Chicago Fire vs Columbus Crew Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
SeatGeek Stadium
Sat 07 Nov 2026 · 21:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.00
Draw
4.06
Away Win
3.38
Match Report
Full Time
3 – 4
Match Events ?
Chicago Fire
Columbus Crew
Robert Lewandowski ⚽ (P)
8'
Noah Allen 🟨
11'
16'
⚽ Gonzalo Tapia (Taha Habroune)
Robert Lewandowski ⚽ (P)
22'
23'
⚽ Anass Zaroury
Mbekezeli Mbokazi 🟨
27'
Maren Haile-Selassie ⚽
45+4'
Jonathan Bamba 🟨
53'
62'
⚽ Gonzalo Tapia (Malte Amundsen)
62'
🟨 Gonzalo Tapia
Anzor Mekvabishvili 🟨
74'
79'
🟨 Santiago Rodriguez
90+3'
⚽ Brais Méndez
Match Statistics ?
53%
Ball Possession
47%
14
Total Shots
11
6
Shots on Goal
6
6
Corner Kicks
4
14
Fouls
14
4
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
3
Offsides
1
2
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
Chicago Fire (4-4-2)
C. Brady
J. Dean
A. Hanche-Olsen
M. Mbokazi
N. Allen
P. Zinckernagel
A. Salétros
T. D'Avilla
J. Bamba
R. Lewandowski
M. Haile-Selassie
Columbus Crew (3-4-3)
P. Schulte
S. Moreira
S. Zawadzki
M. Amundsen
M. Farsi
D. Chambost
S. Bangoura
A. Zaroury
T. Habroune
G. Tapia
S. Rodríguez
Player Ratings ?
Chicago Fire
R. LewandowskiF7.4
M. Haile-SelassieF6.8
P. ZinckernagelM6.6
Columbus Crew
G. TapiaF8.9
T. HabrouneF7.3
A. ZarouryM7.0
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Columbus Crew edge recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Columbus Crew stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Columbus Crew slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Columbus Crew stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Columbus Crew stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Columbus Crew have enjoyed a strong away run with four wins from their last five visits, while Chicago Fire have mixed results at home with two victories and two defeats in that same span. Chicago Fire have found the net in all of their last five home outings but have failed to keep a clean sheet during that period. Columbus Crew rate stronger on form, defence and head-to-head, with a slight advantage in attack. The most recent meeting, on 8 March 2026, ended level, with 1 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 3.0 goals per meeting. Over the 6-day comparison window, Chicago Fire's implied win probability has fallen by 0.6 percentage points, while Columbus Crew's implied win probability has risen by 0.8 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
4
Columbus Crew losing run
12
Columbus Crew points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift towards Columbus Crew
Columbus Crew's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Columbus Crew win as more likely than it did 6 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion. Chicago Fire remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Chicago Fire win
Latest market chance 47.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
48.5% → 47.9%
−0.6 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 23.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
23.9% → 23.6%
−0.3 pts
Columbus Crew win
Latest market chance 28.4%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
27.6% → 28.4%
+0.8 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Chicago Fire
Draw
Columbus Crew
7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Chicago FireColumbus Crew
Season Profile
This season
5th
League Position
14th
33
Games Played
33
1.67
Points/Game
1.33
1.85
Goals/Game
1.67
1.52
Conceded/Game
1.48
14.5
Shots/Game
12.6
5.2
Shots on Target
4.6
Home vs Away Context
Chicago Fire at home (17 matches) vs Columbus Crew away (18 matches)
1.71
Points/Game
1.17
1.94
Goals/Game
1.78
1.47
Conceded/Game
1.83
53%
Win Rate
33%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Chicago Fire
Home form
L
W
W
L
D
2W 1D 2L in last 5 at home
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Columbus Crew
Away form
W
L
W
W
W
Won 3 straight away
2.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
4/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Chicago Fire Wins
1
Draws
1
Columbus Crew Wins
3
Avg Goals
3.0
Columbus Crew0 – 0Chicago Fire
Chicago Fire2 – 0Columbus Crew
Columbus Crew4 – 2Chicago Fire
Chicago Fire1 – 3Columbus Crew
Columbus Crew2 – 1Chicago Fire
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Chicago Firevs
Columbus Crew
Recent Scoring Profile
1.70
Goals scored / game
2.20
1.70
Goals conceded / game
0.80
8/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
2/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 66.3%→Latest 65.5%−0.8 pts
Slight move away from 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 66.1%→Latest 66.0%−0.1 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
7 of Chicago Fire's 10 matches and 6 of Columbus Crew's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?