Austin vs Portland Timbers Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Q2 Stadium
Sun 08 Nov 2026 · 00:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
4.26
Draw
4.39
Away Win
1.71
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 2
Match Events ?
Austin
Portland Timbers
3'
⚽ Ariel Lassiter (Vincent Janssen)
Micah Burton 🟨
57'
70'
⚽ Kristoffer Velde (Ian Smith)
Match Statistics ?
58%
Ball Possession
42%
16
Total Shots
9
7
Shots on Goal
4
5
Corner Kicks
5
9
Fouls
10
1
Yellow Cards
0
0
Red Cards
0
0
Offsides
1
2
Goalkeeper Saves
7
Starting Lineups
Austin (3-4-3)
B. Stuver
O. Svatok
Ilie Sánchez
Guilherme Biro
M. Desler
Ervin Torres
Jorge Alastuey
J. Gallagher
M. Burton
B. Vázquez
C. Ramirez
Portland Timbers (4-3-3)
J. Pantemis
R. Hernández
F. Surman
J. Waterman
Ian Smith
Eric Izoita
J. Caicedo
David Pereira da Costa
A. Lassiter
V. Janssen
K. Velde
Player Ratings ?
Austin
Jorge AlastueyM7.2
Guilherme BiroD7.1
Ilie SánchezD7.0
Portland Timbers
J. PantemisG9.6
K. VeldeF8.0
A. LassiterF7.7
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Austin edge head-to-head, Portland Timbers edge recent form, attack and defence, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Portland Timbers stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Portland Timbers slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Portland Timbers stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Austin stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Austin have suffered three defeats and two draws in their last five home outings, while Portland Timbers have managed just one win and a single draw from their last five away fixtures. Austin have scored in every one of their last five home matches but have failed to keep a clean sheet during that same run. Portland Timbers rate stronger on form and defence, with a slight advantage in attack, while Austin rate stronger on head-to-head. Austin won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 30 August 2026, having won 2 of the last 5 encounters to Portland Timbers's 2, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 1.4 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 4-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3
Austin losing run
3/5
One-goal H2H results
2
Austin points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 4 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Austin win
Latest market chance 22.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
22.2% → 22.3%
+0.1 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 21.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
22.1% → 21.9%
−0.2 pts
Portland Timbers win
Latest market chance 55.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
55.7% → 55.8%
+0.1 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Austin
Draw
Portland Timbers
9 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 4 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
AustinPortland Timbers
Season Profile
This season
26th
League Position
17th
33
Games Played
33
1.03
Points/Game
1.30
1.27
Goals/Game
1.82
1.91
Conceded/Game
1.85
11.1
Shots/Game
13.6
4.2
Shots on Target
4.8
Home vs Away Context
Austin at home (17 matches) vs Portland Timbers away (17 matches)
1.06
Points/Game
0.88
1.29
Goals/Game
1.47
1.47
Conceded/Game
1.94
24%
Win Rate
24%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Austin
Home form
D
D
L
L
L
Lost 3 straight at home
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Portland Timbers
Away form
L
L
D
L
W
Lost 3 of last 5 away
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Austin Wins
2
Draws
1
Portland Timbers Wins
2
Avg Goals
1.4
Portland Timbers1 – 2Austin
Austin0 – 0Portland Timbers
Portland Timbers1 – 0Austin
Portland Timbers0 – 1Austin
Austin0 – 2Portland Timbers
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Austinvs
Portland Timbers
Recent Scoring Profile
1.30
Goals scored / game
1.60
2.10
Goals conceded / game
1.80
8/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
9/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
1/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 67.7%→Latest 67.9%+0.2 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 65.2%→Latest 65.9%+0.7 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
6 of Austin's 10 matches and 6 of Portland Timbers's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?