Colorado Rapids vs Chicago Fire Head to Head | MLS

Match Report

Full Time

2 – 4

Match Events

Colorado Rapids

Chicago Fire

Morgan Whittaker (Georgi Minoungou) ⚽

22'

41'

⚽ Jonathan Bamba

45+1'

🟨 Noah Allen

Miguel Navarro 🟨

51'

56'

⚽ Jonathan Bamba (Jonathan Dean)

Paxten Aaronson (Georgi Minoungou) ⚽

58'

Hamzat Ojediran 🟨

68'

Theodore Ku-DiPietro 🟨

70'

74'

⚽ Robert Lewandowski (Philip Zinckernagel)

88'

⚽ Puso Dithejane (Robert Lewandowski)

Rob Holding 🟨

90'

90+2'

🟨 Andrew Gutman

Match Statistics

57%

Ball Possession

43%

Total Shots

Shots on Goal

Corner Kicks

Fouls

Yellow Cards

Red Cards

Offsides

Goalkeeper Saves

Starting Lineups

Colorado Rapids (4-2-3-1)

N. Defreitas

K. Rosenberry

R. Holding

Loïc Williams

M. Navarro

W. Frederick II

H. Ojediran

M. Whittaker

P. Aaronson

G. Minoungou

D. Yapi

Chicago Fire (4-4-2)

C. Brady

J. Dean

J. Elliott

M. Mbokazi

N. Allen

P. Zinckernagel

A. Salétros

T. D'Avilla

J. Bamba

J. Gómez

M. Haile-Selassie

Player Ratings

Colorado Rapids

M. WhittakerM8.2

P. AaronsonM7.9

G. MinoungouM7.8

Chicago Fire

J. BambaM9.3

R. LewandowskiF8.1

P. ZinckernagelM7.7

Before Kickoff

Match Prediction

No clear statistical edge

The matchup is mixed. Colorado Rapids edge defence, Chicago Fire edge recent form and head-to-head, attack is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.

Statistical Edge

No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong

How They Compare

Recent Form

Chicago Fire slightly stronger

HomeAway

Attack

Closely matched

HomeAway

Defence

Colorado Rapids slightly stronger

HomeAway

Head-to-Head

Chicago Fire stronger

HomeAway

Match Analysis

Colorado Rapids have remained unbeaten in their last five home outings with two wins and three draws, while Chicago Fire have recorded just two victories from five away matches. The hosts have found the net in all of their last five home games but have kept a clean sheet only twice during that same period. Colorado Rapids face some squad concerns with one player confirmed out and four others doubtful, whereas Chicago Fire have no confirmed absences though two players remain in doubt. Chicago Fire rate stronger on head-to-head, with a slight advantage in form, while Colorado Rapids hold a slight advantage in defence, while attack is closely matched. This is the first time these two sides have met in the league since 2019. The market has remained broadly steady over the 2-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.

Market View

How the betting market has changed its view of this match

Market direction

Little change in the market

The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 2 days before kickoff.

Movement strength: Steady

Match odds movement

Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest

Colorado Rapids win

Latest market chance 41.5%

Steady

Market view unchanged

41.3% → 41.5%

+0.2 pts

Draw

Latest market chance 26.0%

Steady

Market view unchanged

26.1% → 26.0%

−0.1 pts

Chicago Fire win

Latest market chance 32.5%

Steady

Market view unchanged

32.7% → 32.5%

−0.2 pts

8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 2 days before kickoff

Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.

Team Comparison

Colorado Rapids

Chicago Fire

Season Profile

This season

16th

League Position

7th

Games Played

1.34

Points/Game

1.63

1.38

Goals/Game

1.78

1.34

Conceded/Game

1.50

12.1

Shots/Game

14.5

4.3

Shots on Target

5.2

Home vs Away Context

Colorado Rapids at home (17 matches) vs Chicago Fire away (17 matches)

1.94

Points/Game

1.53

1.82

Goals/Game

1.82

1.12

Conceded/Game

1.71

59%

Win Rate

41%

Recent Form

Last 5 home / away matches

Colorado Rapids

Home form

Unbeaten in last 5 at home

1.6

Goals scored
per match

1.2

Goals conceded
per match

5/5

Scored in
last 5

2/5

Clean
sheets

Chicago Fire

Away form

2W 1D 2L in last 5 away

1.6

Goals scored
per match

2.0

Goals conceded
per match

3/5

Scored in
last 5

1/5

Clean
sheets

Head-to-Head History

Last 5 meetings

Colorado Rapids Wins

Draws

Chicago Fire Wins

Avg Goals

3.2

2019-04-202019

Chicago Fire4 – 1Colorado Rapids

2018-06-142018

Colorado Rapids2 – 2Chicago Fire

2017-05-182017

Chicago Fire3 – 0Colorado Rapids

2016-06-192016

Colorado Rapids2 – 1Chicago Fire

2015-08-232015

Chicago Fire0 – 1Colorado Rapids

Goals & Scoring Trends

Last 10 matches, any venue

Colorado Rapids

Chicago Fire

Recent Scoring Profile

1.30

Goals scored / game

1.40

1.50

Goals conceded / game

1.60

5/10

3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)

7/10

6/10

Both Teams Scored

7/10

2/10

Failed to Score

2/10

Market Goal Expectation

2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)

78.8%

3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)

57.4%

4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)

36.8%

BTTSBoth teams score

61.0%

Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 6 bookmakers.

3+ Goals (Over 2.5)

First comparable 57.9%→Latest 57.4%−0.5 pts

Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot

6 common bookmakers · first comparable 2 days before kickoff

Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.

Both Teams To Score

First comparable 60.9%→Latest 60.9%±0.0 pts

Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot

5 common bookmakers · first comparable 2 days before kickoff

Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.

5 of Colorado Rapids's 10 matches and 6 of Chicago Fire's 10 matches are from last season.

Match Poll

Who do you think wins?

Colorado Rapids vs Chicago Fire Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis