Chicago Fire vs Orlando City SC Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Soldier Field
Thu 29 Oct 2026 · 00:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.59
Draw
4.91
Away Win
4.51
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 2
Match Events ?
Chicago Fire
Orlando City SC
6'
⚽ Iván Angulo (Antoine Griezmann)
Sergio Oregel 🟨
30'
35'
⚽ Antoine Griezmann (Vinicius Nogueira)
Jack Elliott 🟨
45'
45+3'
🟨 Justin Ellis
Jonathan Bamba (Leonardo Barroso) ⚽
57'
Maren Haile-Selassie (Jonathan Bamba) ⚽
69'
76'
🟨 David Brekalo
Match Statistics ?
58%
Ball Possession
42%
23
Total Shots
9
5
Shots on Goal
5
8
Corner Kicks
3
14
Fouls
9
2
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
5
3
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
Chicago Fire (4-3-3)
C. Brady
Leonardo Barroso
A. Hanche-Olsen
J. Elliott
A. Gutman
S. Oregel
A. Mekvabishvili
A. Salétros
P. Zinckernagel
R. Lewandowski
M. Haile-Selassie
Orlando City SC (4-4-2)
M. Crépeau
Z. Taifi
D. Brekalo
Iago
Vinícius Nogueira
Justin Ellis
B. Ojeda
Luis Otávio
I. Angulo
A. Griezmann
M. Ojeda
Player Ratings ?
Chicago Fire
M. Haile-SelassieF8.2
J. BambaF7.5
Leonardo BarrosoD6.9
Orlando City SC
A. GriezmannF8.7
I. AnguloM7.2
B. OjedaM6.7
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Chicago Fire edge defence and head-to-head, Orlando City SC edge recent form and attack, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Orlando City SC stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Orlando City SC stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Chicago Fire stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Chicago Fire stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Orlando City SC have recorded just one win from their last five away outings, while Chicago Fire have secured two victories in their last five home matches. Chicago Fire have scored in all five of their recent home fixtures but failed to keep a single clean sheet during that same period. Both sides carry significant squad concerns, with two players each confirmed out and one additional player in doubt for either team. Orlando City SC rate stronger on form and attack, while Chicago Fire rate stronger on defence and head-to-head. Chicago Fire won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 20 August 2026, having won 2 of the last 5 encounters to Orlando City SC's 1, with 2 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.0 goals per meeting. Over the 3-day comparison window, Chicago Fire's implied win probability has risen by 2.9 percentage points, while Orlando City SC's implied win probability has fallen by 2.2 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift towards Chicago Fire
Chicago Fire's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Chicago Fire win as more likely than it did 3 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Chicago Fire win
Latest market chance 59.4%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
56.5% → 59.4%
+2.9 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 20.2%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
21.0% → 20.2%
−0.8 pts
Orlando City SC win
Latest market chance 20.3%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
22.5% → 20.3%
−2.2 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Chicago Fire
Draw
Orlando City SC
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 3 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Chicago FireOrlando City SC
Season Profile
This season
7th
League Position
16th
31
Games Played
31
1.65
Points/Game
1.35
1.77
Goals/Game
1.94
1.48
Conceded/Game
2.32
14.5
Shots/Game
12.4
5.2
Shots on Target
5.1
Home vs Away Context
Chicago Fire at home (17 matches) vs Orlando City SC away (17 matches)
1.71
Points/Game
0.76
1.94
Goals/Game
1.76
1.47
Conceded/Game
3.29
53%
Win Rate
18%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Chicago Fire
Home form
D
L
W
W
L
2W 1D 2L in last 5 at home
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Orlando City SC
Away form
D
W
L
L
D
1W 2D 2L in last 5 away
2.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
3.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Chicago Fire Wins
2
Draws
2
Orlando City SC Wins
1
Avg Goals
3.0
Orlando City SC1 – 2Chicago Fire
Orlando City SC1 – 3Chicago Fire
Chicago Fire0 – 0Orlando City SC
Orlando City SC4 – 2Chicago Fire
Chicago Fire1 – 1Orlando City SC
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Chicago Firevs
Orlando City SC
Recent Scoring Profile
1.60
Goals scored / game
2.60
1.80
Goals conceded / game
2.10
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
9/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
8/10
2/10
Failed to Score
0/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 72.5%→Latest 73.4%+0.9 pts
Slight move towards 3+ goals
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 69.2%→Latest 69.0%−0.2 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
5 of Chicago Fire's 10 matches and 4 of Orlando City SC's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?