Sochaux vs Boulogne Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Stade Bonal
Fri 09 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.41
Draw
3.19
Away Win
3.22
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 1
Match Events ?
Sochaux
Boulogne
Benjamin Gomel (Kapitbafan Djoco) ⚽
8'
Julien Masson 🟨
40'
46'
🟨 Demba Thiam
75'
⚽ Abdel Hbouch (Aurelien Platret)
90+4'
🟨 Adrien Pinot
Match Statistics ?
51%
Ball Possession
49%
11
Total Shots
9
3
Shots on Goal
3
8
Corner Kicks
4
16
Fouls
23
1
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
3
Offsides
3
2
Goalkeeper Saves
2
Starting Lineups
Sochaux (4-2-3-1)
M. Jeannin
E. N'Gatta
A. Vitelli
M. Peybernes
D. Gomis
B. Diawara
J. Masson
L. Nomel
Y. Demoncy
B. Gomel
K. Djoco
Boulogne (3-4-3)
Blondy Rudolph Nna Noukeu
A. Pinot
A. Kerriou
D. Thiam
J. Martin
J. Bultel
N. Binet
N. Fatar
M. Soumah
J. Boyer
A. Hbouch
Player Ratings ?
Sochaux
B. GomelM7.6
K. DjocoF7.2
A. VitelliD6.8
Boulogne
A. HbouchF7.6
T. EpaillyF6.9
Blondy Rudolph Nna NoukeuG6.8
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Sochaux edge recent form, Boulogne edge attack and head-to-head, defence is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Sochaux stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Boulogne slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Boulogne stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Boulogne have struggled away from home recently, recording no wins in their last five outings with two draws and three defeats, while Sochaux are equally inconsistent at the top end of the table having won just twice in their last five home matches alongside three losses. Sochaux have found the net in two of their last five home games but remain vulnerable at the back, having conceded in three of those same five fixtures while keeping just two clean sheets. Sochaux rate stronger on form, while Boulogne rate stronger on head-to-head, with a slight advantage in attack, while defence is closely matched. This is the first time these two sides have met in the league since 2010. Over the 6-day comparison window, Sochaux's implied win probability has fallen by 3.5 percentage points, while Boulogne's implied win probability has risen by 2.4 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
53%
Boulogne yellow cards after 75'
2
Boulogne points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift away from Sochaux
Sochaux's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Sochaux win as less likely than it did 6 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Sochaux win
Latest market chance 38.5%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
42.0% → 38.5%
−3.5 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 30.7%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
29.5% → 30.7%
+1.2 pts
Boulogne win
Latest market chance 30.9%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
28.5% → 30.9%
+2.4 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Sochaux
Draw
Boulogne
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
SochauxBoulogne
Season Profile
This season
8th
League Position
17th
7
Games Played
7
1.43
Points/Game
0.71
0.57
Goals/Game
0.43
0.71
Conceded/Game
0.71
11.2
Shots/Game
11.8
3.0
Shots on Target
4.1
Home vs Away Context
Sochaux at home (5 matches) vs Boulogne away (6 matches)
1.40
Points/Game
1.00
0.80
Goals/Game
0.50
1.40
Conceded/Game
0.50
40%
Win Rate
17%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Sochaux
Home form
L
L
L
W
W
Lost 3 of last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
0.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Boulogne
Away form
L
L
L
D
D
Winless in last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
0.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
1/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Sochaux Wins
0
Draws
1
Boulogne Wins
1
Avg Goals
1.5
Sochaux0 – 3Boulogne
Boulogne0 – 0Sochaux
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Sochauxvs
Boulogne
Recent Scoring Profile
0.60
Goals scored / game
0.70
1.10
Goals conceded / game
1.50
3/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
4/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 40.8%→Latest 40.1%−0.7 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 47.3%→Latest 48.5%+1.2 pts
Slight move towards both teams scoring
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
3 of Sochaux's 10 matches and 3 of Boulogne's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?