Austin vs Nashville SC Head to Head | MLS

Match Report

Full Time

1 – 4

Match Events

Austin

Nashville SC

30'

⚽ Reed Baker-Whiting

Guilherme Biro 🟨

37'

67'

⚽ Elias Saad

Brandon Vazquez (Facundo Daniel Torres Perez) ⚽

76'

78'

🟨 Shakur Mohammed

83'

🟨 Brian Schwake

88'

⚽ Shakur Mohammed

90+1'

⚽ Hany Mukhtar (Shakur Mohammed)

Match Statistics

42%

Ball Possession

58%

Total Shots

Shots on Goal

Corner Kicks

Fouls

Yellow Cards

Red Cards

Offsides

Goalkeeper Saves

Starting Lineups

Austin (3-4-3)

B. Stuver

M. Desler

J. Bell

Guilherme Biro

F. Torres

Ervin Torres

Ilie Sánchez

J. Gallagher

M. Uzuni

Jorge Alastuey

B. Vázquez

Nashville SC (4-2-3-1)

B. Schwake

A. Najar

J. Palacios

M. Woledzi

R. Baker-Whiting

P. Yazbek

M. Corcoran

C. Espinoza

H. Mukhtar

E. Saad

S. Surridge

Player Ratings

Austin

B. VázquezF7.6

F. TorresM7.0

B. StuverG6.8

Nashville SC

H. MukhtarM8.6

R. Baker-WhitingD8.3

E. SaadM8.2

Before Kickoff

Match Prediction

No clear statistical edge

The matchup is mixed. Nashville SC edge recent form, attack and defence, head-to-head is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.

Statistical Edge

No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong

How They Compare

Recent Form

Nashville SC stronger

HomeAway

Attack

Nashville SC stronger

HomeAway

Defence

Nashville SC stronger

HomeAway

Head-to-Head

Closely matched

HomeAway

Match Analysis

Austin sit at home having drawn four of their last five outings, while Nashville SC have managed just a solitary victory from their away fixtures over the same span. The Austin side have found the net in each of their recent home matches but have failed to keep a clean sheet during that identical run. Austin carry two players listed as doubtful for selection, whereas Nashville SC have one confirmed absence ahead of this MLS fixture. Nashville SC rate stronger on form, attack and defence, while head-to-head is closely matched. Austin won the most recent meeting 2-0 on 25 August 2024, having won 1 of the last 4 encounters to Nashville SC's 2, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.0 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 2-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.

Market View

How the betting market has changed its view of this match

Market direction

Little change in the market

The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 2 days before kickoff.

Movement strength: Steady

Match odds movement

Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest

Austin win

Latest market chance 25.4%

Steady

Market view unchanged

24.9% → 25.4%

+0.5 pts

Draw

Latest market chance 25.4%

Steady

Market view unchanged

25.4% → 25.4%

±0.0 pts

Nashville SC win

Latest market chance 49.2%

Steady

Market view unchanged

49.7% → 49.2%

−0.5 pts

9 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 2 days before kickoff

Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.

Team Comparison

Austin

Nashville SC

Season Profile

This season

24th

League Position

1st

Games Played

1.15

Points/Game

2.22

1.30

Goals/Game

2.04

1.74

Conceded/Game

0.78

11.1

Shots/Game

12.9

4.2

Shots on Target

5.1

Home vs Away Context

Austin at home (17 matches) vs Nashville SC away (17 matches)

1.06

Points/Game

1.76

1.29

Goals/Game

1.35

1.47

Conceded/Game

0.65

24%

Win Rate

47%

Recent Form

Last 5 home / away matches

Austin

Home form

Winless in last 5 at home

1.4

Goals scored
per match

1.6

Goals conceded
per match

5/5

Scored in
last 5

0/5

Clean
sheets

Nashville SC

Away form

1W 3D 1L in last 5 away

1.2

Goals scored
per match

1.2

Goals conceded
per match

4/5

Scored in
last 5

2/5

Clean
sheets

Head-to-Head History

Last 5 meetings

Austin Wins

Draws

Nashville SC Wins

Avg Goals

2.0

2024-08-252024

Nashville SC0 – 2Austin

2022-09-182022

Austin1 – 1Nashville SC

2022-09-042022

Nashville SC3 – 0Austin

2021-05-242021

Nashville SC1 – 0Austin

Goals & Scoring Trends

Last 10 matches, any venue

Austin

Nashville SC

Recent Scoring Profile

1.30

Goals scored / game

2.20

1.20

Goals conceded / game

0.90

5/10

3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)

7/10

8/10

Both Teams Scored

5/10

2/10

Failed to Score

1/10

Market Goal Expectation

2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)

77.4%

3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)

54.8%

4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)

33.6%

BTTSBoth teams score

57.2%

Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.

3+ Goals (Over 2.5)

First comparable 54.8%→Latest 54.8%±0.0 pts

Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot

7 common bookmakers · first comparable 2 days before kickoff

Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.

Both Teams To Score

First comparable 57.0%→Latest 57.2%+0.2 pts

Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot

6 common bookmakers · first comparable 2 days before kickoff

Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.

Match Poll

Who do you think wins?

Austin vs Nashville SC Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis