DC United vs FC Cincinnati Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Audi Field
Sun 25 Oct 2026 · 00:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.83
Draw
4.07
Away Win
2.21
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 2
Match Events ?
DC United
FC Cincinnati
24'
🟨 Obinna Nwobodo
Tai Baribo 🟨
34'
35'
⚽ Evander (Pavel Bucha)
38'
🟨 Tom Barlow
52'
⚽ Tom Barlow (Evander)
Match Statistics ?
53%
Ball Possession
47%
13
Total Shots
9
2
Shots on Goal
3
8
Corner Kicks
3
12
Fouls
10
1
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
1
1
Goalkeeper Saves
2
Starting Lineups
DC United (4-4-2)
S. Johnson
S. Hefti
L. Bartlett
K. Rowles
K. Kurokawa
K. Nono
B. Servania
A. Dozzell
Peglow
J. Hopkins
T. Baribo
FC Cincinnati (3-5-2)
R. Celentano
K. Smith
N. Hagglund
T. Hadebe
D. Douděra
P. Bucha
Evander
O. Nwobodo
Bryan Josías Ramírez León
T. Barlow
K. Denkey
Player Ratings ?
DC United
A. DozzellM6.7
K. KurokawaD6.7
J. HopkinsF6.6
FC Cincinnati
EvanderM9.0
T. BarlowF7.7
N. HagglundD7.6
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. FC Cincinnati edge recent form, attack and head-to-head, defence is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
FC Cincinnati slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
FC Cincinnati stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
FC Cincinnati stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
FC Cincinnati have recorded just one win and one draw from their last five away outings, while DC United have secured two victories and two draws in their last five home matches. At home, DC United have scored in three of their last five matches but have also kept two clean sheets during that same period. Both squads carry significant injury concerns ahead of kickoff, with DC United having three confirmed absences and one doubtful player, while FC Cincinnati similarly face three confirmed outlies alongside one doubtful selection. FC Cincinnati rate stronger on attack and head-to-head, with a slight advantage in form, while defence is closely matched. FC Cincinnati won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 22 October 2026, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to DC United's 1, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.4 goals per meeting. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3
FC Cincinnati losing run
4/5
One-goal H2H results
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 2 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
DC United win
Latest market chance 33.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
33.6% → 33.6%
±0.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 23.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
24.1% → 23.7%
−0.4 pts
FC Cincinnati win
Latest market chance 42.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
42.3% → 42.6%
+0.3 pts
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 2 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
DC UnitedFC Cincinnati
Season Profile
This season
26th
League Position
17th
30
Games Played
30
1.10
Points/Game
1.30
1.27
Goals/Game
2.07
1.77
Conceded/Game
2.37
12.8
Shots/Game
14.3
4.2
Shots on Target
5.6
Home vs Away Context
DC United at home (17 matches) vs FC Cincinnati away (17 matches)
1.18
Points/Game
0.94
1.18
Goals/Game
1.65
1.71
Conceded/Game
2.53
29%
Win Rate
18%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
DC United
Home form
D
W
D
L
W
2W 2D 1L in last 5 at home
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
FC Cincinnati
Away form
L
L
D
L
W
Lost 3 of last 5 away
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
3.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
DC United Wins
1
Draws
1
FC Cincinnati Wins
3
Avg Goals
2.4
FC Cincinnati2 – 1DC United
FC Cincinnati1 – 2DC United
DC United0 – 1FC Cincinnati
DC United2 – 3FC Cincinnati
FC Cincinnati0 – 0DC United
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
DC Unitedvs
FC Cincinnati
Recent Scoring Profile
1.10
Goals scored / game
1.30
2.00
Goals conceded / game
2.60
8/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
8/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
3/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 6 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 68.1%→Latest 70.9%+2.8 pts
Notable move towards 3+ goals
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 69.1%→Latest 70.8%+1.7 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
4 of DC United's 10 matches and 4 of FC Cincinnati's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?