Colorado Rapids vs Minnesota United FC Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Dick's Sporting Goods Park
Thu 15 Oct 2026 · 02:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.83
Draw
3.96
Away Win
4.20
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 2
Match Events ?
Colorado Rapids
Minnesota United FC
Darren Yapi 🟨
11'
Darren Yapi (Keegan Rosenberry) ⚽
45+1'
52'
⚽ Kelvin Yeboah
Sayed Abu Farkhi 🟥
68'
Georgi Minoungou ⚽
74'
Miguel Navarro 🟨
79'
83'
⚽ (OG) Loïc Williams Ntambue Kayumba Gironés
87'
🟨 Owen Gene
Match Statistics ?
60%
Ball Possession
40%
15
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Goal
2
7
Corner Kicks
4
7
Fouls
10
2
Yellow Cards
1
1
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
4
1
Goalkeeper Saves
2
Starting Lineups
Colorado Rapids (4-3-3)
N. Defreitas
K. Rosenberry
R. Holding
Loïc Williams
M. Navarro
W. Frederick II
H. Ojediran
P. Aaronson
M. Whittaker
D. Phillip
D. Yapi
Minnesota United FC (4-4-2)
D. Callender
Cherrion Valerius
J. Díaz
M. Boxall
M. Duggan
B. Hlongwane
O. Gene
W. Trapp
T. Chancalay
K. Yeboah
Marcus Caldeira
Player Ratings ?
Colorado Rapids
G. MinoungouF7.7
D. YapiF6.9
M. WhittakerF6.8
Minnesota United FC
K. YeboahF8.1
M. GonzalezF7.1
W. TrappM6.8
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Colorado Rapids
Colorado Rapids rate stronger in recent form, defence and head-to-head; Minnesota United FC edge attack, giving Colorado Rapids a slight edge.
Leads 3 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Colorado Rapids stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Minnesota United FC slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Colorado Rapids stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Colorado Rapids stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Colorado Rapids have enjoyed an unbeaten run at home in their last five outings, while Minnesota United FC have struggled on the road with just a single win and a draw from their last five away matches. The Rapids have found the net in all five of their home fixtures recently and have also managed three clean sheets during that same period. Colorado Rapids face a selection headache with three players unavailable and two others in doubt, whereas Minnesota United FC have three confirmed absences but no doubtful players. Colorado Rapids rate stronger on form, defence and head-to-head, while Minnesota United FC hold a slight advantage in attack. Colorado Rapids won the most recent meeting 1-0 on 14 May 2026, having won 2 of the last 5 encounters to Minnesota United FC's 1, with 2 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.0 goals per meeting. Over the 6-day comparison window, Colorado Rapids's implied win probability has risen by 5.4 percentage points, while Minnesota United FC's implied win probability has fallen by 4.4 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison gives Colorado Rapids a slight edge.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Colorado Rapids
Colorado Rapids's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Colorado Rapids win as more likely than it did 6 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Colorado Rapids win
Latest market chance 51.9%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
46.5% → 51.9%
+5.4 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 24.7%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
25.7% → 24.7%
−1.0 pts
Minnesota United FC win
Latest market chance 23.5%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
27.9% → 23.5%
−4.4 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Colorado Rapids
Draw
Minnesota United FC
7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Colorado RapidsMinnesota United FC
Season Profile
This season
14th
League Position
25th
28
Games Played
28
1.32
Points/Game
1.07
1.39
Goals/Game
1.50
1.39
Conceded/Game
1.82
12.1
Shots/Game
13.9
4.3
Shots on Target
5.0
Home vs Away Context
Colorado Rapids at home (17 matches) vs Minnesota United FC away (17 matches)
1.94
Points/Game
1.29
1.82
Goals/Game
1.82
1.12
Conceded/Game
2.12
59%
Win Rate
35%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Colorado Rapids
Home form
W
W
W
D
D
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Minnesota United FC
Away form
D
W
L
L
L
Lost 3 straight away
2.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Colorado Rapids Wins
2
Draws
2
Minnesota United FC Wins
1
Avg Goals
3.0
Minnesota United FC0 – 1Colorado Rapids
Colorado Rapids1 – 1Minnesota United FC
Minnesota United FC1 – 2Colorado Rapids
Minnesota United FC3 – 0Colorado Rapids
Colorado Rapids3 – 3Minnesota United FC
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Colorado Rapidsvs
Minnesota United FC
Recent Scoring Profile
1.20
Goals scored / game
2.20
1.40
Goals conceded / game
2.60
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
9/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
10/10
2/10
Failed to Score
0/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 6 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 58.7%→Latest 57.6%−1.1 pts
Slight move away from 3+ goals
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 61.0%→Latest 58.5%−2.5 pts
Notable move away from both teams scoring
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
1 of Colorado Rapids's 10 matches and 1 of Minnesota United FC's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?