (3-4-3)
D. Callender
Cherrion Valerius
J. Díaz
M. Duggan
B. Hlongwane
N. Triantis
O. Gene
A. Markanich
A. Jackson
K. Yeboah
M. Gonzalez
Player Ratings ?
Houston Dynamo
J. BondG8.3
Lucas HalterD7.3
H. HerreraM7.2
Minnesota United FC
J. DíazD7.1
M. DugganD7.0
O. GeneM6.9
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Houston Dynamo edge defence, Minnesota United FC edge attack, recent form and head-to-head are closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Closely matched
HomeAway
Attack
Minnesota United FC stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Houston Dynamo stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Closely matched
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Minnesota United FC have recorded just one win and a single draw from their last five away fixtures, while Houston Dynamo have secured one victory alongside three draws in their last five home outings. The hosts have found the net in three of their last five matches at this venue and have kept a clean sheet just once during that same period. Houston Dynamo face one certain absence and one player marked as doubtful, whereas Minnesota United FC will be without two confirmed players for the clash. Minnesota United FC rate stronger on attack, while Houston Dynamo rate stronger on defence, while form and head-to-head are closely matched. The most recent meeting, on 11 October 2026, ended level, with 2 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 3.0 goals per meeting. Over the 7-day comparison window, Houston Dynamo's implied win probability has fallen by 2.5 percentage points, while Minnesota United FC's implied win probability has risen by 1.7 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift away from Houston Dynamo
Houston Dynamo's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Houston Dynamo win as less likely than it did 7 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Houston Dynamo win
Latest market chance 44.6%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
47.3% → 44.6%
−2.7 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 25.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
25.3% → 25.8%
+0.5 pts
Minnesota United FC win
Latest market chance 29.7%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
27.4% → 29.7%
+2.3 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Houston Dynamo
Draw
Minnesota United FC
4 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 7 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Houston DynamoMinnesota United FC
Season Profile
This season
10th
League Position
25th
30
Games Played
30
1.57
Points/Game
1.13
1.37
Goals/Game
1.57
1.30
Conceded/Game
1.83
12.8
Shots/Game
13.9
4.1
Shots on Target
5.0
Home vs Away Context
Houston Dynamo at home (17 matches) vs Minnesota United FC away (17 matches)
1.71
Points/Game
1.29
1.12
Goals/Game
1.82
0.88
Conceded/Game
2.12
47%
Win Rate
35%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Houston Dynamo
Home form
D
W
D
L
D
1W 3D 1L in last 5 at home
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Minnesota United FC
Away form
W
L
L
L
D
Lost 3 of last 5 away
2.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
3.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Houston Dynamo Wins
2
Draws
2
Minnesota United FC Wins
1
Avg Goals
3.0
Minnesota United FC2 – 2Houston Dynamo
Minnesota United FC3 – 1Houston Dynamo
Houston Dynamo2 – 0Minnesota United FC
Houston Dynamo1 – 1Minnesota United FC
Minnesota United FC1 – 2Houston Dynamo
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Houston Dynamovs
Minnesota United FC
Recent Scoring Profile
1.20
Goals scored / game
2.50
1.50
Goals conceded / game
2.70
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
10/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
10/10
4/10
Failed to Score
0/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 6 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 58.8%→Latest 56.8%−2.0 pts
Notable move away from 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 61.1%→Latest 61.1%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
3 of Houston Dynamo's 10 matches and 3 of Minnesota United FC's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?