Austin vs Real Salt Lake Head to Head | MLS

Match Report

Full Time

1 – 2

Match Events

Austin

Real Salt Lake

35'

🟨 Morgan Guilavogui

Jorge Alastuey ⚽

52'

55'

⚽ Saba Lobjanidze (Juan Sanabria)

61'

⚽ Morgan Guilavogui (Sergi Solans)

Damian Las 🟨

61'

Jorge Alastuey 🟨

77'

Match Statistics

49%

Ball Possession

51%

Total Shots

Shots on Goal

Corner Kicks

Fouls

Yellow Cards

Red Cards

Offsides

Goalkeeper Saves

Starting Lineups

Austin (3-4-3)

D. Las

M. Desler

Ilie Sánchez

Guilherme Biro

J. Rosales

B. Šabović

Jorge Alastuey

J. Gallagher

M. Uzuni

B. Vázquez

F. Torres

Real Salt Lake (3-4-3)

Rafael Cabral

L. De Fougerolles

P. Quinton

K. Henry

D. Marczuk

N. Caliskan

S. Spierings

J. Sanabria

S. Lobzhanidze

S. Solans

M. Guilavogui

Player Ratings

Austin

Jorge AlastueyM8.2

Ilie SánchezD7.2

M. DeslerD6.5

Real Salt Lake

M. GuilavoguiF8.2

S. LobzhanidzeF7.6

Rafael CabralG7.3

Before Kickoff

Match Prediction

No clear statistical edge

The matchup is mixed. Real Salt Lake edge recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.

Statistical Edge

No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong

How They Compare

Recent Form

Real Salt Lake slightly stronger

HomeAway

Attack

Real Salt Lake slightly stronger

HomeAway

Defence

Real Salt Lake stronger

HomeAway

Head-to-Head

Real Salt Lake stronger

HomeAway

Match Analysis

Austin have drawn three of their last five home outings, while Real Salt Lake have won just one away game in that same span. Austin have scored in all five of their recent home matches but have failed to keep a clean sheet during this period. Three Austin players face doubt, whereas Real Salt Lake have one confirmed absence and four others listed as doubtful ahead of the match. Real Salt Lake rate stronger on defence and head-to-head, with a slight advantage in form and attack. Real Salt Lake won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 15 March 2026, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Austin's 0, with 2 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.8 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 3-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.

Pre-Match Context

Notable Numbers

Real Salt Lake losing run

Austin points from last 5 matches

Market View

How the betting market has changed its view of this match

Market direction

Notable shift towards Real Salt Lake

Real Salt Lake's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Real Salt Lake win as more likely than it did 3 days ago.

Movement strength: Notable

Match odds movement

Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest

Austin win

Latest market chance 36.0%

Notable drift

Market chance decreased

37.5% → 36.0%

−1.5 pts

Draw

Latest market chance 25.4%

Steady

Market view unchanged

25.4% → 25.4%

±0.0 pts

Real Salt Lake win

Latest market chance 38.7%

Notable shortening

Market chance increased

37.1% → 38.7%

+1.6 pts

Movement over time

Change vs first comparable snapshot

3 snapshots

Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.

Austin

Draw

Real Salt Lake

8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 3 days before kickoff

Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.

Team Comparison

Austin

Real Salt Lake

Season Profile

This season

26th

League Position

18th

Games Played

1.10

Points/Game

1.26

1.29

Goals/Game

1.55

1.84

Conceded/Game

1.55

11.1

Shots/Game

14.5

4.2

Shots on Target

5.5

Home vs Away Context

Austin at home (17 matches) vs Real Salt Lake away (17 matches)

1.06

Points/Game

0.71

1.29

Goals/Game

1.18

1.47

Conceded/Game

1.76

24%

Win Rate

18%

Recent Form

Last 5 home / away matches

Austin

Home form

Winless in last 5 at home

1.4

Goals scored
per match

2.2

Goals conceded
per match

5/5

Scored in
last 5

0/5

Clean
sheets

Real Salt Lake

Away form

Lost 4 of last 5 away

1.0

Goals scored
per match

1.6

Goals conceded
per match

3/5

Scored in
last 5

0/5

Clean
sheets

Head-to-Head History

Last 5 meetings

Austin Wins

Draws

Real Salt Lake Wins

Avg Goals

3.8

2026-03-152026

Real Salt Lake2 – 1Austin

2025-09-282025

Real Salt Lake3 – 1Austin

2025-05-292025

Austin1 – 1Real Salt Lake

2024-09-292024

Austin2 – 2Real Salt Lake

2024-06-022024

Real Salt Lake5 – 1Austin

Goals & Scoring Trends

Last 10 matches, any venue

Austin

Real Salt Lake

Recent Scoring Profile

1.40

Goals scored / game

1.40

1.70

Goals conceded / game

1.50

7/10

3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)

7/10

9/10

Both Teams Scored

5/10

1/10

Failed to Score

3/10

Market Goal Expectation

2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)

80.6%

3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)

59.5%

4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)

38.7%

BTTSBoth teams score

62.5%

Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 6 bookmakers.

3+ Goals (Over 2.5)

First comparable 59.9%→Latest 59.5%−0.4 pts

Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot

6 common bookmakers · first comparable 3 days before kickoff

The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.

Both Teams To Score

First comparable 62.5%→Latest 62.5%±0.0 pts

Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot

5 common bookmakers · first comparable 3 days before kickoff

Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.

4 of Austin's 10 matches and 4 of Real Salt Lake's 10 matches are from last season.

Match Poll

Who do you think wins?

Austin vs Real Salt Lake Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis