CF Montreal vs Vancouver Whitecaps Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Saputo Stadium
Sat 07 Nov 2026 · 21:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
4.50
Draw
4.47
Away Win
1.67
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 2
Match Events ?
CF Montreal
Vancouver Whitecaps
25'
🟨 M. Gherasimencov
42'
🟨 Édier Ocampo
Victor Loturi 🟨
45'
50'
⚽ Cheikh Sabaly
62'
🟨 Ralph Priso
Luca Petrasso 🟨
74'
83'
⚽ M. Gherasimencov (Bruno Caicedo)
Match Statistics ?
36%
Ball Possession
64%
8
Total Shots
17
3
Shots on Goal
8
4
Corner Kicks
5
15
Fouls
15
2
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
0
6
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
CF Montreal (4-2-3-1)
S. Keita
D. Bugaj
B. Craig
B. Vera
L. Petrasso
M. Longstaff
V. Loturi
H. Synchuk
O. Escobar
W. Carmona
D. Ríos
Vancouver Whitecaps (4-2-3-1)
Y. Takaoka
É. Ocampo
R. Veselinović
R. Priso
M. Gherasimencov
O. Larraz
A. Cvetković
C. Sabaly
R. Gauld
Y. Diaby
R. Elloumi
Player Ratings ?
CF Montreal
S. KeitaG7.5
F. HerbersF6.7
M. LongstaffM6.4
Vancouver Whitecaps
C. SabalyM8.2
M. GherasimencovD7.7
Bruno Steven Caicedo QuiñonezF7.5
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Vancouver Whitecaps
Vancouver Whitecaps rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Vancouver Whitecaps an edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Vancouver Whitecaps stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Vancouver Whitecaps stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Vancouver Whitecaps stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Vancouver Whitecaps stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Vancouver Whitecaps have managed just one win from their last five away fixtures, while CF Montreal have endured a difficult run with four defeats in their last five home matches. At home, CF Montreal have scored in only two of their last five matches and have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of those same outings. Vancouver Whitecaps rate stronger on form, attack, defence and head-to-head. Vancouver Whitecaps won the most recent meeting 2-0 on 9 March 2025, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to CF Montreal's 1, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.8 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 3-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison favours Vancouver Whitecaps.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
5
CF Montreal losing run
3
CF Montreal points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 3 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
CF Montreal win
Latest market chance 21.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
21.5% → 21.3%
−0.2 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 21.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
21.9% → 21.8%
−0.1 pts
Vancouver Whitecaps win
Latest market chance 56.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
56.6% → 56.8%
+0.2 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
CF Montreal
Draw
Vancouver Whitecaps
9 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 3 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
CF MontrealVancouver Whitecaps
Season Profile
This season
29th
League Position
2nd
33
Games Played
33
0.79
Points/Game
1.85
1.12
Goals/Game
2.18
2.03
Conceded/Game
1.03
12.4
Shots/Game
16.5
4.4
Shots on Target
6.0
Home vs Away Context
CF Montreal at home (17 matches) vs Vancouver Whitecaps away (17 matches)
1.00
Points/Game
1.71
1.12
Goals/Game
1.76
1.47
Conceded/Game
1.06
24%
Win Rate
47%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
CF Montreal
Home form
L
L
W
L
L
Lost 4 of last 5 at home
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Vancouver Whitecaps
Away form
L
D
D
W
L
1W 2D 2L in last 5 away
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
CF Montreal Wins
1
Draws
1
Vancouver Whitecaps Wins
3
Avg Goals
2.8
Vancouver Whitecaps2 – 0CF Montreal
CF Montreal1 – 1Vancouver Whitecaps
Vancouver Whitecaps5 – 0CF Montreal
CF Montreal2 – 1Vancouver Whitecaps
Vancouver Whitecaps2 – 0CF Montreal
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
CF Montrealvs
Vancouver Whitecaps
Recent Scoring Profile
0.70
Goals scored / game
2.00
1.90
Goals conceded / game
1.30
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
5/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 66.3%→Latest 66.3%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 63.7%→Latest 64.2%+0.5 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
6 of CF Montreal's 10 matches and 7 of Vancouver Whitecaps's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?