DC United vs New York Red Bulls Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Audi Field
Thu 15 Oct 2026 · 00:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.92
Draw
4.08
Away Win
3.64
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 1
Match Events ?
DC United
New York Red Bulls
Tai Baribo ⚽ (P)
5'
19'
🟨 Devin Padelford
Lucas Bartlett 🟨
22'
Jackson Hopkins 🟨
29'
Silvan Hefti (Tai Baribo) ⚽
45+5'
67'
🟨 Dylan Nealis
Lucas Bartlett 🟥
68'
71'
⚽ Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting (Emil Forsberg)
73'
🟨 Ronald Donkor
Match Statistics ?
26%
Ball Possession
74%
4
Total Shots
24
3
Shots on Goal
6
3
Corner Kicks
11
9
Fouls
12
2
Yellow Cards
3
1
Red Cards
0
3
Offsides
0
5
Goalkeeper Saves
1
Starting Lineups
DC United (4-3-3)
S. Johnson
S. Hefti
L. Bartlett
K. Rowles
K. Kurokawa
K. Nono
A. Dozzell
B. Servania
O. Avilez
T. Baribo
J. Hopkins
New York Red Bulls (4-3-3)
E. Horvath
D. Nealis
J. Che
J. Bazán
D. Padelford
R. Donkor
A. Mehmeti
M. Sofo
J. Ruvalcaba
J. Hall
C. Cowell
Player Ratings ?
DC United
T. BariboF7.7
S. HeftiD7.5
S. JohnsonG6.7
New York Red Bulls
E. ForsbergM7.7
E. Choupo-MotingF7.3
C. CowellF7.2
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. DC United edge attack, New York Red Bulls edge recent form, defence and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
New York Red Bulls stronger
HomeAway
Attack
DC United slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
New York Red Bulls stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
New York Red Bulls stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
New York Red Bulls have recorded two wins and a draw in their last five away matches, while DC United have managed just one win from two draws and two losses at home over the same span. DC United have found the net in only two of their last five home outings and have kept two clean sheets during that identical period. Two players are unavailable for DC United, whereas New York Red Bulls will be without just one man ahead of kickoff. New York Red Bulls rate stronger on form, defence and head-to-head, while DC United hold a slight advantage in attack. The most recent meeting, on 23 April 2026, ended level, with 2 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 4.4 goals per meeting. Over the 6-day comparison window, DC United's implied win probability has fallen by 3.3 percentage points, while New York Red Bulls's implied win probability has risen by 3.1 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift away from DC United
DC United's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a DC United win as less likely than it did 6 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
DC United win
Latest market chance 49.7%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
53.0% → 49.7%
−3.3 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 23.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
23.6% → 23.8%
+0.2 pts
New York Red Bulls win
Latest market chance 26.5%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
23.4% → 26.5%
+3.1 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
DC United
Draw
New York Red Bulls
7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
DC UnitedNew York Red Bulls
Season Profile
This season
26th
League Position
18th
27
Games Played
28
1.11
Points/Game
1.29
1.26
Goals/Game
1.36
1.70
Conceded/Game
1.86
12.8
Shots/Game
14.3
4.2
Shots on Target
5.1
Home vs Away Context
DC United at home (17 matches) vs New York Red Bulls away (17 matches)
1.18
Points/Game
1.06
1.18
Goals/Game
1.24
1.71
Conceded/Game
1.94
29%
Win Rate
29%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
DC United
Home form
L
D
W
D
L
1W 2D 2L in last 5 at home
0.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
New York Red Bulls
Away form
L
D
L
W
W
2W 1D 2L in last 5 away
0.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
DC United Wins
1
Draws
2
New York Red Bulls Wins
2
Avg Goals
4.4
New York Red Bulls4 – 4DC United
DC United0 – 2New York Red Bulls
New York Red Bulls1 – 2DC United
New York Red Bulls2 – 2DC United
DC United1 – 4New York Red Bulls
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
DC Unitedvs
New York Red Bulls
Recent Scoring Profile
1.00
Goals scored / game
0.90
1.90
Goals conceded / game
1.30
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
4/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 6 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 62.8%→Latest 63.2%+0.4 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 62.5%→Latest 63.5%+1.0 pts
Slight move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
1 of DC United's 10 matches and 1 of New York Red Bulls's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?