Atlanta United FC vs Inter Miami Head to Head | MLS

Match Report

Full Time

1 – 3

Match Events

Atlanta United FC

Inter Miami

Tomás Jacob 🟨

44'

45'

⚽ Germán Berterame (Luis Suárez)

Mauricio Amaro 🟨

54'

56'

⚽ Lionel Messi (Germán Berterame)

60'

⚽ Lionel Messi (Luis Suárez)

Breel Embolo 🟨

71'

89'

🟨 Maximiliano Falcon

Fafà Picault ⚽ (P)

89'

90+6'

🟨 Lionel Messi

Match Statistics

44%

Ball Possession

56%

Total Shots

Shots on Goal

Corner Kicks

Fouls

Yellow Cards

Red Cards

Offsides

Goalkeeper Saves

Starting Lineups

Atlanta United FC (4-3-3)

L. Hoyos

T. Jacob

P. Díaz

J. Alonso

E. Báez

T. Muyumba

M. Amaro

G. Galoppo

A. Miranchuk

B. Embolo

M. Almirón

Inter Miami (4-3-3)

D. St. Clair

G. Luján

Casemiro

Micael

Reguilón

R. De Paul

D. Ayala

M. Galarza

L. Messi

L. Suárez

G. Berterame

Player Ratings

Atlanta United FC

F. PicaultF7.4

J. AlonsoD6.8

E. BáezD6.7

Inter Miami

L. MessiF9.1

G. BerterameF8.5

L. SuárezF7.4

Before Kickoff

Match Prediction

No clear statistical edge

The matchup is mixed. Atlanta United FC edge defence, Inter Miami edge attack and head-to-head, recent form is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.

Statistical Edge

No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong

How They Compare

Recent Form

Closely matched

HomeAway

Attack

Inter Miami stronger

HomeAway

Defence

Atlanta United FC slightly stronger

HomeAway

Head-to-Head

Inter Miami stronger

HomeAway

Match Analysis

Inter Miami have recorded one win alongside two draws and two defeats in their last five away outings, while Atlanta United FC sit with a solitary victory, a draw, and three losses from their most recent five home fixtures. Atlanta United FC have found the net in four of their last five matches at home but have failed to keep a clean sheet during that same run. Two players are unavailable for Atlanta United FC, whereas Inter Miami will be without three men ahead of this MLS clash. Inter Miami rate stronger on attack and head-to-head, while Atlanta United FC hold a slight advantage in defence, while form is closely matched. The most recent meeting, on 6 September 2026, ended level, with 2 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 3.8 goals per meeting. Over the 6-day comparison window, Atlanta United FC's implied win probability has risen by 2.7 percentage points, while Inter Miami's implied win probability has fallen by 2.5 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.

Market View

How the betting market has changed its view of this match

Market direction

Notable shift towards Atlanta United FC

Atlanta United FC's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Atlanta United FC win as more likely than it did 6 days ago. Inter Miami remain the clear market favourite.

Movement strength: Notable

Match odds movement

Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest

Atlanta United FC win

Latest market chance 28.0%

Notable shortening

Market chance increased

25.3% → 28.0%

+2.7 pts

Draw

Latest market chance 22.5%

Steady

Market view unchanged

22.7% → 22.5%

−0.2 pts

Inter Miami win

Latest market chance 49.5%

Notable drift

Market chance decreased

52.0% → 49.5%

−2.5 pts

Movement over time

Change vs first comparable snapshot

6 snapshots

Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.

Atlanta United FC

Draw

Inter Miami

5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff

Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.

Team Comparison

Atlanta United FC

Inter Miami

Season Profile

This season

28th

League Position

3rd

Games Played

1.03

Points/Game

1.79

1.24

Goals/Game

2.41

1.66

Conceded/Game

1.72

13.2

Shots/Game

14.9

4.1

Shots on Target

6.0

Home vs Away Context

Atlanta United FC at home (17 matches) vs Inter Miami away (17 matches)

1.00

Points/Game

1.94

1.53

Goals/Game

2.00

1.94

Conceded/Game

1.65

29%

Win Rate

59%

Recent Form

Last 5 home / away matches

Atlanta United FC

Home form

Lost 3 of last 5 at home

1.4

Goals scored
per match

2.2

Goals conceded
per match

4/5

Scored in
last 5

0/5

Clean
sheets

Inter Miami

Away form

1W 2D 2L in last 5 away

1.2

Goals scored
per match

1.8

Goals conceded
per match

5/5

Scored in
last 5

1/5

Clean
sheets

Head-to-Head History

Last 5 meetings

Atlanta United FC Wins

Draws

Inter Miami Wins

Avg Goals

3.8

2026-09-062026

Inter Miami2 – 2Atlanta United FC

2025-10-122025

Inter Miami4 – 0Atlanta United FC

2025-03-162025

Atlanta United FC1 – 2Inter Miami

2024-09-192024

Atlanta United FC2 – 2Inter Miami

2024-05-302024

Inter Miami1 – 3Atlanta United FC

Goals & Scoring Trends

Last 10 matches, any venue

Atlanta United FC

Inter Miami

Recent Scoring Profile

1.50

Goals scored / game

2.40

1.40

Goals conceded / game

1.40

7/10

3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)

8/10

6/10

Both Teams Scored

8/10

2/10

Failed to Score

0/10

Market Goal Expectation

2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)

88.1%

3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)

72.3%

4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)

52.8%

BTTSBoth teams score

70.6%

Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 4 bookmakers.

3+ Goals (Over 2.5)

First comparable 71.9%→Latest 72.5%+0.6 pts

Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot

3 common bookmakers · first comparable 6 days before kickoff

Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.

Both Teams To Score

First comparable 69.7%→Latest 70.6%+0.9 pts

Slight move towards both teams scoring

4 common bookmakers · first comparable 6 days before kickoff

Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.

2 of Atlanta United FC's 10 matches and 2 of Inter Miami's 10 matches are from last season.

Match Poll

Who do you think wins?

Atlanta United FC vs Inter Miami Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis