Houston Dynamo vs FC Dallas Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
BBVA Compass Stadium
Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 01:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.27
Draw
3.48
Away Win
3.11
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 2
Match Events ?
Houston Dynamo
FC Dallas
12'
⚽ Christian Cappis (Daniel Job)
Agustin Resch 🟨
27'
Franco Negri 🟨
28'
29'
• Petar Musa
Héctor Herrera (Guilherme Augusto) ⚽
49'
59'
🟨 Sebastien Ibeagha
Diadie Samassekou 🟨
60'
Lucas Halter 🟨
90'
Mateusz Bogusz ⚽ (P)
90+4'
Mateusz Bogusz 🟨
90+8'
90+11'
⚽ (P) Petar Musa
90+12'
🟥 Samuel Sarver
Match Statistics ?
57%
Ball Possession
43%
11
Total Shots
15
3
Shots on Goal
6
5
Corner Kicks
5
13
Fouls
20
5
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
1
2
Offsides
1
5
Goalkeeper Saves
1
Starting Lineups
Houston Dynamo (4-3-3)
J. Bond
L. Ennali
Lucas Halter
A. Resch
F. Negri
D. Samassékou
Artur
H. Herrera
M. Bogusz
L. Foster
Guilherme
FC Dallas (3-4-2-1)
Daniel
S. Moore
S. Ibeagha
N. Norris
H. Johansson
Ramiro
C. Cappis
B. Kamungo
P. Delgado
D. Job
P. Musa
Player Ratings ?
Houston Dynamo
H. HerreraM8.2
J. BondG7.7
GuilhermeF7.2
FC Dallas
C. CappisM7.6
D. JobM7.5
P. MusaF7.1
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Houston Dynamo edge defence, FC Dallas edge recent form, attack and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
FC Dallas stronger
HomeAway
Attack
FC Dallas stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Houston Dynamo stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
FC Dallas stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Houston Dynamo have secured two victories from their last five home outings, while FC Dallas have managed just two wins in their away record over the same span. The hosts have found the net in three of their last five matches at this venue, yet they have also kept a clean sheet on only two occasions during that identical period. Houston Dynamo face two confirmed absences ahead of this clash, whereas FC Dallas carry two certain misses and one player listed as doubtful for the fixture. FC Dallas rate stronger on form, attack and head-to-head, while Houston Dynamo rate stronger on defence. FC Dallas won the most recent meeting 4-3 on 22 March 2026, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Houston Dynamo's 1, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.2 goals per meeting. Over the 6-day comparison window, Houston Dynamo's implied win probability has fallen by 1.6 percentage points, while FC Dallas's implied win probability has risen by 0.7 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift away from Houston Dynamo
Houston Dynamo's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Houston Dynamo win as less likely than it did 6 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Houston Dynamo win
Latest market chance 42.1%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
43.7% → 42.1%
−1.6 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 27.3%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
26.5% → 27.3%
+0.8 pts
FC Dallas win
Latest market chance 30.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
29.9% → 30.6%
+0.7 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Houston Dynamo
Draw
FC Dallas
4 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Houston DynamoFC Dallas
Season Profile
This season
11th
League Position
5th
29
Games Played
29
1.59
Points/Game
1.72
1.34
Goals/Game
1.83
1.28
Conceded/Game
1.55
12.8
Shots/Game
12.8
4.1
Shots on Target
4.8
Home vs Away Context
Houston Dynamo at home (17 matches) vs FC Dallas away (17 matches)
1.71
Points/Game
1.53
1.12
Goals/Game
1.76
0.88
Conceded/Game
1.65
47%
Win Rate
41%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Houston Dynamo
Home form
W
D
W
D
L
2W 2D 1L in last 5 at home
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
FC Dallas
Away form
W
L
D
W
L
2W 1D 2L in last 5 away
2.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
3.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Houston Dynamo Wins
1
Draws
1
FC Dallas Wins
3
Avg Goals
3.2
FC Dallas4 – 3Houston Dynamo
FC Dallas0 – 2Houston Dynamo
Houston Dynamo1 – 2FC Dallas
Houston Dynamo1 – 1FC Dallas
FC Dallas2 – 0Houston Dynamo
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Houston Dynamovs
FC Dallas
Recent Scoring Profile
1.10
Goals scored / game
1.90
1.30
Goals conceded / game
1.90
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
4/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 4 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 54.4%→Latest 53.3%−1.1 pts
Slight move away from 3+ goals
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 57.6%→Latest 57.6%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
2 of Houston Dynamo's 10 matches and 2 of FC Dallas's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?