FC Dallas vs Columbus Crew Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis

Archived Result — stats and prediction shown as they stood before kickoff
Toyota Stadium(Texas)
Thu 29 Oct 2026 · 00:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.00
Draw
3.98
Away Win
3.35
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 2
Match Events ?
FC Dallas
Columbus Crew
nolan norris 🟨
16'
18'
⚽ Gonzalo Tapia (Anass Zaroury)
Shaquell Moore 🟨
31'
70'
⚽ Santiago Rodriguez
Christian Cappis 🟨
83'
Herman Johansson 🟨
87'
90+6'
🟨 Marcelo Andrés Herrera
Match Statistics ?
52%
Ball Possession
48%
16
Total Shots
9
5
Shots on Goal
3
9
Corner Kicks
3
17
Fouls
8
4
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
1
1
Goalkeeper Saves
5
Starting Lineups
FC Dallas (3-4-3)
Daniel
S. Moore
O. Urhoghide
N. Norris
R. Binyamin
Ramiro
C. Cappis
B. Kamungo
P. Delgado
P. Musa
S. Moreno
Columbus Crew (3-4-3)
P. Schulte
S. Moreira
S. Zawadzki
M. Amundsen
B. Lennon
D. Chambost
T. Habroune
A. Zaroury
M. Farsi
G. Tapia
S. Rodríguez
Player Ratings ?
FC Dallas
P. MusaF6.9
O. UrhoghideD6.8
J. ValienteM6.7
Columbus Crew
S. RodríguezF8.2
P. SchulteG7.7
G. TapiaF7.6
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. FC Dallas edge recent form and defence, Columbus Crew edge attack and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
FC Dallas slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Columbus Crew slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
FC Dallas stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Columbus Crew stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
FC Dallas have remained unbeaten in their last five home outings with four victories, while Columbus Crew are winning three of their last five away matches despite two defeats. The hosts have scored in four of their last five home games yet have kept four clean sheets during the same period. FC Dallas face two doubtful players, whereas Columbus Crew have one player out and two others listed as doubtful for the match. FC Dallas rate stronger on defence, with a slight advantage in form, while Columbus Crew rate stronger on head-to-head, with a slight advantage in attack. The most recent meeting, on 24 September 2023, ended level, with 3 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 2.0 goals per meeting. Over the 3-day comparison window, FC Dallas's implied win probability has fallen by 0.8 percentage points, while Columbus Crew's implied win probability has risen by 0.6 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
4
Columbus Crew losing run
13
FC Dallas points from last 5 matches
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Market View
?
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift away from FC Dallas
FC Dallas's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a FC Dallas win as less likely than it did 3 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
FC Dallas win
Latest market chance 46.8%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
47.6% → 46.8%
−0.8 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 24.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
24.2% → 24.4%
+0.2 pts
Columbus Crew win
Latest market chance 28.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
28.2% → 28.8%
+0.6 pts
Movement over time
Change vs first comparable snapshot
3 snapshots
+1+0.50−0.5Oct 26Oct 27Oct 28
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
FC Dallas
Draw
Columbus Crew
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 3 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
FC Dallas
Columbus Crew
Season Profile
This season
5th
League Position
22nd
31
Games Played
31
1.74
Points/Game
1.23
1.87
Goals/Game
1.61
1.52
Conceded/Game
1.58
12.8
Shots/Game
12.6
4.8
Shots on Target
4.6
Home vs Away Context
FC Dallas at home (17 matches) vs Columbus Crew away (18 matches)
1.88
Points/Game
1.17
1.88
Goals/Game
1.78
1.35
Conceded/Game
1.83
53%
Win Rate
33%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
FC Dallas
Home form
W
D
W
W
W
Won 3 straight at home
1.4
Goals scored
per match
0.2
Goals conceded
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
4/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Columbus Crew
Away form
L
W
L
W
W
Won 3 of last 5 away
1.8
Goals scored
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
FC Dallas Wins
0
Draws
3
Columbus Crew Wins
2
Avg Goals
2.0
2023-09-242023
FC Dallas1 – 1Columbus Crew
2020-10-042020
FC Dallas2 – 2Columbus Crew
2019-03-162019
Columbus Crew1 – 0FC Dallas
2018-09-162018
FC Dallas0 – 0Columbus Crew
2017-08-272017
Columbus Crew2 – 1FC Dallas
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
FC Dallas
vs
Columbus Crew
Recent Scoring Profile
2.00
Goals scored / game
2.10
1.30
Goals conceded / game
1.00
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
1/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
82.6%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
63.1%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
42.3%
BTTSBoth teams score
64.4%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 6 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 63.2%→Latest 63.1%−0.1 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
6 common bookmakers · first comparable 3 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 64.3%→Latest 64.4%+0.1 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
5 common bookmakers · first comparable 3 days before kickoff
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
4 of FC Dallas's 10 matches and 4 of Columbus Crew's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?
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