FC Cincinnati vs DC United Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
TQL Stadium
Thu 22 Oct 2026 · 00:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.67
Draw
4.77
Away Win
4.29
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 1
Match Events ?
FC Cincinnati
DC United
David Douděra ⚽
14'
38'
⚽ Kimito Nono (João Gabriel Martins Peglow)
54'
🟨 Kimito Nono
Teenage Hadebe (Evander) ⚽
55'
Nick Hagglund 🟨
87'
88'
🟨 Tai Baribo
Ayoub Jabbari 🟨
90+5'
Match Statistics ?
47%
Ball Possession
53%
15
Total Shots
13
6
Shots on Goal
4
6
Corner Kicks
9
8
Fouls
13
2
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
2
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
FC Cincinnati (3-4-1-2)
R. Celentano
K. Smith
N. Hagglund
T. Hadebe
D. Douděra
P. Bucha
O. Nwobodo
T. Malacia
Evander
T. Barlow
K. Denkey
DC United (4-4-2)
A. Bono
S. Hefti
L. Bartlett
K. Rowles
K. Kurokawa
K. Nono
A. Dozzell
B. Servania
Peglow
T. Baribo
J. Hopkins
Player Ratings ?
FC Cincinnati
D. DouděraM7.8
EvanderM7.7
T. HadebeD7.5
DC United
K. NonoM7.7
PeglowM7.4
A. BonoG7.0
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. FC Cincinnati edge attack, defence and head-to-head, recent form is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Closely matched
HomeAway
Attack
FC Cincinnati stronger
HomeAway
Defence
FC Cincinnati stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
FC Cincinnati slightly stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Both sides arrive at this MLS fixture carrying identical recent struggles, with DC United managing just two draws from five away outings while FC Cincinnati have recorded the same number of draws in three home defeats over their last five matches. FC Cincinnati have found the net in three of their last five home games but have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of those same five outings. There are minor squad concerns for both sides, with FC Cincinnati carrying one player out and another doubtful while DC United have just one confirmed absence ahead of kickoff. FC Cincinnati rate stronger on attack and defence, with a slight advantage in head-to-head, while form is closely matched. DC United won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 1 June 2025, having won 2 of the last 5 encounters to FC Cincinnati's 2, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.4 goals per meeting. Over the 2-day comparison window, FC Cincinnati's implied win probability has fallen by 0.5 percentage points, while DC United's implied win probability has risen by 1.3 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3
FC Cincinnati losing run
3/5
One-goal H2H results
2
FC Cincinnati points from last 5 matches
Advertisement
Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift towards DC United
DC United's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a DC United win as more likely than it did 2 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion. FC Cincinnati remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
FC Cincinnati win
Latest market chance 56.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
56.9% → 56.4%
−0.5 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 20.8%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
21.6% → 20.8%
−0.8 pts
DC United win
Latest market chance 22.8%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
21.5% → 22.8%
+1.3 pts
9 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 2 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
FC CincinnatiDC United
Season Profile
This season
19th
League Position
26th
29
Games Played
29
1.24
Points/Game
1.14
2.07
Goals/Game
1.28
2.41
Conceded/Game
1.76
14.3
Shots/Game
12.8
5.6
Shots on Target
4.2
Home vs Away Context
FC Cincinnati at home (18 matches) vs DC United away (17 matches)
1.67
Points/Game
0.76
2.17
Goals/Game
1.12
1.89
Conceded/Game
1.88
50%
Win Rate
12%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
FC Cincinnati
Home form
D
D
L
L
L
Lost 3 straight at home
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
DC United
Away form
D
L
D
L
L
Winless in last 5 away
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
3.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
FC Cincinnati Wins
2
Draws
1
DC United Wins
2
Avg Goals
2.4
FC Cincinnati1 – 2DC United
DC United0 – 1FC Cincinnati
DC United2 – 3FC Cincinnati
FC Cincinnati0 – 0DC United
DC United3 – 0FC Cincinnati
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
FC Cincinnativs
DC United
Recent Scoring Profile
1.20
Goals scored / game
1.00
2.60
Goals conceded / game
2.10
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
8/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
4/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 14 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 69.3%→Latest 74.0%+4.7 pts
Strong move towards 3+ goals
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 66.1%→Latest 70.6%+4.5 pts
Strong move towards both teams scoring
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
3 of FC Cincinnati's 10 matches and 3 of DC United's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?