Pau FC vs Nantes Head to Head | Ligue 2

Match Report

Full Time

0 – 2

Match Events

Pau FC

Nantes

Cheikh Fall 🟨

27'

28'

⚽ (P) Killian Corredor

43'

🟨 Mathieu Cafaro

Babacar Leye 🟨

45+2'

Anthony Briançon 🟨

45+2'

51'

⚽ Louis Leroux (Killian Corredor)

55'

🟨 Louis Leroux

Anthony Briançon 🟥

55'

59'

🟨 Fabien Centonze

65'

🟨 Grégory Poirier

66'

🟥 Fode Doucoure

Abdel Hakim Abdallah 🟨

88'

Match Statistics

63%

Ball Possession

37%

Total Shots

Shots on Goal

Corner Kicks

Fouls

Yellow Cards

Red Cards

Offsides

Goalkeeper Saves

Starting Lineups

Pau FC (5-3-2)

B. Maubleu

M. Tourraine

G. Paquiez

A. Briançon

A. Bamba

S. Basse

C. Fall

J. Benet

L. Rajot

H. Benali

B. Leye

Nantes (3-4-3)

P. Carlgren

F. Guilbert

L. Perrin

K. Amian

F. Centonze

B. Pierret

J. Lepenant

M. Cafaro

K. Corredor

T. Robinet

I. Ganago

Player Ratings

Pau FC

G. PaquiezD7.2

L. RajotM6.9

J. BenetM6.7

Nantes

K. CorredorF7.7

Louis LerouxM7.3

F. GuilbertD7.1

Before Kickoff

Match Prediction

Data favours

Pau FC

Pau FC rate stronger across every available category. They lead recent form, attack and defence, giving Pau FC a slight edge.

Leads 3 of 3 major categories

Statistical Edge

No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong

How They Compare

Recent Form

Pau FC stronger

HomeAway

Attack

Pau FC stronger

HomeAway

Defence

Pau FC slightly stronger

HomeAway

Head-to-head unavailable — prediction based on form, attack and defence.

Match Analysis

Pau FC have enjoyed a solid run at home with three victories from their last five outings, while Nantes have struggled away from home with just one win and one draw in that same span. The hosts have found the net in four of their last five matches at this venue but have only managed to keep a clean sheet once during that period. Pau FC rate stronger on form and attack, with a slight advantage in defence. Over the 5-day comparison window, Pau FC's implied win probability has risen by 0.1 percentage points, while Nantes's implied win probability has fallen by 0.9 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison gives Pau FC a slight edge.

Market View

How the betting market has changed its view of this match

Market direction

Slight shift away from Nantes

Nantes's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Nantes win as less likely than it did 5 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion.

Movement strength: Slight

Match odds movement

Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest

Pau FC win

Latest market chance 31.3%

Steady

Market view unchanged

31.2% → 31.3%

+0.1 pts

Draw

Latest market chance 28.7%

Steady

Market view unchanged

28.0% → 28.7%

+0.7 pts

Nantes win

Latest market chance 39.9%

Slight drift

Market chance decreased

40.8% → 39.9%

−0.9 pts

Movement over time

Change vs first comparable snapshot

6 snapshots

Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.

Pau FC

Draw

Nantes

7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff

Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.

Team Comparison

Pau FC

Nantes

Season Profile

This season

5th

League Position

16th

Games Played

1.82

Points/Game

0.82

1.45

Goals/Game

1.09

1.00

Conceded/Game

1.64

13.7

Shots/Game

13.2

4.3

Shots on Target

3.7

Home vs Away Context

Pau FC at home (8 matches) vs Nantes away (7 matches)

1.25

Points/Game

1.43

1.00

Goals/Game

1.43

1.25

Conceded/Game

1.14

38%

Win Rate

43%

Recent Form

Last 5 home / away matches

Pau FC

Home form

Won 3 of last 5 at home

1.6

Goals scored
per match

1.2

Goals conceded
per match

4/5

Scored in
last 5

1/5

Clean
sheets

Nantes

Away form

2W 1D 2L in last 5 away

1.4

Goals scored
per match

1.2

Goals conceded
per match

3/5

Scored in
last 5

1/5

Clean
sheets

Head-to-Head History

Last 5 meetings

Pau FC Wins

Draws

Nantes Wins

Avg Goals

2.0

2026-11-062026-2027

Pau FC0 – 2Nantes

Goals & Scoring Trends

Last 10 matches, any venue

Pau FC

Nantes

Recent Scoring Profile

1.50

Goals scored / game

1.30

1.20

Goals conceded / game

1.50

5/10

3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)

4/10

6/10

Both Teams Scored

5/10

3/10

Failed to Score

3/10

Market Goal Expectation

2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)

71.7%

3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)

47.4%

4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)

27.5%

BTTSBoth teams score

53.6%

Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.

3+ Goals (Over 2.5)

First comparable 50.4%→Latest 48.1%−2.3 pts

Notable move away from 3+ goals

This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.

4 common bookmakers · first comparable 5 days before kickoff

Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.

Both Teams To Score

First comparable 55.3%→Latest 53.8%−1.5 pts

Notable move away from both teams scoring

This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.

4 common bookmakers · first comparable 5 days before kickoff

Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.

Match Poll

Who do you think wins?

Pau FC vs Nantes Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis