Charlotte vs FC Dallas Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Bank of America Stadium
Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 00:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.32
Draw
3.97
Away Win
2.81
Match Report
Full Time
3 – 2
Match Events ?
Charlotte
FC Dallas
22'
⚽ Logan Farrington (Herman Johansson)
64'
⚽ Petar Musa (Santiago Moreno)
Idan Toklomati Jorno (Allan Saint-Maximin) ⚽
70'
Harry Toffolo (Idan Toklomati Jorno) ⚽
74'
79'
🟨 Osaze Urhoghide
Morrison Agyemang 🟨
86'
Idan Toklomati Jorno (Pep Biel) ⚽
90+2'
Match Statistics ?
56%
Ball Possession
44%
18
Total Shots
13
8
Shots on Goal
5
14
Corner Kicks
3
14
Fouls
11
1
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
0
3
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
Charlotte (4-2-3-1)
K. Kahlina
N. Byrne
M. Agyemang
H. Kessler
D. Schnegg
A. Westwood
B. Bronico
L. Abada
Pep Biel
A. Saint-Maximin
I. Toklomati Giorno
FC Dallas (3-4-2-1)
Daniel
O. Urhoghide
L. Abubakar
N. Norris
H. Johansson
Kaick
C. Cappis
S. Moore
J. Valiente
P. Delgado
L. Farrington
Player Ratings ?
Charlotte
I. Toklomati GiornoF9.8
Pep BielM7.7
H. ToffoloD7.7
FC Dallas
L. FarringtonF8.0
P. MusaF7.1
P. DelgadoM7.0
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Charlotte edge defence, FC Dallas edge recent form and attack, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
FC Dallas stronger
HomeAway
Attack
FC Dallas slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Charlotte slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-head unavailable — prediction based on form, attack and defence.
Match Analysis
FC Dallas have secured three wins from their last five away fixtures, while Charlotte have recorded two victories and two draws from their home outings during that same span. Charlotte have scored in three of their last five home matches but have kept just one clean sheet in that period. Charlotte face availability concerns with three players out and one doubtful, whereas FC Dallas have no absences despite having two players listed as doubtful. FC Dallas rate stronger on form, with a slight advantage in attack, while Charlotte hold a slight advantage in defence. Over the 2-day comparison window, Charlotte's implied win probability has fallen by 0.9 percentage points, while FC Dallas's implied win probability has risen by 0.8 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift away from Charlotte
Charlotte's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Charlotte win as less likely than it did 2 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Charlotte win
Latest market chance 41.1%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
42.0% → 41.1%
−0.9 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 25.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
25.4% → 25.5%
+0.1 pts
FC Dallas win
Latest market chance 33.4%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
32.6% → 33.4%
+0.8 pts
9 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 2 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
CharlotteFC Dallas
Season Profile
This season
10th
League Position
5th
27
Games Played
27
1.59
Points/Game
1.74
1.74
Goals/Game
1.85
1.41
Conceded/Game
1.56
11.5
Shots/Game
12.8
4.9
Shots on Target
4.8
Home vs Away Context
Charlotte at home (17 matches) vs FC Dallas away (17 matches)
2.00
Points/Game
1.53
2.18
Goals/Game
1.76
0.94
Conceded/Game
1.65
59%
Win Rate
41%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Charlotte
Home form
D
W
W
D
L
2W 2D 1L in last 5 at home
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
FC Dallas
Away form
W
W
L
D
W
Won 3 of last 5 away
2.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
No previous meetings on record between Charlotte and FC Dallas.
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Charlottevs
FC Dallas
Recent Scoring Profile
1.90
Goals scored / game
1.80
1.30
Goals conceded / game
1.70
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
2/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 6 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 60.9%→Latest 60.4%−0.5 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 63.5%→Latest 63.4%−0.1 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?