CF Montreal vs Nashville SC Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Saputo Stadium
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 18:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
5.06
Draw
4.44
Away Win
1.61
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 2
Match Events ?
CF Montreal
Nashville SC
Daniel Pereira 🟨
13'
Viktor Radojević 🟨
48'
51'
⚽ Sam Surridge
65'
🟨 Elias Saad
70'
🟨 Jeisson Palacios
76'
⚽ (OG) Samsy Keita
Match Statistics ?
44%
Ball Possession
56%
10
Total Shots
8
6
Shots on Goal
4
6
Corner Kicks
5
13
Fouls
14
2
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
0
Offsides
2
3
Goalkeeper Saves
6
Starting Lineups
CF Montreal (4-2-3-1)
S. Keita
D. Bugaj
E. Morales
B. Vera
V. Radojević
S. Piette
D. Pereira
H. Synchuk
O. Escobar
D. Sealy
A. Sánchez
Nashville SC (4-2-3-1)
B. Schwake
A. Najar
J. Palacios
M. Woledzi
R. Baker-Whiting
P. Yazbek
M. Corcoran
C. Espinoza
H. Mukhtar
E. Saad
S. Surridge
Player Ratings ?
CF Montreal
E. MoralesD7.0
H. SynchukM6.8
D. BugajD6.7
Nashville SC
B. SchwakeG7.8
M. WoledziD7.7
S. SurridgeF7.6
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Nashville SC
Nashville SC rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Nashville SC a strong edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Nashville SC stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Nashville SC stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Nashville SC stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Nashville SC stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Nashville SC have recorded just one win from their last five away outings, while CF Montreal are struggling with three defeats in their last five home matches. CF Montreal have found the net in three of their last five home matches but have failed to keep a clean sheet in that same period. Three players are confirmed out for CF Montreal with one more doubtful, while Nashville SC face the absence of one player and have one additional doubt. Nashville SC rate stronger on form, attack, defence and head-to-head. Nashville SC won the most recent meeting 1-0 on 23 July 2026, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to CF Montreal's 0, with 2 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.2 goals per meeting. Over the 6-day comparison window, CF Montreal's implied win probability has fallen by 1.3 percentage points, while Nashville SC's implied win probability has risen by 2.1 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison gives Nashville SC a strong edge.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
5
Nashville SC unbeaten run
45%
Nashville SC yellow cards after 75'
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift towards Nashville SC
Nashville SC's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Nashville SC win as more likely than it did 6 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
CF Montreal win
Latest market chance 19.1%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
20.4% → 19.1%
−1.3 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 22.1%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
22.9% → 22.1%
−0.8 pts
Nashville SC win
Latest market chance 58.8%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
56.7% → 58.8%
+2.1 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
CF Montreal
Draw
Nashville SC
4 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
CF MontrealNashville SC
Season Profile
This season
29th
League Position
1st
30
Games Played
30
0.83
Points/Game
2.23
1.20
Goals/Game
2.13
2.00
Conceded/Game
0.77
12.4
Shots/Game
12.9
4.4
Shots on Target
5.1
Home vs Away Context
CF Montreal at home (17 matches) vs Nashville SC away (17 matches)
1.00
Points/Game
1.76
1.12
Goals/Game
1.35
1.47
Conceded/Game
0.65
24%
Win Rate
47%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
CF Montreal
Home form
D
L
L
W
L
Lost 3 of last 5 at home
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Nashville SC
Away form
D
L
D
W
D
1W 3D 1L in last 5 away
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
CF Montreal Wins
0
Draws
2
Nashville SC Wins
3
Avg Goals
2.2
Nashville SC1 – 0CF Montreal
CF Montreal1 – 1Nashville SC
Nashville SC3 – 0CF Montreal
CF Montreal0 – 0Nashville SC
Nashville SC4 – 1CF Montreal
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
CF Montrealvs
Nashville SC
Recent Scoring Profile
0.90
Goals scored / game
2.40
2.30
Goals conceded / game
0.80
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
4/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 6 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 60.7%→Latest 59.8%−0.9 pts
Slight move away from 3+ goals
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 59.4%→Latest 58.6%−0.8 pts
Slight move away from both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
3 of CF Montreal's 10 matches and 3 of Nashville SC's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?