Austin vs Vancouver Whitecaps Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis

Archived Result — stats and prediction shown as they stood before kickoff
Q2 Stadium
Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 01:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
4.81
Draw
4.37
Away Win
1.62
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 2
Match Events ?
Austin
Vancouver Whitecaps
13'
🟨 Andrés Cubas
36'
🟨 Tristan Blackmon
Myrto Uzuni ⚽
40'
47'
⚽ Ryan Gauld (Emmanuel Sabbi)
71'
⚽ Yadaly Diaby (Tate Johnson)
90'
🟨 Ryan Gauld
Match Statistics ?
46%
Ball Possession
54%
9
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Goal
3
4
Corner Kicks
6
8
Fouls
11
0
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
1
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
Austin (3-4-3)
B. Stuver
B. Hines-Ike
O. Svatok
J. Bell
J. Rosales
Ervin Torres
B. Šabović
J. Gallagher
C. Ramirez
B. Vázquez
M. Uzuni
Vancouver Whitecaps (4-2-3-1)
Y. Takaoka
É. Ocampo
M. Laborda
T. Blackmon
T. Johnson
A. Cubas
A. Cvetković
E. Sabbi
R. Gauld
Bruno Steven Caicedo Quiñonez
B. White
Player Ratings ?
Austin
M. UzuniF8.1
Guilherme BiroD6.8
B. Hines-IkeD6.7
Vancouver Whitecaps
Y. DiabyF7.7
R. GauldM7.7
T. JohnsonD7.4
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Vancouver Whitecaps edge recent form, attack and defence, head-to-head is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Vancouver Whitecaps slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Vancouver Whitecaps stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Vancouver Whitecaps stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Closely matched
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Vancouver Whitecaps have secured two victories and two draws from their last five away outings, while Austin remain winless at home with four draws and a single defeat in the same period. Austin have found the net in all five of their recent home matches but have failed to keep a clean sheet during that run. One Austin player is unavailable and another faces doubt, whereas Vancouver Whitecaps carry five confirmed absences with no doubtful cases. Vancouver Whitecaps rate stronger on attack and defence, with a slight advantage in form, while head-to-head is closely matched. Austin won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 13 September 2026, having won 1 of the last 5 encounters to Vancouver Whitecaps's 2, with 2 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.0 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 6-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
?
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 6 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Austin win
Latest market chance 20.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
20.0% → 20.0%
±0.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 21.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
22.2% → 21.8%
−0.4 pts
Vancouver Whitecaps win
Latest market chance 58.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
57.8% → 58.2%
+0.4 pts
Movement over time
Change vs first comparable snapshot
6 snapshots
+1+0.50−0.5Oct 12Oct 13Oct 14Oct 16Oct 17
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Austin
Draw
Vancouver Whitecaps
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Austin
Vancouver Whitecaps
Season Profile
This season
27th
League Position
2nd
29
Games Played
29
1.07
Points/Game
1.79
1.28
Goals/Game
2.10
1.86
Conceded/Game
1.03
11.1
Shots/Game
16.5
4.2
Shots on Target
6.0
Home vs Away Context
Austin at home (17 matches) vs Vancouver Whitecaps away (17 matches)
1.06
Points/Game
1.71
1.29
Goals/Game
1.76
1.47
Conceded/Game
1.06
24%
Win Rate
47%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Austin
Home form
D
D
D
D
L
Winless in last 5 at home
1.4
Goals scored
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Vancouver Whitecaps
Away form
W
W
L
D
D
2W 2D 1L in last 5 away
1.6
Goals scored
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Austin Wins
1
Draws
2
Vancouver Whitecaps Wins
2
Avg Goals
2.0
2026-09-132026
Vancouver Whitecaps1 – 2Austin
2025-05-182025
Austin0 – 0Vancouver Whitecaps
2025-04-132025
Vancouver Whitecaps5 – 1Austin
2024-09-012024
Austin0 – 1Vancouver Whitecaps
2024-05-052024
Vancouver Whitecaps0 – 0Austin
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Austin
vs
Vancouver Whitecaps
Recent Scoring Profile
1.40
Goals scored / game
2.10
1.60
Goals conceded / game
1.20
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
8/10
9/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
1/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
82.8%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
63.6%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
42.4%
BTTSBoth teams score
61.2%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 4 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 63.7%→Latest 63.7%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
3 common bookmakers · first comparable 6 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 61.5%→Latest 61.2%−0.3 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
4 common bookmakers · first comparable 6 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
2 of Austin's 10 matches and 3 of Vancouver Whitecaps's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?
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