Columbus Crew vs Charlotte Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis

Archived Result — stats and prediction shown as they stood before kickoff
ScottsMiracle-Gro Field
Thu 15 Oct 2026 · 00:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.02
Draw
3.96
Away Win
3.43
Match Report
Full Time
3 – 1
Match Events ?
Columbus Crew
Charlotte
17'
⚽ Idan Toklomati Jorno
Brais Méndez (Santiago Rodriguez) ⚽
28'
Anass Zaroury (Mohamed Farsi) ⚽
63'
Taha Habroune ⚽
65'
Malte Amundsen 🟨
69'
Patrick Schulte 🟨
72'
Match Statistics ?
53%
Ball Possession
47%
33
Total Shots
9
14
Shots on Goal
2
10
Corner Kicks
4
6
Fouls
6
2
Yellow Cards
0
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
3
1
Goalkeeper Saves
11
Starting Lineups
Columbus Crew (3-4-3)
P. Schulte
S. Moreira
S. Zawadzki
M. Amundsen
M. Farsi
D. Chambost
T. Habroune
A. Zaroury
Brais Méndez
Josef Martínez
S. Rodríguez
Charlotte (4-2-3-1)
K. Kahlina
Will Cleary
H. Kessler
T. Ream
H. Toffolo
A. Westwood
B. Bronico
L. Abada
Pep Biel
A. Saint-Maximin
I. Toklomati Giorno
Player Ratings ?
Columbus Crew
A. ZarouryM8.2
Brais MéndezF8.2
T. HabrouneM8.0
Charlotte
K. KahlinaG8.1
I. Toklomati GiornoF7.3
T. ReamD6.8
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Charlotte
Charlotte rate stronger in recent form, attack and head-to-head; Columbus Crew edge defence, giving Charlotte a slight edge.
Leads 3 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Charlotte stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Charlotte stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Columbus Crew slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Charlotte stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Charlotte arrive with an impressive away record of three wins and two draws from their last five matches, while Columbus Crew have suffered three defeats in their last five home outings. The host side have scored in four of their last five home fixtures but have kept just one clean sheet in that same span. Columbus Crew face a single confirmed absence, whereas Charlotte are managing without three players ahead of kickoff. Charlotte rate stronger on form, attack and head-to-head, while Columbus Crew hold a slight advantage in defence. Charlotte won the most recent meeting 3-1 on 16 August 2026, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Columbus Crew's 1, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.8 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 6-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison gives Charlotte a slight edge.
Advertisement
Market View
?
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 6 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Columbus Crew win
Latest market chance 47.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
46.8% → 47.5%
+0.7 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 24.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
25.1% → 24.6%
−0.5 pts
Charlotte win
Latest market chance 28.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
28.1% → 28.0%
−0.1 pts
Movement over time
Change vs first comparable snapshot
6 snapshots
+1+0.50−0.5Oct 9Oct 10Oct 11Oct 13Oct 14
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Columbus Crew
Draw
Charlotte
7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Columbus Crew
Charlotte
Season Profile
This season
27th
League Position
7th
28
Games Played
28
1.04
Points/Game
1.64
1.46
Goals/Game
1.79
1.64
Conceded/Game
1.43
12.6
Shots/Game
11.5
4.6
Shots on Target
4.9
Home vs Away Context
Columbus Crew at home (17 matches) vs Charlotte away (17 matches)
1.71
Points/Game
1.18
1.71
Goals/Game
1.71
1.12
Conceded/Game
2.06
53%
Win Rate
29%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Columbus Crew
Home form
L
L
W
L
W
Lost 3 of last 5 at home
1.4
Goals scored
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Charlotte
Away form
D
W
W
D
W
Unbeaten in last 5 away
2.4
Goals scored
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Columbus Crew Wins
1
Draws
1
Charlotte Wins
3
Avg Goals
3.8
2026-08-162026
Charlotte3 – 1Columbus Crew
2025-05-252025
Charlotte3 – 2Columbus Crew
2025-05-042025
Columbus Crew4 – 2Charlotte
2024-07-182024
Columbus Crew1 – 1Charlotte
2024-03-232024
Charlotte2 – 0Columbus Crew
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Columbus Crew
vs
Charlotte
Recent Scoring Profile
1.50
Goals scored / game
2.10
1.80
Goals conceded / game
1.30
8/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
1/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
82.9%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
63.3%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
42.5%
BTTSBoth teams score
64.7%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 6 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 59.5%→Latest 62.5%+3.0 pts
Strong move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Oct 9Oct 10Oct 11Oct 13Oct 14
3 common bookmakers · first comparable 6 days before kickoff
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 61.9%→Latest 64.4%+2.5 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Oct 9Oct 10Oct 11Oct 13Oct 14
4 common bookmakers · first comparable 6 days before kickoff
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
1 of Columbus Crew's 10 matches and 1 of Charlotte's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?
Loading poll…