Columbus Crew vs Toronto FC Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
ScottsMiracle-Gro Field
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 20:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.65
Draw
4.48
Away Win
4.67
Match Report
Full Time
4 – 2
Match Events ?
Columbus Crew
Toronto FC
Gonzalo Tapia (Mohamed Farsi) ⚽
16'
Malte Amundsen (Dylan Chambost) ⚽
21'
Sekou Tidiany Bangoura 🟨
32'
Malte Amundsen (Dylan Chambost) ⚽
48'
Brooks Lennon (Dylan Chambost) ⚽
59'
69'
⚽ Dániel Sallói (Theo Corbeanu)
Sekou Tidiany Bangoura 🟥
70'
81'
⚽ Josh Sargent (Emilio Aristizábal)
Match Statistics ?
47%
Ball Possession
53%
10
Total Shots
20
6
Shots on Goal
7
4
Corner Kicks
5
12
Fouls
7
1
Yellow Cards
0
1
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
1
5
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
Columbus Crew (4-4-2)
P. Schulte
S. Moreira
S. Zawadzki
M. Amundsen
A. Zaroury
M. Farsi
S. Bangoura
D. Chambost
S. Rodríguez
T. Habroune
G. Tapia
Toronto FC (4-3-3)
L. Gavran
R. Laryea
B. Kuscevic
Z. Monlouis
Matheus Pereira
N. Dorsch
J. Osorio
D. Mihailović
T. Corbeanu
J. Sargent
L. Morgan
Player Ratings ?
Columbus Crew
D. ChambostM9.3
M. AmundsenD8.4
G. TapiaF7.8
Toronto FC
T. CorbeanuF7.7
J. SargentF7.5
N. DorschM7.2
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Columbus Crew edge recent form, attack and defence, Toronto FC edge head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Columbus Crew slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Columbus Crew stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Columbus Crew stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Toronto FC stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Toronto FC have recorded two wins from their last five away outings, while Columbus Crew sit on three victories in their corresponding home sample over the same period. Columbus Crew have scored in four of their last five home matches but have only kept one clean sheet during that identical sample. The Columbus Crew face availability concerns with one player out and two listed as doubtful, whereas Toronto FC have three players unavailable but no doubts registered for their squad. Columbus Crew rate stronger on attack and defence, with a slight advantage in form, while Toronto FC rate stronger on head-to-head. Toronto FC won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 21 March 2026, having won 1 of the last 5 encounters to Columbus Crew's 2, with 2 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.6 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 3-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 3 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Columbus Crew win
Latest market chance 57.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
57.6% → 57.8%
+0.2 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 21.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
21.6% → 21.5%
−0.1 pts
Toronto FC win
Latest market chance 20.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
20.8% → 20.7%
−0.1 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Columbus Crew
Draw
Toronto FC
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 3 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Columbus CrewToronto FC
Season Profile
This season
21st
League Position
19th
30
Games Played
30
1.17
Points/Game
1.20
1.53
Goals/Game
1.53
1.57
Conceded/Game
1.83
12.6
Shots/Game
12.1
4.6
Shots on Target
4.4
Home vs Away Context
Columbus Crew at home (17 matches) vs Toronto FC away (17 matches)
1.71
Points/Game
0.71
1.71
Goals/Game
0.94
1.12
Conceded/Game
2.00
53%
Win Rate
18%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Columbus Crew
Home form
L
W
L
W
W
Won 3 of last 5 at home
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Toronto FC
Away form
W
L
L
L
W
Lost 3 of last 5 away
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Columbus Crew Wins
2
Draws
2
Toronto FC Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.6
Toronto FC2 – 1Columbus Crew
Columbus Crew1 – 1Toronto FC
Toronto FC1 – 1Columbus Crew
Toronto FC0 – 2Columbus Crew
Columbus Crew4 – 0Toronto FC
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Columbus Crewvs
Toronto FC
Recent Scoring Profile
1.80
Goals scored / game
1.70
1.10
Goals conceded / game
1.90
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
1/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 6 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 64.9%→Latest 65.1%+0.2 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 63.0%→Latest 62.3%−0.7 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
3 of Columbus Crew's 10 matches and 3 of Toronto FC's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?