DC United vs New York City FC Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Audi Field
Sat 07 Nov 2026 · 21:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
3.08
Draw
3.66
Away Win
2.26
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 1
Match Events ?
DC United
New York City FC
Brandon Servania 🟨
14'
24'
🟨 Talles Magno
28'
🟨 Raul Bicalho
87'
⚽ Talles Magno (Bénie Adama Traoré)
Match Statistics ?
39%
Ball Possession
61%
12
Total Shots
14
5
Shots on Goal
5
5
Corner Kicks
3
8
Fouls
15
1
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
5
Offsides
1
4
Goalkeeper Saves
5
Starting Lineups
DC United (4-4-2)
J. Farr
K. Nono
S. Hefti
S. Nealis
K. Kurokawa
O. Avilez
M. Peltola
A. Dozzell
N. Ordaz
B. Servania
Peglow
New York City FC (4-2-3-1)
M. Freese
T. Gray
Thiago Martins
Raul Gustavo
K. O'Toole
J. Sands
K. Parks
H. Wolf
N. Fernández Mercau
Talles Magno
Luighi Hanri
Player Ratings ?
DC United
K. NonoD7.0
S. HeftiD6.8
J. FarrG6.7
New York City FC
Talles MagnoM8.2
M. FreeseG7.9
T. GrayD7.2
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. DC United edge head-to-head, New York City FC edge recent form, attack and defence, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
New York City FC stronger
HomeAway
Attack
New York City FC stronger
HomeAway
Defence
New York City FC stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
DC United stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
New York City FC have recorded just one win from their last five away outings, while DC United have secured two victories in their most recent five home fixtures. DC United have found the net in three of their last five home matches but have managed to keep a clean sheet in only one of that same sample. New York City FC rate stronger on form, attack and defence, while DC United rate stronger on head-to-head. DC United won the most recent meeting 2-0 on 3 May 2026, having won 2 of the last 5 encounters to New York City FC's 1, with 2 ending level; the fixture has averaged 1.8 goals per meeting. Over the 6-day comparison window, DC United's implied win probability has fallen by 0.6 percentage points, while New York City FC's implied win probability has risen by 0.8 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift towards New York City FC
New York City FC's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a New York City FC win as more likely than it did 6 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
DC United win
Latest market chance 31.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
31.9% → 31.3%
−0.6 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.5% → 26.3%
−0.2 pts
New York City FC win
Latest market chance 42.3%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
41.5% → 42.3%
+0.8 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
DC United
Draw
New York City FC
7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
DC UnitedNew York City FC
Season Profile
This season
28th
League Position
22nd
33
Games Played
33
1.00
Points/Game
1.18
1.18
Goals/Game
1.45
1.82
Conceded/Game
1.36
12.8
Shots/Game
11.9
4.2
Shots on Target
4.7
Home vs Away Context
DC United at home (17 matches) vs New York City FC away (17 matches)
1.18
Points/Game
1.24
1.18
Goals/Game
1.12
1.71
Conceded/Game
1.24
29%
Win Rate
29%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
DC United
Home form
W
D
L
W
L
2W 1D 2L in last 5 at home
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
New York City FC
Away form
W
D
L
L
D
1W 2D 2L in last 5 away
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
DC United Wins
2
Draws
2
New York City FC Wins
1
Avg Goals
1.8
New York City FC0 – 2DC United
New York City FC1 – 2DC United
DC United0 – 0New York City FC
DC United1 – 1New York City FC
New York City FC2 – 0DC United
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
DC Unitedvs
New York City FC
Recent Scoring Profile
0.90
Goals scored / game
1.20
2.30
Goals conceded / game
1.40
8/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
4/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 57.2%→Latest 57.8%+0.6 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 61.0%→Latest 61.0%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
7 of DC United's 10 matches and 6 of New York City FC's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?