FC Dallas vs Colorado Rapids Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis

Archived Result — stats and prediction shown as they stood before kickoff
Toyota Stadium(Texas)
Sun 08 Nov 2026 · 00:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.14
Draw
3.80
Away Win
3.21
Match Report
Full Time
3 – 1
Match Events ?
FC Dallas
Colorado Rapids
37'
🟨 Noah Cobb
47'
⚽ Morgan Whittaker (Georgi Minoungou)
Joaquín Valiente Cioli (Kaick da Silva Ferreira) ⚽
75'
81'
🟨 Matthew Elliott Wells
Kaick da Silva Ferreira (nolan norris) ⚽
88'
Santiago Moreno (Logan Farrington) ⚽
90+2'
90+5'
🟨 Kosi Thompson
Match Statistics ?
51%
Ball Possession
49%
27
Total Shots
6
10
Shots on Goal
1
6
Corner Kicks
4
11
Fouls
13
0
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
4
Offsides
4
0
Goalkeeper Saves
7
Starting Lineups
FC Dallas (4-4-2)
Daniel
H. Johansson
S. Ibeagha
O. Urhoghide
S. Moore
J. Valiente
Kaick
Ramiro
B. Kamungo
D. Job
P. Musa
Colorado Rapids (4-2-3-1)
N. Defreitas
K. Thompson
N. Cobb
Loïc Williams
M. Navarro
J. Atencio
H. Ojediran
W. Frederick II
M. Whittaker
P. Aaronson
S. Abu
Player Ratings ?
FC Dallas
KaickM9.0
L. FarringtonF7.7
J. ValienteM7.6
Colorado Rapids
G. MinoungouF7.2
N. DefreitasG7.0
M. WhittakerM6.5
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. FC Dallas edge recent form, defence and head-to-head, attack is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
FC Dallas stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
FC Dallas stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
FC Dallas stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Colorado Rapids have recorded three draws and two defeats in their last five away fixtures, whereas FC Dallas have secured three wins from a single draw and one loss during their last five home outings. FC Dallas have found the net in three of their last five matches at home while also keeping four clean sheets in that same recent period. FC Dallas rate stronger on form, defence and head-to-head, while attack is closely matched. FC Dallas won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 24 May 2026, having won 2 of the last 5 encounters to Colorado Rapids's 2, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 4.2 goals per meeting. Over the 6-day comparison window, FC Dallas's implied win probability has fallen by 1.2 percentage points, while Colorado Rapids's implied win probability has risen by 1.1 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3
Colorado Rapids losing run
3/5
One-goal H2H results
3
Colorado Rapids points from last 5 matches
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Market View
?
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift away from FC Dallas
FC Dallas's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a FC Dallas win as less likely than it did 6 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
FC Dallas win
Latest market chance 44.8%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
46.0% → 44.8%
−1.2 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 25.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
25.4% → 25.5%
+0.1 pts
Colorado Rapids win
Latest market chance 29.7%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
28.6% → 29.7%
+1.1 pts
Movement over time
Change vs first comparable snapshot
6 snapshots
+1.5+0.750−0.75Nov 2Nov 3Nov 4Nov 6Nov 7
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
FC Dallas
Draw
Colorado Rapids
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
FC Dallas
Colorado Rapids
Season Profile
This season
6th
League Position
18th
33
Games Played
33
1.67
Points/Game
1.30
1.79
Goals/Game
1.39
1.52
Conceded/Game
1.42
12.8
Shots/Game
12.1
4.8
Shots on Target
4.3
Home vs Away Context
FC Dallas at home (17 matches) vs Colorado Rapids away (17 matches)
1.88
Points/Game
0.59
1.88
Goals/Game
0.94
1.35
Conceded/Game
1.82
53%
Win Rate
12%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
FC Dallas
Home form
D
W
W
W
L
Won 3 of last 5 at home
1.0
Goals scored
per match
0.4
Goals conceded
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
4/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Colorado Rapids
Away form
L
D
L
D
D
Winless in last 5 away
1.0
Goals scored
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
FC Dallas Wins
2
Draws
1
Colorado Rapids Wins
2
Avg Goals
4.2
2026-05-242026
Colorado Rapids1 – 2FC Dallas
2025-09-212025
FC Dallas3 – 1Colorado Rapids
2025-03-022025
Colorado Rapids3 – 3FC Dallas
2024-09-012024
FC Dallas2 – 3Colorado Rapids
2024-04-212024
Colorado Rapids2 – 1FC Dallas
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
FC Dallas
vs
Colorado Rapids
Recent Scoring Profile
1.40
Goals scored / game
1.50
1.00
Goals conceded / game
1.60
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
2/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
78.9%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
57.3%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
36.4%
BTTSBoth teams score
59.9%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 6 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 58.2%→Latest 57.3%−0.9 pts
Slight move away from 3+ goals
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Nov 2Nov 3Nov 4Nov 6Nov 7
6 common bookmakers · first comparable 6 days before kickoff
The market is pricing a higher chance of 3+ goals than either team's recent rate.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 60.9%→Latest 59.7%−1.2 pts
Slight move away from both teams scoring
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Nov 2Nov 3Nov 4Nov 6Nov 7
5 common bookmakers · first comparable 6 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
6 of FC Dallas's 10 matches and 6 of Colorado Rapids's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
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