Rodez vs Dunkerque Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Stade Paul Lignon
Fri 30 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.08
Draw
3.76
Away Win
3.37
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 0
Match Events ?
Rodez
Dunkerque
Kelian Nsona (Marco Essimi) ⚽
40'
66'
🟨 Souleymane Keita
Jordan Mendes 🟨
67'
Match Statistics ?
28%
Ball Possession
72%
13
Total Shots
12
6
Shots on Goal
2
5
Corner Kicks
4
18
Fouls
13
1
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
3
Offsides
1
2
Goalkeeper Saves
5
Starting Lineups
Rodez (5-3-2)
Q. Braat
S. Luyambula Biwa
L. Quenabio
M. Magnin
R. Lipinski
R. Ponti
Antonin Cartillier
D. Pavlović
M. Essimi Ateba
N. Nsingi
K. Nsona
Dunkerque (4-2-3-1)
Moha Airam
A. Linguet
Opa Sanganté
O. Touré
Abner
S. Nzonzi
Théna Massock
K. Ayari
A. Lebeau
E. Prutsev
G. Robail
Player Ratings ?
Rodez
K. NsonaF8.2
M. Essimi AtebaM7.3
R. LipinskiD7.2
Dunkerque
Moha AiramG8.0
O. TouréD7.4
A. LinguetD7.3
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Rodez edge attack and head-to-head, Dunkerque edge recent form and defence, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Dunkerque stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Rodez stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Dunkerque slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Rodez slightly stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Dunkerque have secured just a solitary victory and drawn once in their last five away outings across multiple seasons, while Rodez mirror that struggle at home with only one win and a single draw from their most recent five fixtures. Rodez have found the net in three of their last five home matches yet remain without a clean sheet during that same span. Dunkerque rate stronger on form, with a slight advantage in defence, while Rodez rate stronger on attack, with a slight advantage in head-to-head. The most recent meeting, on 3 April 2026, ended level, with 3 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 2.2 goals per meeting. Over the 4-day comparison window, Rodez's implied win probability has fallen by 1.0 percentage points, while Dunkerque's implied win probability has risen by 0.3 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
5
Rodez losing run
54%
Dunkerque yellow cards after 75'
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift away from Rodez
Rodez's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Rodez win as less likely than it did 4 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Rodez win
Latest market chance 45.6%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
46.6% → 45.6%
−1.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 25.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
24.7% → 25.4%
+0.7 pts
Dunkerque win
Latest market chance 29.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
28.7% → 29.0%
+0.3 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Rodez
Draw
Dunkerque
7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 4 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
RodezDunkerque
Season Profile
This season
14th
League Position
10th
10
Games Played
10
1.00
Points/Game
1.20
1.60
Goals/Game
1.40
2.20
Conceded/Game
1.60
14.4
Shots/Game
12.2
5.1
Shots on Target
3.7
Home vs Away Context
Rodez at home (6 matches) vs Dunkerque away (5 matches)
1.17
Points/Game
0.80
1.50
Goals/Game
1.20
1.83
Conceded/Game
2.00
33%
Win Rate
20%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Rodez
Home form
W
D
L
L
L
Lost 3 straight at home
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Dunkerque
Away form
L
D
L
L
W
Lost 3 of last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Rodez Wins
1
Draws
3
Dunkerque Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.2
Dunkerque1 – 1Rodez
Rodez1 – 1Dunkerque
Rodez5 – 1Dunkerque
Dunkerque1 – 0Rodez
Rodez0 – 0Dunkerque
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Rodezvs
Dunkerque
Recent Scoring Profile
1.60
Goals scored / game
1.40
2.20
Goals conceded / game
1.60
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
4/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 61.5%→Latest 60.5%−1.0 pts
Slight move away from 3+ goals
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 63.2%→Latest 63.2%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?