Colorado Rapids vs San Jose Earthquakes Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Dick's Sporting Goods Park
Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 02:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.90
Draw
3.84
Away Win
3.77
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 1
Match Events ?
Colorado Rapids
San Jose Earthquakes
Donavan Phillip (Paxten Aaronson) ⚽
27'
44'
🟨 Jack Jasinski
Loïc Williams Ntambue Kayumba Gironés 🟨
45+3'
57'
⚽ Dave Romney (Ronaldo Vieira)
Matthew Elliott Wells 🟨
90+4'
Match Statistics ?
63%
Ball Possession
37%
13
Total Shots
9
10
Shots on Goal
3
6
Corner Kicks
3
16
Fouls
12
1
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
5
Offsides
7
2
Goalkeeper Saves
9
Starting Lineups
Colorado Rapids (4-3-3)
N. Defreitas
R. Cannon
R. Holding
Loïc Williams
M. Navarro
J. Atencio
M. Whittaker
W. Frederick II
D. Phillip
S. Farhi
P. Aaronson
San Jose Earthquakes (5-3-2)
E. Edwards
P. Marie
Jack Jasinski
D. Munie
D. Romney
Vítor Costa
E. Löwen
R. Vieira
Beau Leroux
P. Judd
T. Werner
Player Ratings ?
Colorado Rapids
D. PhillipF8.2
P. AaronsonF7.7
M. NavarroD7.2
San Jose Earthquakes
E. EdwardsG7.8
D. RomneyD7.3
R. VieiraM7.1
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Colorado Rapids edge recent form and defence, San Jose Earthquakes edge head-to-head, attack is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Colorado Rapids slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Colorado Rapids stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
San Jose Earthquakes stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Colorado Rapids boast a perfect record in their last five home outings, while San Jose Earthquakes have managed just one win from their last five away fixtures. Colorado Rapids have scored in all five of their home matches and kept four clean sheets during that same sample. Both squads carry injury concerns, with Colorado Rapids facing two confirmed absences and two doubts alongside San Jose Earthquakes dealing with one absence and one doubt. Colorado Rapids rate stronger on defence, with a slight advantage in form, while San Jose Earthquakes rate stronger on head-to-head, while attack is closely matched. San Jose Earthquakes won the most recent meeting 2-0 on 11 May 2025, having won 2 of the last 5 encounters to Colorado Rapids's 2, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.6 goals per meeting. Over the 2-day comparison window, Colorado Rapids's implied win probability has risen by 0.9 percentage points, while San Jose Earthquakes's implied win probability has fallen by 1.1 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
6
San Jose Earthquakes unbeaten run
13
Colorado Rapids points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift away from San Jose Earthquakes
San Jose Earthquakes's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a San Jose Earthquakes win as less likely than it did 2 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion. Colorado Rapids remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Colorado Rapids win
Latest market chance 49.5%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
48.6% → 49.5%
+0.9 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 25.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
24.9% → 25.3%
+0.4 pts
San Jose Earthquakes win
Latest market chance 25.3%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
26.4% → 25.3%
−1.1 pts
9 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 2 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Colorado RapidsSan Jose Earthquakes
Season Profile
This season
14th
League Position
8th
27
Games Played
27
1.33
Points/Game
1.67
1.41
Goals/Game
1.81
1.41
Conceded/Game
1.44
12.1
Shots/Game
13.3
4.3
Shots on Target
4.9
Home vs Away Context
Colorado Rapids at home (17 matches) vs San Jose Earthquakes away (17 matches)
1.94
Points/Game
1.53
1.82
Goals/Game
1.59
1.12
Conceded/Game
1.47
59%
Win Rate
41%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Colorado Rapids
Home form
W
W
W
W
D
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
4/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
San Jose Earthquakes
Away form
L
L
D
D
W
1W 2D 2L in last 5 away
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Colorado Rapids Wins
2
Draws
1
San Jose Earthquakes Wins
2
Avg Goals
2.6
Colorado Rapids0 – 2San Jose Earthquakes
San Jose Earthquakes1 – 2Colorado Rapids
Colorado Rapids2 – 3San Jose Earthquakes
San Jose Earthquakes0 – 3Colorado Rapids
Colorado Rapids0 – 0San Jose Earthquakes
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Colorado Rapidsvs
San Jose Earthquakes
Recent Scoring Profile
1.20
Goals scored / game
1.40
1.30
Goals conceded / game
1.90
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
3/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
2/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 6 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 61.1%→Latest 58.7%−2.4 pts
Notable move away from 3+ goals
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 62.5%→Latest 61.2%−1.3 pts
Slight move away from both teams scoring
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?