FC Dallas vs Seattle Sounders Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Toyota Stadium(Texas)
Thu 15 Oct 2026 · 01:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.85
Draw
4.06
Away Win
3.75
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 0
Match Events ?
FC Dallas
Seattle Sounders
Kaick da Silva Ferreira (Osaze Urhoghide) ⚽
63'
Patrickson Delgado 🟨
81'
Daniel 🟨
90+8'
Match Statistics ?
43%
Ball Possession
57%
15
Total Shots
17
3
Shots on Goal
7
7
Corner Kicks
11
6
Fouls
5
2
Yellow Cards
0
0
Red Cards
0
0
Offsides
2
7
Goalkeeper Saves
2
Starting Lineups
FC Dallas (3-4-2-1)
Daniel
S. Ibeagha
O. Urhoghide
S. Moore
R. Binyamin
Kaick
Ramiro
B. Kamungo
J. Valiente
S. Moreno
P. Musa
Seattle Sounders (4-2-3-1)
A. Thomas
K. Kossa-Rienzi
S. Hawkins
J. Ragen
N. Tolo
C. Roldan
S. Brunell
S. Gomez
A. Rusnák
P. Arriola
D. Joveljić
Player Ratings ?
FC Dallas
DanielG8.4
KaickM8.2
O. UrhoghideD7.3
Seattle Sounders
A. RusnákM7.2
J. RagenD7.0
S. HawkinsD6.9
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. FC Dallas edge recent form, Seattle Sounders edge attack, defence and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
FC Dallas slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Seattle Sounders slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Seattle Sounders slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Seattle Sounders stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
FC Dallas have secured three victories from their last five home outings, while Seattle Sounders have managed just a solitary win across their corresponding away fixtures in that same span. The hosts have scored in four of their last five matches at home but have also kept two clean sheets during that identical recent period. FC Dallas face a single doubtful concern, whereas Seattle Sounders carry three confirmed absences alongside two players listed as doubtful for the fixture. FC Dallas hold a slight advantage in form, while Seattle Sounders rate stronger on head-to-head, with a slight advantage in attack and defence. Seattle Sounders won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 26 April 2026, having won 4 of the last 5 encounters to FC Dallas's 0, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.0 goals per meeting. Over the 6-day comparison window, FC Dallas's implied win probability has fallen by 7.2 percentage points, while Seattle Sounders's implied win probability has risen by 5.4 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
8
Seattle Sounders losing run
4/5
One-goal H2H results
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift away from FC Dallas
FC Dallas's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a FC Dallas win as less likely than it did 6 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
FC Dallas win
Latest market chance 48.6%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
55.8% → 48.6%
−7.2 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 24.5%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
22.7% → 24.5%
+1.8 pts
Seattle Sounders win
Latest market chance 26.9%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
21.5% → 26.9%
+5.4 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
FC Dallas
Draw
Seattle Sounders
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
FC DallasSeattle Sounders
Season Profile
This season
6th
League Position
13th
28
Games Played
28
1.68
Points/Game
1.46
1.86
Goals/Game
1.36
1.61
Conceded/Game
1.25
12.8
Shots/Game
13.6
4.8
Shots on Target
5.0
Home vs Away Context
FC Dallas at home (17 matches) vs Seattle Sounders away (17 matches)
1.88
Points/Game
1.06
1.88
Goals/Game
1.06
1.35
Conceded/Game
1.35
53%
Win Rate
24%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
FC Dallas
Home form
L
W
W
D
W
Won 3 of last 5 at home
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Seattle Sounders
Away form
L
D
D
D
W
1W 3D 1L in last 5 away
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
FC Dallas Wins
0
Draws
1
Seattle Sounders Wins
4
Avg Goals
2.0
Seattle Sounders2 – 1FC Dallas
Seattle Sounders1 – 0FC Dallas
FC Dallas0 – 1Seattle Sounders
Seattle Sounders3 – 2FC Dallas
FC Dallas0 – 0Seattle Sounders
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
FC Dallasvs
Seattle Sounders
Recent Scoring Profile
2.00
Goals scored / game
1.80
2.00
Goals conceded / game
1.10
8/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
2/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 6 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 63.3%→Latest 60.9%−2.4 pts
Notable move away from 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 61.7%→Latest 62.5%+0.8 pts
Slight move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
1 of FC Dallas's 10 matches and 2 of Seattle Sounders's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?