Charlotte vs CF Montreal Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Bank of America Stadium
Wed 28 Oct 2026 · 23:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.49
Draw
4.98
Away Win
5.45
Match Report
Full Time
4 – 0
Match Events ?
Charlotte
CF Montreal
Idan Toklomati Jorno (Allan Saint-Maximin) ⚽
7'
64'
🟨 Efrain Morales
Liel Abada (Djibril Diani) ⚽
67'
Liel Abada (Idan Toklomati Jorno) ⚽
79'
Liel Abada (Pep Biel) ⚽
83'
86'
🟨 Daniel Pereira
90+2'
🟨 Fabian Herbers
Match Statistics ?
47%
Ball Possession
53%
13
Total Shots
10
7
Shots on Goal
1
8
Corner Kicks
6
8
Fouls
15
0
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
0
Offsides
2
1
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
Charlotte (4-2-3-1)
K. Kahlina
N. Byrne
M. Agyemang
H. Kessler
H. Toffolo
A. Westwood
D. Diani
R. Aloko
Pep Biel
A. Saint-Maximin
I. Toklomati Giorno
CF Montreal (4-3-3)
S. Keita
D. Bugaj
E. Morales
B. Vera
L. Petrasso
W. Carmona
M. Longstaff
V. Loturi
H. Synchuk
D. Ríos
N. Streit
Player Ratings ?
Charlotte
L. AbadaF9.2
I. Toklomati GiornoF8.8
Pep BielM7.7
CF Montreal
H. SynchukF6.7
M. LongstaffM6.6
B. VeraD6.5
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Charlotte
Charlotte rate stronger in recent form, attack and head-to-head; defence is closely matched, giving Charlotte a slight edge.
Leads 3 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Charlotte stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Charlotte stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Charlotte stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Charlotte come into this MLS clash with a positive momentum, having recorded three wins from their last five home matches, while CF Montreal arrive after a difficult run of form, managing only one draw and four defeats in their last five away fixtures. At home, Charlotte have found the net in three of their last five matches but have managed just one clean sheet during that same recent period. Several players are unavailable for Charlotte with five confirmed out and two doubtful, while CF Montreal face similar selection issues with three out and two doubtful listed ahead of kickoff. Charlotte rate stronger on form, attack and head-to-head, while defence is closely matched. Charlotte won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 10 September 2026, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to CF Montreal's 2, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.8 goals per meeting. Over the 2-day comparison window, Charlotte's implied win probability has risen by 2.1 percentage points, while CF Montreal's implied win probability has fallen by 1.5 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison gives Charlotte a slight edge.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
5
CF Montreal losing run
3/5
One-goal H2H results
1
CF Montreal points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift towards Charlotte
Charlotte's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Charlotte win as more likely than it did 2 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Charlotte win
Latest market chance 63.6%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
61.5% → 63.6%
+2.1 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 19.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
20.3% → 19.7%
−0.6 pts
CF Montreal win
Latest market chance 16.7%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
18.2% → 16.7%
−1.5 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Charlotte
Draw
CF Montreal
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 2 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
CharlotteCF Montreal
Season Profile
This season
11th
League Position
29th
31
Games Played
31
1.52
Points/Game
0.81
1.77
Goals/Game
1.16
1.55
Conceded/Game
2.00
11.5
Shots/Game
12.4
4.9
Shots on Target
4.4
Home vs Away Context
Charlotte at home (17 matches) vs CF Montreal away (17 matches)
2.00
Points/Game
0.53
2.18
Goals/Game
1.06
0.94
Conceded/Game
2.59
59%
Win Rate
12%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Charlotte
Home form
W
W
D
L
W
Won 3 of last 5 at home
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
CF Montreal
Away form
L
L
L
L
D
Winless in last 5 away
0.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Charlotte Wins
3
Draws
0
CF Montreal Wins
2
Avg Goals
2.8
CF Montreal1 – 2Charlotte
Charlotte1 – 4CF Montreal
CF Montreal0 – 1Charlotte
Charlotte2 – 0CF Montreal
CF Montreal2 – 1Charlotte
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Charlottevs
CF Montreal
Recent Scoring Profile
1.70
Goals scored / game
0.70
1.60
Goals conceded / game
2.30
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
2/10
Failed to Score
5/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 6 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 65.4%→Latest 66.2%+0.8 pts
Slight move towards 3+ goals
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 60.9%→Latest 60.5%−0.4 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
4 of Charlotte's 10 matches and 4 of CF Montreal's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?