FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis

Archived Result — stats and prediction shown as they stood before kickoff
TQL Stadium
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.36
Draw
4.08
Away Win
2.69
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 0
Match Events ?
FC Cincinnati
Philadelphia Union
Ayoub Jabbari ⚽
70'
Match Statistics ?
51%
Ball Possession
49%
7
Total Shots
15
2
Shots on Goal
6
3
Corner Kicks
12
11
Fouls
4
0
Yellow Cards
0
0
Red Cards
0
0
Offsides
2
6
Goalkeeper Saves
1
Starting Lineups
FC Cincinnati (3-4-1-2)
R. Celentano
K. Smith
N. Hagglund
T. Hadebe
K. Mboma Dem
S. Gidi
O. Nwobodo
Bryan Josías Ramírez León
P. Bucha
T. Barlow
K. Denkey
Philadelphia Union (4-4-2)
A. Blake
F. Westfield
Neil Pierre
N. Harriel
K. Wagner
Q. Sullivan
I. Vassilev
J. Lukić
B. Bender
E. Alladoh
B. Damiani
Player Ratings ?
FC Cincinnati
R. CelentanoG8.0
A. JabbariF7.5
EvanderM7.2
Philadelphia Union
K. WagnerD7.6
N. HarrielD6.8
Neil PierreD6.8
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Philadelphia Union
Philadelphia Union rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Philadelphia Union a slight edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Philadelphia Union stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Philadelphia Union stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Philadelphia Union stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Philadelphia Union stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Philadelphia Union boast an impressive away record with four wins and a single draw from their last five outings, whereas FC Cincinnati have struggled at home with just one win and three defeats in that same span. FC Cincinnati have found the net in three of their last five home matches but have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of those five fixtures. Both sides carry squad concerns ahead of kick-off, with FC Cincinnati facing two confirmed absences and two players in doubt, while Philadelphia Union have two definite out-counts but no doubts to manage. Philadelphia Union rate stronger on form, attack, defence and head-to-head. Philadelphia Union won the most recent meeting 5-0 on 10 September 2026, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to FC Cincinnati's 2, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 4.2 goals per meeting. The overall statistical comparison gives Philadelphia Union a slight edge.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
8
Philadelphia Union unbeaten run
3/5
One-goal H2H results
13
Philadelphia Union points from last 5 matches
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Market View
?
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
FC Cincinnati win
39.9%
Draw
23.9%
Philadelphia Union win
36.1%
Based on 9 bookmaker(s) · not enough history yet to show movement
Team Comparison
FC Cincinnati
Philadelphia Union
Season Profile
This season
15th
League Position
12th
32
Games Played
32
1.34
Points/Game
1.47
2.06
Goals/Game
1.94
2.28
Conceded/Game
1.56
14.3
Shots/Game
16.6
5.6
Shots on Target
5.5
Home vs Away Context
FC Cincinnati at home (18 matches) vs Philadelphia Union away (17 matches)
1.67
Points/Game
1.24
2.17
Goals/Game
2.00
1.89
Conceded/Game
1.94
50%
Win Rate
35%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
FC Cincinnati
Home form
D
L
L
L
W
Lost 3 of last 5 at home
1.4
Goals scored
per match
2.2
Goals conceded
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Philadelphia Union
Away form
W
W
W
W
D
Unbeaten in last 5 away
3.0
Goals scored
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
FC Cincinnati Wins
2
Draws
0
Philadelphia Union Wins
3
Avg Goals
4.2
2026-09-102026
Philadelphia Union5 – 0FC Cincinnati
2025-08-312025
FC Cincinnati0 – 1Philadelphia Union
2025-03-022025
Philadelphia Union4 – 1FC Cincinnati
2024-10-202024
Philadelphia Union1 – 2FC Cincinnati
2024-06-202024
FC Cincinnati4 – 3Philadelphia Union
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
FC Cincinnati
vs
Philadelphia Union
Recent Scoring Profile
1.70
Goals scored / game
2.80
1.90
Goals conceded / game
1.10
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
8/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
2/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
86.1%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
69.4%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
49.9%
BTTSBoth teams score
70.1%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
6 of FC Cincinnati's 10 matches and 5 of Philadelphia Union's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
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