Red Star vs Nancy Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Stade de Paris
Mon 02 Nov 2026 · 19:45 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.37
Draw
3.46
Away Win
3.08
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 4
Match Events ?
Red Star
Nancy
21'
⚽ Ilyes Housni (Enzo Basilio)
Theo Magnin (Godson Kyeremeh) ⚽
30'
Samuel Renel 🟨
31'
38'
🟨 Enzo Tacafred
Damien Durand •
39'
Elyaz Zidane 🟨
45+3'
45+4'
⚽ Nehemiah Fernandez (Jeremy Gelin)
61'
⚽ Jeremy Gelin
70'
🟨 Nehemiah Fernandez
86'
⚽ El Hadari Raheriniaina (Ilyes Housni)
Match Statistics ?
61%
Ball Possession
39%
11
Total Shots
12
2
Shots on Goal
6
13
Corner Kicks
3
12
Fouls
19
2
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
3
Offsides
3
2
Goalkeeper Saves
1
Starting Lineups
Red Star (4-2-3-1)
G. Poussin
T. Magnin
B. Danger
E. Zidane
M. Huard
I. Halifa
S. Renel
K. Cissé
S. Khaoui
D. Durand
G. Kyeremeh
Nancy (4-2-3-1)
E. Basilio
E. Tacafred
Y. Nahounou
E. Mendy
N. Fernandez-Veliz
J. Gélin
W. Bouabdelli
I. Housni
El Hadari
Z. Fdaouch
P. Meïssa Ba
Player Ratings ?
Red Star
T. MagninD6.7
D. DurandM6.6
G. KyeremehF6.5
Nancy
I. HousniM8.4
J. GélinM8.1
El HadariM7.1
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Red Star edge head-to-head, Nancy edge recent form and defence, attack is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Nancy slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Nancy slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Red Star stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Nancy arrives at this Ligue 2 fixture with an encouraging recent record away from home, having secured three wins and just one defeat in their last five outings, whereas Red Star have struggled slightly more at home with only a single win to show for two draws and two losses across their most recent five matches. At home, Red Star have found the net in three of their last five matches but have also kept two clean sheets in that same span. Nancy hold a slight advantage in form and defence, while Red Star rate stronger on head-to-head, while attack is closely matched. Red Star won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 13 February 2026, having won 2 of the last 5 encounters to Nancy's 2, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 1.8 goals per meeting. Over the 6-day comparison window, Red Star's implied win probability has fallen by 1.7 percentage points, while Nancy's implied win probability has risen by 2.0 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
4
Red Star unbeaten run
3/5
One-goal H2H results
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift towards Nancy
Nancy's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Nancy win as more likely than it did 6 days ago. Red Star remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Red Star win
Latest market chance 40.4%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
42.1% → 40.4%
−1.7 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 27.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
28.1% → 27.8%
−0.3 pts
Nancy win
Latest market chance 31.8%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
29.8% → 31.8%
+2.0 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Red Star
Draw
Nancy
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Red StarNancy
Season Profile
This season
6th
League Position
4th
10
Games Played
10
1.70
Points/Game
1.90
1.30
Goals/Game
1.20
1.20
Conceded/Game
0.80
13.4
Shots/Game
13.9
4.5
Shots on Target
4.2
Home vs Away Context
Red Star at home (5 matches) vs Nancy away (6 matches)
0.80
Points/Game
2.17
0.60
Goals/Game
1.83
1.80
Conceded/Game
1.00
20%
Win Rate
67%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Red Star
Home form
D
D
L
W
L
1W 2D 2L in last 5 at home
1 of these match from last season.
0.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Nancy
Away form
D
W
L
W
W
Won 3 of last 5 away
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Red Star Wins
2
Draws
1
Nancy Wins
2
Avg Goals
1.8
Red Star2 – 1Nancy
Nancy0 – 1Red Star
Red Star1 – 1Nancy
Nancy1 – 0Red Star
Nancy2 – 0Red Star
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Red Starvs
Nancy
Recent Scoring Profile
1.30
Goals scored / game
1.20
1.40
Goals conceded / game
0.80
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
3/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
3/10
2/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 47.1%→Latest 49.3%+2.2 pts
Notable move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 52.4%→Latest 54.8%+2.4 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?