Reims vs Dijon Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Stade Auguste-Delaune
Fri 16 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.76
Draw
4.11
Away Win
4.24
Match Report
Full Time
4 – 2
Match Events ?
Reims
Dijon
12'
⚽ Adel Lembezat (Ange Lago)
Yaya Fofana (seydou dembele) ⚽
19'
Mohammed Daramy (Daouda Guindo) ⚽
22'
35'
🟨 W. Diouf
Daouda Guindo ⚽
36'
Arone Gadou (Yaya Fofana) ⚽
54'
85'
⚽ Yanis Barka (Brandon Nsimba Ndezi)
Match Statistics ?
36%
Ball Possession
64%
12
Total Shots
13
7
Shots on Goal
4
3
Corner Kicks
5
13
Fouls
21
0
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
1
2
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
Reims (4-2-3-1)
T. Hülsmann
J. Mambuku
N. Ahouonon
S. Kotto
D. Guindo
C. Kouranfal
T. Leoni
seydou dembele
Y. Fofana
M. Daramy
Y. El Kachati
Dijon (4-1-3-2)
P. Delecroix
B. Hamada
L. Lacroix
Q. Bernard
Boubacar Diallo
J. Marié
P. Bellon
A. Lembezat
H. Vargas-Ríos
A. Lago
Júlio Tavares
Player Ratings ?
Reims
Y. FofanaM8.5
A. GadouF7.8
D. GuindoD7.5
Dijon
A. LagoF7.6
Y. BarkaF7.2
A. LembezatM7.0
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Reims edge recent form, attack and head-to-head, defence is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Reims stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Reims stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Reims stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Dijon have recorded just one victory from their last five away fixtures, whereas Reims remain unbeaten at home in that same span with two wins. Reims have found the net in every single one of their last five home outings but have failed to keep a clean sheet during that period. Reims rate stronger on form, attack and head-to-head, while defence is closely matched. This is the first time these two sides have met in the league since 2021. Over the 4-day comparison window, Reims's implied win probability has fallen by 2.1 percentage points, while Dijon's implied win probability has risen by 2.2 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift towards Dijon
Dijon's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Dijon win as more likely than it did 4 days ago. Reims remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Reims win
Latest market chance 54.4%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
56.5% → 54.4%
−2.1 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 24.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
24.5% → 24.3%
−0.2 pts
Dijon win
Latest market chance 21.3%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
19.1% → 21.3%
+2.2 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Reims
Draw
Dijon
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 4 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
ReimsDijon
Season Profile
This season
4th
League Position
7th
8
Games Played
8
1.75
Points/Game
1.50
1.88
Goals/Game
1.75
1.12
Conceded/Game
1.50
11.6
Shots/Game
13.9
5.1
Shots on Target
5.2
Home vs Away Context
Reims at home (7 matches) vs Dijon away (6 matches)
2.14
Points/Game
1.50
2.43
Goals/Game
1.67
1.29
Conceded/Game
1.50
57%
Win Rate
33%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Reims
Home form
W
D
W
D
D
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
1 of these match from last season.
2.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Dijon
Away form
L
D
D
D
W
1W 3D 1L in last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Reims Wins
1
Draws
3
Dijon Wins
1
Avg Goals
1.2
Dijon0 – 1Reims
Reims0 – 0Dijon
Reims1 – 2Dijon
Dijon1 – 1Reims
Reims0 – 0Dijon
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Reimsvs
Dijon
Recent Scoring Profile
2.10
Goals scored / game
1.50
1.30
Goals conceded / game
1.40
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
8/10
Both Teams Scored
8/10
2/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 53.7%→Latest 58.1%+4.4 pts
Strong move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 53.5%→Latest 56.6%+3.1 pts
Strong move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
2 of Reims's 10 matches and 2 of Dijon's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?